Wins Above Fantasy

By Van Burnett, Steve Gesuele

Van Burnett (@Van_verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) provide the insights and breakdowns you need to win your fantasy baseball leagues. Part of the Pitcher List Podcast Network. Follow us on Twit... more

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FAQs about Wins Above Fantasy:

How many episodes does Wins Above Fantasy have?

The podcast currently has 179 episodes available.

Wins Above Fantasy episodes:

March 24, 2022WAF 48: Post-Lockout ADP Movers
Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss the biggest risers and fallers in ADP since the lockout was lifted.
Value of Post-Lockout ADP (6:55)
When Should You Grab Tatis Jr.? (10:25)
Chris Sale Going as Late as 200 (16:21)
Is Jack Flaherty Falling Too Far? (19:50)
Still Buying the Shane Baz Discount (22:40)
Don’t Question the Questionable Zac Gallen (25:30)
McCullers ADP Bottoming Out (28:00)
Zack Wheeler 3rd Round Discount (29:10)
Will Lucas Sims Still Close For Cinci? (31:34)
The Case For & Against Yusei Kikuchi (34:25)
Greinke Late Value For Volume (38:08)
Seiya Suzuki’s Surging Power Speed (40:18)
Clayton Kershaw Confident About Health (44:30)
ADP Ceiling for Kris Bryant at Coors (46:40)
Rodon’s ADP Rising Fast (49:20)
Nelson Cruz at 170 as a National(51:18)
Is Now the Time For Nick Senzel? (53:50)
A’s Kevin Smith’s Deep Power Speed (56:20)
Twins’ Sonny Gray Going Too Late? (1:00:00)
Chris Bassitt Great Oatmeal on the Mets (1:02:20)
Matt Olson May Still Be Undervalued (1:04:13)
Cristian Javier’s Going Way Too Late (1:05:08)
Closer Value: Colome, Finnegan, Wick, Barnes, Kittredge, Trivino, Treinen (1:06:57)
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1h 17min
March 17, 2022WAF 47: Finding Breakouts and Busts
Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) look to identify 2022's breakouts and busts by using last year's surprising players as a template.
Hot Stove Reaction (3:55)
The Concept of Breakouts & Busts (12:22)
Way Too Early to Write Off Jared Kelenic (14:50)
Eloy Jimenez Feels Due for a Vlad Ascent (21:00)
Steve LOVES Tanner Houck & Patrick Sandoval (25:15)
Michael Kopech Could Pull a Freddy Peralta (30:20)
Steve’s Can’t Resist a Keston Hiura Breakout(35:00)
Van Believes In Harrison Bader (38:25)
Why Jo Adell Fits the Tyler O’Neill Build (41:00)
Cristian Javier’s Shot with a Rotation Spot (45:40)
Tyler Mahle May Move Out and Move Up (48:45)
Ryan Mountcastle Could Breakout with Better K% (50:40)
Ryan McMahon Reduced Ks with the Rockies (53:40)
Volume Speculation for Patrick Sandoval (57:17)
Carlos Rodon Could Go Deeper with the Giants (58:55)
Trevor Story May Have a Rough Chapter (1:03:1o)
Mookie Betts May Be Too Pricey (1:08:53)
Randy Arozarena Rough Outlook (1:11:29)
Adolis Garcia Not to Be Trusted (1:14:45)

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1h 21min
March 10, 2022WAF 46: Draft Values We Love
Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk about players they are targeting at each position in the later rounds of drafts: players they are targeting when they miss out on a tier ("Parachute Players") and who they are relying on to fill weaknesses in the later rounds.
Eric Haase as a non-catcher catcher (6:40)
Mike Zunino's power floor (13:18)
Frank Schwindel's late breakout (17:55)
Rowdy Tellez & Yoshi Tsutsugo as CI options (22:45)
Enrique Hernandez's playing time upside (29:00)
Kolten Wong as a cheaper source for speed (33:35)
Mike Moustakas is a bounce-back candidate (37:55)
Justin Turner's steady value (41:40)
Ramon Urias as a deep MI option (44:15)
Elvis Andrus a super deep option for steals (48:30)
Steve gushes over Steven Kwan...again (52:57)
Dear Rockies, please play Connor Joe (57:50)
Rafael Ortega a late "stuff and things" guy (1:00:15)
Adam Wainwright should still defy father time (1:03:20)
Adbert Alzolay is a pitch mix change away from a breakout (1:07:57)
Tony Gonsolin should bounce back in 2022 (1:10:40)
Guardians' next pitching success: Cody Morris? (1:14:53)
Jake McGee may still be the closer in SF (1:17:30)
Paul Sewald has the stuff to be an elite closer (1:19:42)
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1h 24min
March 03, 2022WAF 45: TGFBI, Razzslam & Draft This, Not That
Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk about their Razzslam and TGFBI drafts, their overall takeaways & strategies, and players they are targeting. Plus, a game of Draft This, Not That!
Van & Steve’s Razz Slam & TGFBI (10:15)
Steve’s Draft Trends & Takeaways (21:15)
Van’s Draft Trends & Takeaways (28:31)
Steve’s Rant on Drafting Closers (36:15)
Steve Risking Mondesi and/or Buxton (41:50)
Steve’s Here for Jordan Montgomery (45:25)
Van Still 100% on Josiah Gray (48:00)
Draft Adam Duvall not Joey Gallo (49:25)
Draft McCullers not Manoah? (52:33)
Draft Robert not Betts (56:30)
Draft Josh Bell not Jose Abreu (1:02:30)
Draft Brendan Rodgers not Lemahieu (1:05:30)
Draft Willy Adames not Corey Seager (1:09:15)
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1h 17min
February 24, 2022WAF 44: Ariel Cohen & Quantifying Risk
Wins Above Fantasy – Ariel Cohen (@ATCNYC) of FanGraphs, CBS, and Rotoballer joins Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) to talk about ATC projections, game theory, and how to quantify risk.
Useful Ariel Links: ATC Projections and Minimizing Risk, Game Theory Article
Ariel’s Draft Approach (3:55)
Explaining ATC Projections (6:46)
How Projections Adjust for Lockouts or Free Agency (8:20)
How Ariel Scores the Best Projections? (12:28)
Advice on Using Projections as Draft Prep (21:00)
New ATC Risk Metrics (26:35)
Francisco Lindor Safe but Pricey? (44:52)
Adam Duvall ATC’s #1 Bargain?! (52:58)
Aaron Judge Surprisingly Safe (55:09)
Ke’Bryan Hayes Safe for Late, Scarce Categories (58:30)
Franmil Reyes a Bargain Despite DH (1:03:05)
Luis Robert Pricey Do-It-All Player (1:05:00)
Jazz Chisholm More Bust Than Boom (1:08:22)
Ryan Mountcastle’s Curious Case (1:14:30)
Sandy Alcantara’s Outlook From Ariel (1:19:00)
Starling Marte’s Speed and Balance (1:23:00)
Is Myles Straw’s Running Worth the Risk? (1:26:53)
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1h 33min
February 17, 2022WAF 43: VAA with Alex Chamberlain
Wins Above Fantasy – Alex Chamberlain (@DolphHauldhagen) of FanGraphs joins Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) to talk about Verticle Approach Angle (VAA): what it is and how we can use it for fantasy purposes.
Useful Alex Links: VAA Article, VAA PitchCon Presentation, Pitch Leaderboard, Similarity Scores
Alex "Oxlade" and Googling yourself (3:40)
What is VAA and its importance (6:44)
What influences VAA (10:00)
How to contextualize VAA and what pitches it is useful for (13:43)
Using VAA(AA) to identify good fastballs (18:00)
Relationship between VAA and other pitching metrics (29:20)
How pitchers control contact quality and launch angle for hitters (32:30)
The curious case of Shane Bieber (35:30)
How we can use VAA for Fantasy and Chris Paddacks issue with the fastball (43:00)
Alex's similarity tool and getting excited for Shane Baz (44:30)
Josiah Gray's location issue (56:45)
Logan Gilbert and the "buffet line" of pitching metrics (1:02)
Is Michael Kopech's fastball truly elite? (1:04:35)
Brady Singer's unique sinker (1:07:50)
Adbert Alzolay should end up on Pitching Ninja a lot in 2022 (1:09:40)
Van's obligatory question on Ranger Suárez (1:12:20)
Putting a bow on VAA (1:16:00)
What Alex is working on (1:20:00)
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1h 26min
February 10, 2022WAF 42: Puzzling Projections 2(022)
Wins Above Fantasy – Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss this year's projections that they find interesting and look for players being overvalued and undervalued by projection systems.
PitchCon is on YouTube! (3:25)
PL 7 is here! (5:48)
How we use projections (8:00)
Expectations for Bryce Harper (14:56)
Can Cedric Mullins repeat? (21:02)
Christian Yelich's (bounce) back (28:05)
Xander Bogaerts is being underrated? (32:25)
Buying Matt Olson's gains (36:40)
What to expect from Brandon Lowe (40:53)
Jonathan India made the adjustments (44:03)
Lucas Giolito is an underrated SP1 (46:37)
How many innings to expect from Julio Urias (50:02)
Is Lance Lynn being overlooked? (51:15)
Kevin Gausman's move back to the AL East (54:10)
Ranger Suarez for real? (57:17)
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1h 2min
January 31, 2022 WAF 41: Players We Like More Than The Market
Wins Above Fantasy - Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) talk about players they like ahead of their current ADP: an early version of "our guys" for 2022.
2:07 PitchCon recap
5:32 Steve's predictions article
9:50 Players We Like More than the Market: Byron Buxton (ADP 65)
15:23 Giancarlo Stanton being slept on (ADP 94)
21:30 Dylan Cease breakout is coming (ADP 79)
25:50 Yasmani Grandal's top C potential (ADP 100)
32:30 Jordan Montgomery as another breakout SP (ADP 206)
37:19 Brendan Rodgers made quite improvements (ADP 165)
42:58 Andrew Vaughn's solid year while learning a new position (ADP 194)
47:00 Harrison Bader power-speed combo(ADP 239)
54:08 Steven Kwan an OF to remember late in drafts (ADP 537)
59:33 Josiah Gray's nasty stuff cannot be ignored (ADP 260)
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Twitter: | @winsabovepod | @Van_Verified | @stav8818 |
Email: [email protected]
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1h 8min
January 17, 2022 WAF 40: Early Draft Season Strategy
Wins Above Fantasy - Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss early draft season strategy including tips for best-ball drafts, ADP risers, and potential position cliffs.
2:40 High-level tips for early draft season
5:50 Best-ball strategies and takeaways from Van's draft
11:37 Importance of position eligibility
17:30 Utilization of roster spots and handcuffs
19:00 Importance of ADP in early draft season
22:00 ADP risers and "getting ahead"
25:00 Already on the rise: Trevor Rogers, Justin Verlander, Ke'Bryan Hayes, Oneil Cruz, Seiya Suzuki
31:30 Potential ADP risers
47:06 Catcher cliff
53:28 First Base cliff
56:35 Second Base cliff
1:00:52 Third Base cliff
1:05:33 Shortstop cliff
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Twitter: | @winsabovepod | @Van_Verified | @stav8818 |
Email: [email protected]
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1h 13min
January 03, 2022 WAF 39: Hot Second Halves & Bounce-backs
Wins Above Fantasy - Van Burnett (@Van_Verified) and Steve Gesuele (@stav8818) discuss players who had promising second halves in 2021 and try to find potential bounce-back candidates for 2022.
7:45 Steve's Article on Hot 2nd Half Pitchers
13:40 Will Dylan Cease be a Fantasy Ace in '22?
21:12 Don't Sleep on Tanner Houck & Patrick Sandoval
26:00 Justin Dunbar's Article on Hot 2nd Half Hitters
26:30 Brandon Lowe's K-rate Gains
37:52 Buying a Bellinger Bounce-back?
50:18 Josh Bell's Sneaky-Good Second Half
57:00 It Can't Get Any Worse for Gleyber Torres
1:06:10 Joey Votto: Power Hitter
1:11:00 Hunter Renfroe Could Rake in Milwaukee
1:14:46 Jorge Soler's Resurgent Second Half
1:19:26 Bargain Bin Pop: Suarez vs. Donaldson vs. Dalbec
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Twitter: | @winsabovepod | @Van_Verified | @stav8818 |
Email: [email protected]
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...more
1h 29min

FAQs about Wins Above Fantasy:

How many episodes does Wins Above Fantasy have?

The podcast currently has 179 episodes available.

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