When I hear a lot of people talk about Slow Takeoff, many of them seem like they are mostly imagining the early part of that takeoff – the part that feels human comprehensible. They're still not imagining superintelligence in the limit.

There are some genres of Slow Takeoff that culminate in somebody "leveraging controlled AI to help fully solve the alignment problem, eventually get fully aligned superintelligence, and then end the acute risk period."

But the sort of person I'm thinking of, for this blogpost, usually doesn't seem to have a concrete visualization of something that could plausibly end the period where anyone could choose to deploy uncontrolled superintelligence. They tend to not like Coherent Extrapolated Volition or similar things.

They seem to be imagining a multipolar d/acc world, where defensive technologies and balance of power is such that you keep getting something like a regular economy running. [...]

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Outline:

(03:09) Part 1: Slow Takeoff

(03:34) Chapter 1

(08:20) Chapter 2

(09:32) Chapter 3

(10:56) Part II: Point of Inflection

(11:00) Chapter 4

(14:22) Chapter 5

(20:17) Chapter 6

(23:41) Part III: Singularity

(23:46) Chapter 7:

(27:02) Chapter 8

(43:24) Chapter 9

(47:01) Postscript

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First published:

Source:

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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.