Market recap (changes on week):
- December corn down $.16 at $6.75
- November soybeans up $.33 at $14.07
- December soybean oil up 3.13 cents at 76.33 cents/lb
- December soybean meal down $9.10 at $419/short ton
- December wheat down $.37 at $8.45
- July wheat down $.24 at $8.79
- WTI Crude Oil up $5.41 at $90.81/barrel
Weekly highlights:
- Ethanol production increased for the fifth straight week- up to nearly 306 million gallons per week.
- The Federal Reserve Increased their Federal Funds benchmark 75 basis points for the fourth straight time this year- bringing the rate to 3.75-4.00.
- US ag export sales were mixed on the week. Up for corn and wheat, but flat for grain sorghum and down for soybeans, soybean meal and soybean oil. Soybean meal and oil fell below all expectations.
- Open interest futures and options positions of Chicago wheat continue to be on a slow but consistent increase, Chicago corn future and option open interest positions were up 3% while Chicago soybean open interest was down 7% (22% over two weeks). Money managers increased their net positions of corn and soybeans while selling off some Chicago wheat positions.
- Weekly grain exports were week for feed grains- falling below expectations for corn, grain sorghum and wheat. However, export inspections of soybeans were strong and above expectations coming in at the 3rd highest weekly volume over the last year.
- 92% of the US winter wheat crop has been planted up to this point- although the condition is historically low.
- USDA ERS came out with their 2023-2033 baseline assumptions on Monday- their assumption for US corn production of trend line yield of 181.5 bushels per acre and 92 million planted acres puts corn production at a record 15.265 billion bushels.
- Soybean trend line yield of 52 bushels per acre for 2022/23.
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