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“Book review: Everything Is Predictable” by PeterMcCluskey
This is a link post.
Book review: Everything Is Predictable: How Bayesian Statistics Explain
Our World, by Tom Chivers.
Many have attempted to persuade the world to embrace a Bayesian
worldview, but none have succeeded in reaching a broad audience.
E.T. Jaynes'
book
has been a leading example, but its appeal is limited to those who find
calculus enjoyable, making it unsuitable for a wider readership.
Other attempts to engage a broader audience often focus on a narrower
understanding, such as Bayes'
Theorem, rather than the
complete worldview.
Claude's most fitting recommendation was Rationality: From AI to
Zombies, but at 1,813 pages, it's
too long and unstructured for me to comfortably recommend to most
readers. (GPT-4o's suggestions were less helpful, focusing only on
resources for practical problem-solving).
Aubrey Clayton's book, Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and
the Crisis of Modern
Science,
only came to my attention [...]
---
Outline:
(01:25) Basics
(02:24) The Replication Crisis
(03:47) Minds Approximate Bayes
(04:05) Concluding Thoughts
---
First published:
May 27th, 2024
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/DcEThyBPZfJvC5tpp/book-review-everything-is-predictable-1
---
Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
View all episodes
By LessWrongThis is a link post.
Book review: Everything Is Predictable: How Bayesian Statistics Explain
Our World, by Tom Chivers.
Many have attempted to persuade the world to embrace a Bayesian
worldview, but none have succeeded in reaching a broad audience.
E.T. Jaynes'
book
has been a leading example, but its appeal is limited to those who find
calculus enjoyable, making it unsuitable for a wider readership.
Other attempts to engage a broader audience often focus on a narrower
understanding, such as Bayes'
Theorem, rather than the
complete worldview.
Claude's most fitting recommendation was Rationality: From AI to
Zombies, but at 1,813 pages, it's
too long and unstructured for me to comfortably recommend to most
readers. (GPT-4o's suggestions were less helpful, focusing only on
resources for practical problem-solving).
Aubrey Clayton's book, Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and
the Crisis of Modern
Science,
only came to my attention [...]
---
Outline:
(01:25) Basics
(02:24) The Replication Crisis
(03:47) Minds Approximate Bayes
(04:05) Concluding Thoughts
---
First published:
May 27th, 2024
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/DcEThyBPZfJvC5tpp/book-review-everything-is-predictable-1
---
Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
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