Agri-Pulse DriveTime

The Senate Ag Committee will reconsider its farm bill proposal tomorrow.Cryptocurrency legislation fails in the U.S. Senate. Winter wheat planting is running behind average and ethanol exports are up compared to last year.

Legislators are back in Washington with a full agenda and a clock ticking down to the November elections. Farmers and ag interests are in town lobbying for a new farm bill and energy policy. Crops are maturing and the harvest pace is picking up across the nation.

Soybean traders were caught leaning toward the bullish side of the market as the USDA increased it's estimated production forecast for the season ahead. As expected, the September crop report lowered both the average corn yield and total production. The USDA lowered expectations for Brazilian corn exports and left its Argentine corn forecast unchanged at 63 mmt.

Crude oil prices continued to climb while stock prices turned lower. Traders see inflation fears pushing the Fed to raise interest rates at its meeting next week. Commodity prices rallied in front of tomorrow's USDA WASDE report. High sulfur prices may be putting agriculture and food security at risk.

Diesel fuel prices are setting records this week just as farmers are ramping up machines to facilitate this year's harvest. The increased expense threatens to offset any relief from the recent bounce in commodity prices. A survey of market analysts suggests traders are expecting the USDA's WASDE estimates Friday will show lower corn and soybean production.

The nation's agriculture mourns the loss of Iowa soybean farmer, Ray Gaesser. He worked to develop farm policy and support renewable fuel with fellow ag leaders, but was also an advocate for soil health and climate smart ag practices. In a 2023 interview, he gave testimony to conservation tillage on his own farm.

Farmers are turning to practices to improve soil health to maintain nutrients and boost productivity. Soybean leaders say Small Refinery Exemptions were never intended to stay in the nation's renewable energy program.

New estimates suggest better farm income for the year ahead, but input costs continue rising. Reports suggest th EPA is considering eliminating a federal requirement that states notify the public and seek comment before issuing air pollution permits for data centers and other industrial facilities. Private crop estimates expect the USDA to lower crop production in next week's WASDE report.

Commodity leaders continue to call on legislators to complete work on a new farm bill. John Bode with the Corn Refiners Association has faith in the U.S. trade team and says Canada is too important to ignore as a trading partner and calls on the Trump administration to approve an updated USMCA.

Conflict between the U.S. and Iran escalated again today further clouding the outlook for safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz.  Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins announced plans to modernize USDA data collection. Undersecretary Richard Fordyce says it will be an evolution toward greater accuracy.