I'm somewhat hesitant to write this post because I worry its central claim will be misconstrued, but I think it's important to say now, so I'm writing it anyway.

Claude Opus 4.6 was released on February 5th. GPT-5.3 came out the same day. We've had a little over two weeks to use these models, and in the past day or so, I and others have started to realize, AGI is here.

Now, I don't want to overstate what I mean by this, so let me be clear on the criteria I'm using. If I were sitting back in 2018, before the release of GPT-2, and you asked me what AGI would be capable of, I'd probably have said something like this:

1. able to think (and engage in novel reasoning)
2. able to plan (and create plans for actions never before envisioned)
3. able to achieve goals (including instrumental goals set by itself)
4. flexible enough to meaningfully attempt most tasks a human can

It's hard to deny that Opus 4.6 and GPT-5.3 are able to do 1-3. The only one up for real debate is 4, because there are things that I can do, like make a peanut butter sandwich, that [...]

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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.