Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition

On today's podcast:

1) Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell downplayed growth concerns and the impact of President Donald Trump's trade war on inflation, calling the inflationary effect of tariffs "transitory".

2) President Donald Trump said the Federal Reserve should cut interest rates, splitting with the US central bank as officials weigh the economic cost of his tariff push. 

3) Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy agreed to a proposal for a mutual halt to strikes on energy assets as an initial step in President Donald Trump’s effort to end the war that began with Russia’s full-scale invasion three years ago.

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Bloomberg's Tom Keene, Jonathan Ferro and Lisa Abramowicz discuss remarks from Fed Chair Jay Powell following the Federal Reserve's latest policy decision on a special edition of Bloomberg Surveillance.
Federal Reserve officials held their benchmark interest rate steady for a second straight meeting, caught between mounting concerns that the economy is slowing and inflation could remain stubbornly high.
Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged the high degree of uncertainty from President Donald Trump’s significant policy changes, but repeated the central bank is not in a hurry to adjust borrowing costs. He said officials can wait for greater clarity on the impact of those policies on the economy before acting.

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On today's podcast:

1) President Vladimir Putin refused to give Donald Trump the 30-day ceasefire in Ukraine he and his team had demanded on the path toward ending the three-year conflict. It was still good enough for the US president.

2) Turkish authorities detained Ekrem Imamoglu, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s most prominent rival, in a widening crackdown on opposition that triggered a selloff in Turkish markets.

3) Morgan Stanley is planning to cut about 2,000 employees later this month in the first major workforce reduction under Chief Executive Officer Ted Pick.

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On today's podcast:

1) President Donald Trump said the US and Russia are already talking about dividing “assets” as part of a push to end the fighting in Ukraine, the latest sign that he may be preparing to sacrifice Kyiv’s interests when he speaks with Vladimir Putin on Tuesday.

2) Israel launched a series of airstrikes overnight across Gaza, shattering a nearly two-month ceasefire with Hamas.Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu vowed to act “with increasing military strength” and said the Palestinian militant group had repeatedly refused to release the hostages it’s holding.

3) Two NASA astronauts stuck in orbit for nine months finally departed the International Space Station aboard a SpaceX capsule on Tuesday, kicking off their long-awaited voyage home.

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On today's podcast:   

1) President Donald Trump said he’ll speak with Russian President Vladimir Putin on Tuesday as the US presses for an end to fighting in Ukraine and European nations rush to bolster their support for Kyiv.
“We are doing pretty well I think with Russia,” Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One on Sunday. “We’ll see if we have something to announce maybe by Tuesday,” he said, adding that there is “a very good chance” for a deal. 
The Trump administration has pushed for a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine amid a flurry of renewed engagement between Washington and Moscow, three years after Russia’s full-scale invasion. Yet that effort has sparked angst among European leaders who worry Trump may concede too much on Ukraine’s behalf in a direct exchange with Putin and leave Kyiv without any longer-term security guarantees.   

2) Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, a former hedge fund manager, said he’s not worried about the recent downturn that’s wiped trillions of dollars from the equities market as the US seeks to reshape its economic policies. 
“I’ve been in the investment business for 35 years, and I can tell you that corrections are healthy, they are normal,” Bessent said Sunday on NBC’s Meet The Press. “I‘m not worried about the markets. Over the long term, if we put good tax policy in place, deregulation and energy security, the markets will do great.”   

3) The Trump administration said it arrested and expelled hundreds of alleged members of Venezuela’s Tren de Aragua gang to El Salvador for imprisonment, even as a federal judge ordered a halt to some deportations.
“This weekend, at the President’s direction, the Department of Homeland Security successfully arrested nearly 300 Tren De Aragua terrorists, saving countless American lives,” White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said Sunday in a statement. “These heinous monsters were extracted and removed to El Salvador where they will no longer be able to pose any threat to the American People.”
The US is paying El Salvador to hold the Venezuelans under an agreement Secretary of State Marco Rubio brokered with the Central American country’s president, Nayib Bukele. Some 238 members of the gang were transferred to a terrorism confinement center, Bukele said on X. 

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Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Tom Busby takes a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week.

• In the US – a preview of next week’s Fed decision and earnings from FedEx.
• In the UK – a preview of Morgan Stanley’s European Financials Conference.
• In Asia – a preview of Tencent earnings and the next BOJ decision.

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On today's podcast:

1) Part of the equity optimism comes on signs the US will avert a government shutdown. Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer opted not to block the Republican bill, avoiding a government shutdown.

2) The US quietly tightens sanctions on Russia as it seeks a ceasefire deal. The Trump administration let a license covering payments for energy to a handful of Russian banks expire, making it difficult for foreign oil refineries, traders, and buyers of Russian gas to pay Russia in dollars or other Western currencies.

3) President Trump's trade war continues to impact global markets. Companies worldwide are planning for the worst as President Trump's tariffs create uncertainty, with some setting up "tariff task forces" to mitigate the impact on sales, profits, and market shares.

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On today's podcast:

1) President Donald Trump said the US would respond to the European Union’s countermeasures against his new 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum, raising the risk of further escalation in his global trade war.

2) Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer said his party would block a Republican spending bill to avert a government shutdown on Saturday and urged the GOP to accept a Democratic plan to provide funding through April 11 instead.

3) The worst of the US equity correction may be over, with credit markets indicating a lower risk of recession, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.

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On today's podcast:

1) The European Union launched countermeasures on Wednesday against new US metals tariffs, with plans to impose its own duties on €26 billion ($28.3 billion) worth of American goods.

2) Less than two weeks after Donald Trump lambasted Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy in an Oval Office confrontation, the US president put the pressure on Russia to accept a ceasefire agreement hammered out with Zelenskiy’s advisers.

3) House Republicans passed legislation to keep the US government open past a Saturday shutdown deadline, daring moderate Democrats in the Senate to block the measure over objections it fails to constrain Elon Musk’s cost-cutting crusade.

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Bloomberg's Nathan Hager breaks down the recent market volatility with Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson and Bloomberg Opinion contributor Mohamed El-Erian.

 
Global stocks steadied from a selloff and US stock futures signaled a Wall Street bounce, as Bloomberg News reported President Donald Trump will meet with top business executives later in the day. Contracts for the Nasdaq 100 rose 0.5% after the index’s deepest slump since 2022, while those on the S&P 500 climbed 0.4%. Tesla Inc. shares rose in premarket trading after Monday’s 15% slide while other tech names including Nvidia Corp. also edged higher. In Europe, the Stoxx 600 index was steady while earlier, Asian shares bounced off an intraday five-week low.There was relief for other risk assets too, as Bitcoin stabilized after a five-day selloff and oil prices notched a small bounce from Monday’s drop. However, concerns over the once unstoppable resilience of the US economy continue to support Treasury markets, with 10-year yields edging lower again on Tuesday. The dollar index slid 0.3%.

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