WashingtonWise

War Headlines Whipsaw Markets & Portfolios


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The military conflict in Iran is roiling markets around the globe. In this episode, host Mike Townsend is joined by Kevin Gordon, head of macro research and strategy at the Schwab Center for Financial Research, to unpack what the war means for investors amid volatile markets. Kevin shares his perspective on how geopolitical uncertainty is driving sharp swings in oil and gas prices; why markets in the U.S. have so far been more resilient than those in Europe and Asia; and how rising energy costs could affect inflation, consumer spending, and the labor market. He also discusses how the war could impact the ongoing sector rotation toward energy and why bond yields are rising. And he shares some practical takeaways for investors—from why reacting to headlines can be dangerous to which economic indicators are most important to watch as the conflict evolves.

Mike also provides updates from Washington, including the possibility of companies receiving tariff refunds this spring, the ongoing stalemate over funding for the Department of Homeland Security, and how the Senate primaries in Texas have kicked off the busy midterm election cycle. 

WashingtonWise is an original podcast for investors from Charles Schwab. For more on the series, visit schwab.com/WashingtonWise.

If you enjoy the show, please leave a ★★★★★ rating or review on Apple Podcasts

IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES

The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.

This material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned are not suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.

All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.

All names and market data shown are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.

Diversification and asset allocation strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.

Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.

Commodity-related products carry a high level of risk and are not suitable for all investors. Commodity-related products may be extremely volatile, may be illiquid, and can be significantly affected by underlying commodity prices, world events, import controls, worldwide competition, government regulations, and economic conditions.

International investments involve additional risks, which include differences in financial accounting standards, currency fluctuations, geopolitical risk, foreign taxes and regulations, and the potential for illiquid markets.

Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.

Currency trading is speculative, very volatile and not suitable for all investors

Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses (and/or "transaction fees or other related expenses"), and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see ​schwab.com/indexdefinitions

The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.

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WashingtonWiseBy Charles Schwab

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