Major transfer portal chaos collides with the College Football Playoff as quarterbacks flip commitments, NIL agreements unravel, and CFP semifinal rosters are suddenly in flux. A Washington quarterback enters the portal just days after signing an NIL deal, a Notre Dame backup commits and flips within 24 hours, and Nebraska pivots quickly to land an experienced transfer.

The episode also covers Oregon losing a key running back ahead of the CFP semifinal against Indiana, why that injury materially changes the matchup, and how roster depth matters more than ever in playoff football. Viewership numbers for the CFP quarterfinals are in, and they’re up significantly year over year — even with blowouts — raising big questions about what actually drives ratings in the expanded playoff era.

The show wraps with a discussion of potential College Football Playoff calendar changes, including moving the transfer portal and recruiting windows, and why the current December–January crunch is unsustainable for players, coaches, and programs.

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A full breakdown of the College Football Playoff semifinals, including Ole Miss vs Miami in the Fiesta Bowl and Oregon vs Indiana in the Peach Bowl. Gary digs into power ratings, projected stat spreads, last-four-weeks performance, talent profiles, special teams edges, and matchup-specific efficiencies to explain why these lines feel uncomfortable — and why that matters.

The episode also explores the impact of coaching turnover during the playoff, Ole Miss navigating staff departures, Indiana’s veteran-heavy roster defying recruiting logic, Oregon’s travel disadvantage, and why experience and execution are beating raw talent in this postseason. The show wraps with semifinal picks and a broader look at what the portal, NIL, and expanded playoff era are doing to college football’s balance of power.

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A full breakdown of the College Football Playoff quarterfinal games, including what actually happened on the field, why several games were effectively over early, and how line-of-scrimmage dominance decided outcomes. Miami controls Ohio State in the Cotton Bowl, Oregon overwhelms Texas Tech with possession and physicality, Indiana humiliates Alabama in the Rose Bowl, and Ole Miss shocks Georgia in a chaotic Sugar Bowl finish.

The episode also looks ahead to the semifinal matchups, coaching instability surrounding Ole Miss, the impact of CFP byes failing across the board, and what these results mean for future playoff expansion, conference championship games, and the evolving structure of college football.


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One more time, my College Football Playoff predictions heading into the quarterfinals, including spread picks, straight-up winners, and projected semifinal matchups. Miami vs Ohio State, Alabama vs Indiana, Oregon vs Texas Tech, and Georgia vs Ole Miss set up a dream semifinal slate.


The episode also covers major coaching and program news: Michigan’s stunning hire of Kyle Whittingham, Lane Kiffin’s bizarre Sugar Bowl situation and the LSU / Ole Miss mess, Clemson moving on from OC Garrett Riley, Chip Kelly landing at Northwestern, and the broader cultural shift reshaping college football. Bowl timing, coaching continuity, portal chaos, and playoff preparation all factor into how teams — and programs — move forward.


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(00:00:00) Every Bowl Pick Dec 31 - Jan 2 | Full College Football Predictions

(00:02:09) Iowa vs Vanderbilt

(00:08:06) Arizona State vs Duke

(00:14:17) Michigan vs Texas

(00:19:55) Nebraska vs Utah

(00:25:21) Rice vs Texas State

(00:29:02) Navy vs Cincinnati

(00:34:15) Arizona vs SMU

(00:38:41) Wake Forest vs Mississippi State

Picks and predictions for eight college football bowl games from December 31 through January 2, with a full breakdown of opt-outs, injuries, coaching changes, and matchup edges. Each game is analyzed using projected stat spreads, power ratings, recent form, and motivation factors to identify where the betting market may be mispriced.

From Iowa–Vanderbilt and Duke–Arizona State to Michigan–Texas, Nebraska–Utah, Navy–Cincinnati, and SMU–Arizona, this episode focuses on how roster availability and effort matter more than brand names in bowl season.

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Picks and predictions for all four College Football Playoff quarterfinals with deep matchup analysis, betting edges, and upset potential. Gary breaks down Miami vs Ohio State in the Cotton Bowl, Oregon vs Texas Tech in the Orange Bowl, Alabama vs Indiana in the Rose Bowl, and Georgia vs Ole Miss in the Sugar Bowl using power ratings, PPA metrics, line-of-scrimmage matchups, and postseason trends. The show wraps with semifinal projections, best bets, and where the numbers disagree with the market.

Watch on YouTube: https://youtu.be/lFy4G2nlD4A

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Bowl season rolls on, and we’re breaking down 16 college football bowl games from December 24–30 with picks, odds, and matchup edges you can use before kickoff. From the Hawaii Bowl on Christmas Eve to USC–TCU in the Alamo Bowl, this stretch of games is loaded with opt-outs, coaching changes, and motivation mismatches that create real betting opportunities.

We cover:

0:00 Intro
1:35 Hawaii Bowl – Cal vs Hawaii
7:48 GameAbove Sport Bowl – Central Michigan vs Northwestern
13:22 Rate Bowl – New Mexico vs Minnesota
19:38 First Responder Bowl – FIU vs UTSA
25:37 Military Bowl – Pitt vs East Carolina
33:19 Pinstripe Bowl – Penn State vs Clemson
39:37 Fenway Bowl – Army vs UConn
45:06 Pop-Tarts Bowl – BYU vs Georgia Tech
51:00 Arizona Bowl – Miami (OH) vs Fresno State
56:24 New Mexico Bowl – North Texas vs San Diego State
1:02:11 Gator Bowl – Virginia vs Missouri
1:08:00 Texas Bowl – LSU vs Houston
1:14:27 Birmingham Bowl – Georgia Southern vs App State
1:18:45 Independence Bowl – Coastal Carolina vs Louisiana Tech
1:23:25 Music City Bowl – Illinois vs Tennessee
1:29:17 Alamo Bowl – USC vs TCU

Using projected stat spreads, power ratings, last-four-weeks performance, PPA margins, rushing and passing success rates, finishing-drive efficiency, turnover data, special teams metrics, and strength of schedule, Gary identifies mispriced lines, explains how opt-outs and coaching changes shift value, and breaks down which favorites should roll — and which underdogs can hang around or win outright.

If you enjoy detailed, numbers-driven college football betting analysis, hit like, subscribe, and drop your picks in the comments. And for full stat sheets, matchup tools, and bonus content throughout bowl season, join the community at buymeacoffee.com/winningcures or visit bettingcfb.com.

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A full reaction to the first round of the College Football Playoff, breaking down Alabama’s comeback win at Oklahoma, Miami’s defensive slugfest against Texas A&M, Ole Miss overwhelming Tulane, and Oregon coasting past James Madison. Each game is examined through the lens of turnovers, special teams, line-of-scrimmage control, and in-game momentum swings.

The episode also tackles the nonstop Notre Dame hypotheticals that dominated social media, revisits the recurring Group of Five debate, and explains why Tulane and James Madison never truly had a path against elite competition. The show wraps with thoughts on where the CFP is headed, how the sport is splitting into tiers, and what this opening weekend revealed about playoff structure, parity, and perception.

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(00:00:00) CFP Predictions, Saban vs G5s & Ohio coaching mess

(00:00:47) New Memphis OC?

(00:04:12) Ohio vs Coach Brian Smith

(00:08:43) Saban vs G5s

(00:11:25) CFP Predictions

The entire College Football Playoff bracket is broken down from start to finish, with predictions for every round and a projected national champion. The discussion includes why this year’s CFP feels wide open, how certain teams benefit from the bracket layout, and which matchups could quietly flip expectations.

The show also dives into Ohio firing head coach Brian Smith, separating rumor from fact and explaining what actually led to his dismissal. Memphis’ offensive coordinator hire is examined, along with how Group of Five programs are becoming more aggressive in competing with Power Four schools for coaching talent.

Nick Saban’s comments about removing Group of Five teams from the playoff spark a larger debate about access, money, competitive balance, and whether the CFP is drifting toward a super-league model.


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The ACC announces a nine-game conference schedule that doesn’t even apply to all of its teams, creating uneven standings, future tiebreaker chaos, and more questions than answers. Gary breaks down why the league’s decision makes no logical sense, how Notre Dame scheduling complicates everything, and why this move could make conference races even messier.

The discussion then shifts to Georgia Tech roster fallout as quarterback Aaron Philo enters the transfer portal, staff members follow Buster Faulkner to Florida, and the realities of portal tampering continue to expose how little enforcement actually exists.

The episode wraps with Lane Kiffin once again making headlines for all the wrong reasons — from late-night texts to beat writers to bizarre public behavior that raises the question: does Kiffin actually want to be unlikable?


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