Silicon Bites Ep266 - Day 1,353 - 2025-11-07 | Civil War is Kremlin’s #1 Fear, according to the Kremlin’s own chief sociologist. If I was asked this question, I’d have said it’s a low probability, as is the fragmentation of Russia into myriad smaller states. Not impossible, but very unlikely, even after the conclusion of Putin’s disastrous war in Ukraine. On this channel, we have speculated extensively that a palace coup is more likely, or a kind of oligarch civil war, for a limited period and with limited scope. But Alexander Kharichev has put in black and white what Moscow usually whispers— the number one threat to Russia is… civil war, he writes. So, do they know something we don’t? Or is this classic paranoia from the minion of a tyrannical and geriatric dictator? Is this Kremlin syndrome that sees enemies and calamity around every corner? Let’s explore this question. “Who Are We?”: The Kremlin’s early warning system. Alexander Kharichev, the powerful head of the Presidential Directorate for Monitoring and Analysis of Social Processes, published an essay called “Кто мы?” (Who Are We?) in the journal Gosudarstvo. In it, he lists five “civilizational challenges,” facing Russia, and more specifically the Kremlin, and tops the list with civil war / internal split. Russian business daily Vedomosti reviewed the piece and confirmed the framing and source.----------SOURCES: Michael Naki: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wn1HBcsrwDA&t=941s https://www.gazeta.ru/social/news/2025/11/05/27105038.shtml https://sia.ru/?section=410&action=show_news&id=16821490 https://www.moscowtimes.ru/2025/11/05/v-kremle-uvideli-ugrozu-grazhdanskoi-voini-v-rossii-a179190 https://deita.ru/article/577119 https://charter97.org/ru/news/2025/11/5/661891/----------This is super important. There are so many Battalions in Ukraine, fighting to defend our freedoms, but lack basics such as vehicles. These are destroyed on a regular basis, and lack of transport is costs lives, and Ukrainian territory. Autumn Harvest: Silicon Curtain (Goal€22,000)https://car4ukraine.com/campaigns/autumn-harvest-silicon-curtain----------SILICON CURTAIN LIVE EVENTS - FUNDRAISER CAMPAIGN Events in 2025 - Advocacy for a Ukrainian victory with Silicon Curtainhttps://buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtain/extras----------DESCRIPTION:Is Russia Facing Civil War? Kremlin's Top Threat RevealedIn this episode of Silicon Bites, the host discusses a recent article by Alexander Karachi, a senior Kremlin sociologist, which reveals that the Kremlin's number one fear is civil war in Russia. The episode delves into the five civilizational challenges listed in the article and argues that a palace coup or elite conflict over resources is a more likely scenario than a full-blown civil war. The script also examines the economic strains, rising living costs, and extreme military spending that are exacerbating Russia's vulnerabilities. The episode ends by highlighting the Kremlin's flawed solutions of increased militarization and ideological indoctrination, which may accelerate the fragmentation and collapse of the Russian state.----------CHAPTERS:00:00 Introduction and Gratitude00:58 The Kremlin's Greatest Fear: Civil War02:17 Analyzing the Article: Five Civilizational Challenges11:59 Economic Strain and War Spending18:25 Corruption and Internal Conflict23:44 Potential Regime Collapse and Future Outlook26:27 Conclusion: The Kremlin's Paranoia and Future----------SUPPORT THE CHANNEL:https://www.buymeacoffee.com/siliconcurtainhttps://www.patreon.com/siliconcurtain----------