Keep or Kut

Keep or Kut - Pete and Chad are FINALLY back! They ask and answer some difficult questions about a myriad of players as we enter trade deadline season.

8:04 - What is JJ Bleday's trade value? 

21:00 - How does Josh Jung stack up compared to Bleday?

25:26 - Bryce Eldridge or... Vladimir Guerrero Jr.. going forward?

45:45 - It has been an interesting season for Fernando Tatis Jr. Jr. What's a fair return for an expensive Tatis Jr. at this deadline?

53:13 - Who is a prospect in keeper leagues that you are targeting? For Chad, it is Kade Anderson. Pete has been keeping his eye on Josue De Paula. A larger conversation about a potential lockout next year, Joshua Baez, Ethan Salas, and more follows.

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Keep or Kut - Pete and Chad examine some of the significant pickups across competitive and active OPL leagues.

2:39 - Pete’s H2H Hero of the Week is Seiya Suzuki

4:56 - Chad’s H2H Hero of the Week is the now-injured Pete Fairbanks

23:30 - Randy Vásquez, Michael Soroka, and Emerson Hancock are off to hot starts 

34:37 - Keaton Winn has been tearing it up for San Francisco, but he doesn't have the closers job. Does that put him behind Bryan Baker and Jakob Junis?

51:35 - Mauricio Dubón's position flexibility is getting him added in a lot of spots. How does he compare to Jeremiah Jackson?

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Keep or Kut - Pete (@PeteBBaseball) and Chad (chadyoung.bsky.social) couldn't get together this week, so Chad went solo, talking about how he thinks about waivers and FAAB in keeper leagues as compared to redraft. With so much waiver wire content out there, how can you, the keeper-league-playing Keep or Kut listener, use that content for a different context than it was intended.

0:42 - H2H Heroes starts with a couple of bats, and while Chad picked Cam Smith, C.J. Abrams was worth a look, too.

10:05  - Chad planned on one hitter and one pitcher, but how do you decide between Sandy Alcantara and Cam Schlittler?

1949 break 1

19:50 - When it comes to hitters on the wire, Chad will prioritize long-term value because the upside (multiple seasons worth) is so much higher than for a one-year rental type. And that influences how he reads waiver content.

2935 break 2

29:36 - Pitchers, on the other hand, Chad is more inclined to focus on the present, at least relative to hitters.

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Keep or Kut - Chad and Pete react to some of their listeners' "overreactions."

2:30 - Chad’s H2H Hero of the Week: Chase DeLauter

4:53 - Pete’s H2H Hero of the Week: Wilyer Abreu… both homer picks!

9:09 - Is it too early to think “my team isn’t going to be very good this year?”

20:08 - ThecretThauce’s “overreaction” to debate is that Jacob Misiorowski leads MLB in BBs and Ks.

25:35 - Just how bad is the Giants’ offense?

33:34 - Skubal Trouble thinks Shea Langeliers will be C1 this year.

40:22 - Kevin Gausman and Dylan Cease have career years? Dylan Cease Cy Young? What about Bryan Woo?

50:50 - Rookie stuff! Sal Stewart over Konnor Griffin this year? What about some other rookies? Pete and Chad predict their AL and NL Rookies of the Year.

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Keep or Kut - Pete (@PeteBBaseball) and Chad (chadyoung.bsky.social) go three three ADP tiers and identify players they simply have to have in keeper leagues. These are players whose ADP represents a value this year and have potential to be great keepers, even if you have to pay an increasing cost for them, next year. We used FanTrax ADP and here are the rules we followed:

4:35 - Pete goes pitching in the top 100, targeting Logan Gilbert for the possibility to combine his history as a 200-inning workhorse with his newfound 2025 K-rate.

10:04 - Chad wants to buy the dip on Jackson Merrill, whose ADP would make him a multi-year keeper if he rebounds like we expect.

18:06 - Chad sticks in the outfield, this time going for Heliot Ramos, whose ADP is just straight too low.

26:55 - Another outfielder, this time from Pete who loves the power from Daulton Varsho, even if you get nothing else from him.

36:39 - Once we get outside the top 200, a lot of prospects are interesting, but we tried to stay away from them, and Pete finds himself targeting Francisco Alvarez.

43:21 - Chad wraps things up with a look at why Jackson Holliday is on multiple of his rosters.

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Keep or Kut - Pete (@PeteBBaseball) and Chad (chadyoung.bsky.social) are back at it and today they are looking at how much things can change over the course of spring training. From keeper decisions to drafts to FAAB, you need to be constantly adjusting when news - especially bad news - breaks in Spring.

2:00 - Zack Wheeler's value has moved quite a bit without much happening, and Chad and Pete aren't aligned on how much it should have moved. Plus, we discuss other injured pitchers and what we plan to do with them.

15:19 - How much did the Jurickson Profar suspension mess up Chad's outfields and what should he do about it? There aren't really any newly-interesting OF.

20:40 - Chad thinks there is real upside in the Rockies outfield, but you may not be able to roster more than one of those upside plays.

28:15 - Even as things are changing, it is much harder to trust the good (breakout performances and velocity gains) than the bad (injuries and suspensions) and that has implications for the depth of the player pool.

31:19 - In weekly lineup leagues, remember you don't need to trust everyone on your roster from day one - you can stash someone as long as you have a lineup you feel good about.

37:40 - Is this a good time to hit the trade market? It's much easier in keeper leagues than redraft.

49:28 - Looking at some intriguing Spring prospects: Spencer Jones, Joshua Baez, and Mick Abel.

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Keep or Kut - Without Chad, Pete (@PeteBBaseball) breaks down his favorite and least favorite picks of each of the first 10 rounds of our Keep or Kut Listener League 1 roto draft.

2:14 - In the first round, Pete liked the one-pick discount on José Ramírez, but had to rationalize his own Matt Olson pick.

6:41 - Yoshinobu Yamamoto fell to the second round, where Randy Arozarena also got scooped up.

9:58 - While Pete wasn’t super enthused about Will Smith going in the third, Smith’s teammate, Freddie Freeman, he thought was a great pick.

15:34 - In Round 4, Pete goes on a tangent about people trying to predict injuries. Once he settles down, he shares that he loved the Seiya Suzuki pick but questions the Brandon Nimmo pick.

22:53 - More outfielders! Pete liked the Ian Happ pick in Round 5, but questioned his own move of reaching for stolen bases with Dylan Crews.

27:40 - Pete’s favorite pick in Round 6 was Jose Altuve. He mispronounces “Lowe” for the 800th time in this show’s history. He also was not a huge fan of the  Teoscar Hernández pick.

32:10 - Zack Wheeler was Pete’s pick… and his favorite pick of Round 7. Is Ceddanne Rafaela worth it in Round 7?

36:39 - Isaac Paredes is still in Houston! Have faith! Munetaka Murakami has some serious power upside, but is this a little early for him?

41:50 - In Round 9, Pete really liked the Daulton Varsho pick. There were a few picks Pete wasn’t a fan of, but he ended up going with Griffin Jax.

45:05 - Round 10 included names such as Konnor Griffin, Gleyber Torres, and Dennis Santana.

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Keep or Kut - Pete (@PeteBBaseball) and Chad Young (@chadyoung) just finished up a keeper league draft with 10 listeners and take some time to go through interesting picks and keeps.

4:13 - Chad and Pete pick 1-2 and the first tough calls of the draft came because Pete was "stuck" with a util-only bat at 1.1.

10:44 - Right off the start, you get guys being taken over ADP - even in the first round. But because of keepers, team structure and more, it's less a reach and more a pick that makes sense.

20:01 - Did Matt Heckman jump too early on Wyatt Langford? And how do we feel about a second round keeper price on Cal Raleigh?

23:10 break 1

23:11 - Third and fourth round keepers are high priced but generally make sense once you have context.

27:34 - George Springer is a great example of old guy value and he comes with real upside even at a high cost.

30:04 - We move into the fifth and sixth rounds, and Chad jumps into a mini-closer run, because he was committed to chasing saves because he kept a first closer.

37:40 - Eugenio Suárez is a solid pick with real upside and a deflated ADP because we don't know where he will land.

39:28 - Moving into the seventh round, we start to see teams reach for big upside and long-term keepers for the first time - and it might be happening earlier this year than last.

52:11 break 2

52:12 - Onto the ninth and tenth rounds where the draft swung back to old boring guys, but there are still a few names - even among the old guys! - with keeper upside.

59:05 - We move into the 11th and 12th rounds, and we're all reaching now, plus maybe we over-drafted closers early?

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Keep or Kut - Pete (@PeteBBaseball) and Chad Young (@chadyoung) respond to more of our listeners' questions!

4:55 - Henry asks about $3-5 prospects in Ottoneu. Worth keeping? Cutting? 

14:20 - Paul has one keeper slot for any of the following (all cost a last-round pick to keep): Konnor Griffin, Bryce Eldridge, Sal Stewart, Kyle Stowers, or Cam Schlittler.

20:35 - Ben asks about a second utility spot being added to his league. Chad is vehemently against it. 

26:10 - Christian asks, when is it best to sell in Ottoneu, and what are you looking for in return?

31:45 - RoadKiehl asks about the new ABS rules and if they will have any impact on pitchers, hitters, or catchers. Chad has done his research on it!

50:00 - Christian wants to know about Guardians and Red Sox pitchers, Pete loves Gavin Williams' and Payton Tolle's fastballs

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Keep or Kut - Pete (@PeteBBaseball) and Chad Young (@chadyoung) got a slew of listener questions and do their best to get through as many possible. Who has increased their value this off-season? What's up at CI? How do you balance and think about values in different formats?

2:22 - Who are risers in keeper leagues due to the transactions we have already seen this off-season? Willson Contreras is the latest transaction and maybe the biggest gainer.

7:26 - Munetaka Murakami landing in a pretty good spot, for atypical reasons.

14:46 - The Tigers bullpen is supposedly unsettled but it feels kinda settled.

22:37 - Staying in San Diego makes Michael King look at a little better to Chad, while not a ton changes in terms of how we view Shane Baz.

22:08 - Did the Tampa/Pittsburgh/Houston three-way trade hurt everyone's value? Pete says not quite everyone.

32:34 - Some quick thoughts on Adolis Garcia, Edwin Diaz, Robert Suarez, and Raisel Iglesias

36:45 - How is the lockout impacting our long-term planning in keeper and dynasty leagues?

41:06 - Would Pete trade his 21st round Corbin Carroll for a 24th round Cal Raleigh?

46:54 - How are we feeling about the state of CI at the moment?

58:01 - How do we switch our mindset as we move between different formats with different scoring?

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