Sign up to save your podcasts
Or
Share “Book review: Everything Is Predictable” by PeterMcCluskey
Share to email
Share to Facebook
Share to X
Share to email
Share to Facebook
Share to X
Or
“Book review: Everything Is Predictable” by PeterMcCluskey
This is a link post.
Book review: Everything Is Predictable: How Bayesian Statistics Explain
Our World, by Tom Chivers.
Many have attempted to persuade the world to embrace a Bayesian
worldview, but none have succeeded in reaching a broad audience.
E.T. Jaynes'
book
has been a leading example, but its appeal is limited to those who find
calculus enjoyable, making it unsuitable for a wider readership.
Other attempts to engage a broader audience often focus on a narrower
understanding, such as Bayes'
Theorem, rather than the
complete worldview.
Claude's most fitting recommendation was Rationality: From AI to
Zombies, but at 1,813 pages, it's
too long and unstructured for me to comfortably recommend to most
readers. (GPT-4o's suggestions were less helpful, focusing only on
resources for practical problem-solving).
Aubrey Clayton's book, Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and
the Crisis of Modern
Science,
only came to my attention [...]
---
Outline:
(01:25) Basics
(02:24) The Replication Crisis
(03:47) Minds Approximate Bayes
(04:05) Concluding Thoughts
---
First published:
May 27th, 2024
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/DcEThyBPZfJvC5tpp/book-review-everything-is-predictable-1
---
Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
View all episodes
By LessWrongThis is a link post.
Book review: Everything Is Predictable: How Bayesian Statistics Explain
Our World, by Tom Chivers.
Many have attempted to persuade the world to embrace a Bayesian
worldview, but none have succeeded in reaching a broad audience.
E.T. Jaynes'
book
has been a leading example, but its appeal is limited to those who find
calculus enjoyable, making it unsuitable for a wider readership.
Other attempts to engage a broader audience often focus on a narrower
understanding, such as Bayes'
Theorem, rather than the
complete worldview.
Claude's most fitting recommendation was Rationality: From AI to
Zombies, but at 1,813 pages, it's
too long and unstructured for me to comfortably recommend to most
readers. (GPT-4o's suggestions were less helpful, focusing only on
resources for practical problem-solving).
Aubrey Clayton's book, Bernoulli's Fallacy: Statistical Illogic and
the Crisis of Modern
Science,
only came to my attention [...]
---
Outline:
(01:25) Basics
(02:24) The Replication Crisis
(03:47) Minds Approximate Bayes
(04:05) Concluding Thoughts
---
First published:
May 27th, 2024
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/DcEThyBPZfJvC5tpp/book-review-everything-is-predictable-1
---
Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
More shows like LessWrong (30+ Karma)
View all
Making Sense with Sam Harris
26,348 Listeners
Conversations with Tyler
2,456 Listeners
The Peter Attia Drive
8,494 Listeners
Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas
4,170 Listeners
ManifoldOne
95 Listeners
Your Undivided Attention
1,612 Listeners
All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
9,971 Listeners
Machine Learning Street Talk (MLST)
95 Listeners
Dwarkesh Podcast
517 Listeners
Hard Fork
5,512 Listeners
The Ezra Klein Show
15,833 Listeners
Moonshots with Peter Diamandis
554 Listeners
No Priors: Artificial Intelligence | Technology | Startups
130 Listeners
Latent Space: The AI Engineer Podcast
92 Listeners
BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley
473 Listeners