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Here's a confusion I have about preference orderings in decision theory.
Caveat: the observations I make below feel weirdly trivial to me, to the point that I feel wary of making a post about them at all; the specter of readers rolling their eyes and thinking "oh he's just talking about X in a really weird way" looms large in my mind as I type. It feels like I'm probably just unaware of some standard term or concept in the literature, which would make everything "snap into place" if I knew about it. If so, let me know.
diagrams
Let's say I draw something like this:
Here, the letters represent something like "world states," and an arrow like _mathrm{A} rightarrow mathrm{C}_ means "C is preferred to A (by the 'agent' whose preferences this graph describes)."
For now I'm being hand-wavey about exactly what's being expressed here, but [...]
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Outline:
(00:41) diagrams
(02:28) preferred vs. accessible
(06:07) two readings
(08:48) preference cycles
(15:09) so what?
The original text contained 4 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.
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First published:
Source:
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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
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Images from the article:
Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.
By LessWrongHere's a confusion I have about preference orderings in decision theory.
Caveat: the observations I make below feel weirdly trivial to me, to the point that I feel wary of making a post about them at all; the specter of readers rolling their eyes and thinking "oh he's just talking about X in a really weird way" looms large in my mind as I type. It feels like I'm probably just unaware of some standard term or concept in the literature, which would make everything "snap into place" if I knew about it. If so, let me know.
diagrams
Let's say I draw something like this:
Here, the letters represent something like "world states," and an arrow like _mathrm{A} rightarrow mathrm{C}_ means "C is preferred to A (by the 'agent' whose preferences this graph describes)."
For now I'm being hand-wavey about exactly what's being expressed here, but [...]
---
Outline:
(00:41) diagrams
(02:28) preferred vs. accessible
(06:07) two readings
(08:48) preference cycles
(15:09) so what?
The original text contained 4 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.
---
First published:
Source:
---
Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
---
Images from the article:
Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.

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