Part 0: "Previously, on Petrov Day..."

By Raymond Arnold

One year ago, many people on LessWrong received a DM asking them to choose the most important virtue of Petrov Day, with four listed options that we'd seen people argue for in previous years.

1. "Avoiding actions that noticeably increase chance that civilization is destroyed"
2. "Accurately reporting your epistemic state"
3. "Quickly orienting to novel situations"
4. "Resisting social pressure."

Then, people who chose one of those options were sent another message saying "Your virtue was in the minority, but you have the power to unilaterally choose the virtue of next year's Petrov Day by clicking a link."

The first person to click the Unilateral Virtue Link was a proponent of "Avoiding actions that noticeably increase the chance that the world will end." But, this virtue was actually in the majority[1]. The first unilateralist of a Virtue Minority was a proponent [...]

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Outline:

(00:05) Part 0: Previously, on Petrov Day...

(00:12) By Raymond Arnold

(03:01) Part I: The 2024 Petrov Day Scenario

(03:07) By Ben Pace

(09:50) Part II: Stats and Feedback Form

(12:18) Part IV: Reflections

(12:23) Reflections by Raymond Arnold

(16:59) Reflections by Ben Pace

The original text contained 6 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.

The original text contained 14 images which were described by AI.

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First published:

Source:

Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

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