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“A Simple Toy Coherence Theorem” by johnswentworth, David Lorell


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Audio note: this article contains 88 uses of latex notation, so the narration may be difficult to follow. There's a link to the original text in the episode description.


This post presents a simple toy coherence theorem, and then uses it to address various common confusions about coherence arguments.

Setting

Deterministic MDP. That means at each time _t_ there's a state _S[t]_[1], the agent/policy takes an action _A[t]_ (which can depend on both time _t_ and current state _S[t]_), and then the next state _S[t+1]_ is fully determined by _S[t]_ and _A[t]_. The current state and current action are sufficient to tell us the next state.

We will think about values over the state at some final time _T_. Note that often in MDPs there is an incremental reward each timestep in addition to a final reward at the end; in our setting there is zero [...]


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Outline:

(00:25) Setting

(01:30) Theorem

(01:48) Proof

(07:51) Anti-Takeaways: Things Which Dont Generalize

(07:57) Determinism

(08:48) Takeaways: Things Which (I Expect) Do Generalize

(08:55) Coherence Is Nontrivial For Optimization At A Distance

(11:18) We Didnt Need Trades, Adversaries, Money-Pumping, Etc

(12:06) Approximation

(12:54) Coherence Is About Revealed Preferences

The original text contained 3 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.

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First published:

August 2nd, 2024

Source:

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/DXxEp3QWzeiyPMM3y/a-simple-toy-coherence-theorem

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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

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