This week, Will and Ben preview one of the biggest USDA report days of the year.
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Market recap (changes on week):
- March corn down $.24 at $6.52
- December 2023 corn down $.16 at $5.90
- March soybeans down $.04 at $14.88
- November soybeans down $.20 at $13.91
- January soybean oil down 1.67 cents at 63.35 cents/lb
- January soybean meal up $5.30 at $470.30/short ton
- March wheat down $.46 at $7.41
- July wheat down $.42 at $7.55
- January WTI Crude Oil down $4.17 at $75.10/barrel
Weekly highlights:
- The last month has been a brutal stretch for US ethanol producers with returns over operating costs below a reasonable production threshold and in some cases negative. Low to negative operating margins reduced ethanol production fell to 248 million gallons on the week- its lowest volume since March 2021.
- Export sales pulled back in a big way for feed grains with corn and wheat well below even pre-report trade expectations. This was the fourth straight week of zero grain sorghum sales. Soybeans sales were modest but well below their recent volumes as well.
- Open interest in Chicago’s Corn and Soybeans increased 3% week over week to start the year. Managed money also increased for corn and soybeans building on net longs while increasing the net shorts for Chicago wheats.
- Weekly AG export inspections were all within pre-report trade expectations but continue to cause concern in the market. Corn and soybeans were down week over week, while grain sorghum and wheat were up from the week prior.
Topics:
- Market recap
- USDA report previews
- Supply and demand update
- U.S. acreage
- South American production
- Ending stocks/ 2023 demand
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