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This episode provided Warren Buffett's foundational belief thatΒ interest rates act as the "gravity" of the financial world, profoundly influencing asset prices and economic activity. It explains how interest ratesΒ directly impact intrinsic valuationΒ through discounted cash flow (DCF) models, where a higher rate lowers the present value of future earnings. Furthermore, the sources detail how these ratesΒ reshape corporate behaviorΒ by affecting borrowing costs, investment decisions (hurdle rates), and overall profitability, acting as a "quality filter" for businesses. On a macroeconomic scale, interest rates are shown to be theΒ Federal Reserve's primary leverΒ for controlling economic growth and inflation, fundamentally altering the "price of risk" in the financial system. Finally, Buffett's historical analysis of two distinct periods (1964-1981 and 1982-1999) empirically demonstrates howΒ changes in interest rates, not just economic growth, were the dominant drivers of stock market returns, ultimately emphasizing the importance of understanding this fundamental force for rational investment, rather than for market timing.
π Value Investing Book List
Warren Buffett
The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life
Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FVasqy
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3HIfeZ2
Paperback: https://amzn.to/4kBjUOZ
Warren Buffett and the Interpretation of Financial Statements (by Marry Buffett)
Kindle: https://amzn.to/43Vr5dD
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4n6yNus
Paperback: https://amzn.to/45XBBDL
ββββββββββββββββββββββββ
Charlie Munger
Poor Charlieβs Almanack
Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Zsw9VB
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4jMExq7
Collector's Edition: https://amzn.to/3SRgsn7
Tao of Charlie Munger
Kindle: https://amzn.to/4nk0akT
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/44eq8OR
Influence, New and Expanded: The Psychology of Persuasion
Kindle: https://amzn.to/4619DqL
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/40a8TMi
Paperback: https://amzn.to/40gtwq7
ββββββββββββββββββββββββ
Howard Marks
The Most Important Thing (Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor)
Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Tqb4Yg
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3SRyy8A
Paperback: https://amzn.to/45ohdM0
Mastering The Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side
Kindle: https://amzn.to/3HXPmby
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/45X6AQq
Paperback: https://amzn.to/44oPGYP
ββββββββββββββββββββββββ
Money Philosophies
The Psychology of Money: Timeless lessons on wealth, greed, and happiness
Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FDbO9u
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4kL3TGi
Paperback: https://amzn.to/44fpkcC
Limited Gift Version: https://amzn.to/4jYomGp
Same as Ever: A Guide to What Never Changes
Kindle: https://amzn.to/3HXBJcp
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4l7vPno
Paperback: https://amzn.to/4k2ZHRe
The Almanack of Naval Ravikant: A Guide to Wealth and Happiness
Kindle: https://amzn.to/4lx2a7F
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4kGX5tf
Paperback: https://amzn.to/3ZEMXsC
ββββββββββββββββββββββββ
Classic Principles
The Intelligent Investor
Kindle: https://amzn.to/45T9OEv
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4l4f7W3
Paperback: https://amzn.to/43ZNyXb
Security Analysis, Seventh Edition: Principles and Techniques
Kindle: https://amzn.to/442yKak
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3TmEEhg
Margin of Safety: Risk-Averse Value Investing Strategies for the Thoughtful Investor
Collector Edition: https://amzn.to/4lrgWNd
ββββββββββββββββββββββββ
Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheDeepValue
Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/deep-value-investing/id1811057697
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2XDn2NMbbfvrJiqk9xAqR9?si=YsWJodQKS7CEMq5Twdh_8Q
Disclaimer: All analysis is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to revisions or differing interpretations. The content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Like and Subscribe us on Apple, Spotify Podcasts or Youtube channel: Deep Value Investing! Donβt forget to take the book list of value investing from the episode description!
5
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This episode provided Warren Buffett's foundational belief thatΒ interest rates act as the "gravity" of the financial world, profoundly influencing asset prices and economic activity. It explains how interest ratesΒ directly impact intrinsic valuationΒ through discounted cash flow (DCF) models, where a higher rate lowers the present value of future earnings. Furthermore, the sources detail how these ratesΒ reshape corporate behaviorΒ by affecting borrowing costs, investment decisions (hurdle rates), and overall profitability, acting as a "quality filter" for businesses. On a macroeconomic scale, interest rates are shown to be theΒ Federal Reserve's primary leverΒ for controlling economic growth and inflation, fundamentally altering the "price of risk" in the financial system. Finally, Buffett's historical analysis of two distinct periods (1964-1981 and 1982-1999) empirically demonstrates howΒ changes in interest rates, not just economic growth, were the dominant drivers of stock market returns, ultimately emphasizing the importance of understanding this fundamental force for rational investment, rather than for market timing.
π Value Investing Book List
Warren Buffett
The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life
Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FVasqy
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3HIfeZ2
Paperback: https://amzn.to/4kBjUOZ
Warren Buffett and the Interpretation of Financial Statements (by Marry Buffett)
Kindle: https://amzn.to/43Vr5dD
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4n6yNus
Paperback: https://amzn.to/45XBBDL
ββββββββββββββββββββββββ
Charlie Munger
Poor Charlieβs Almanack
Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Zsw9VB
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4jMExq7
Collector's Edition: https://amzn.to/3SRgsn7
Tao of Charlie Munger
Kindle: https://amzn.to/4nk0akT
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/44eq8OR
Influence, New and Expanded: The Psychology of Persuasion
Kindle: https://amzn.to/4619DqL
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/40a8TMi
Paperback: https://amzn.to/40gtwq7
ββββββββββββββββββββββββ
Howard Marks
The Most Important Thing (Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor)
Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Tqb4Yg
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3SRyy8A
Paperback: https://amzn.to/45ohdM0
Mastering The Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side
Kindle: https://amzn.to/3HXPmby
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/45X6AQq
Paperback: https://amzn.to/44oPGYP
ββββββββββββββββββββββββ
Money Philosophies
The Psychology of Money: Timeless lessons on wealth, greed, and happiness
Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FDbO9u
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4kL3TGi
Paperback: https://amzn.to/44fpkcC
Limited Gift Version: https://amzn.to/4jYomGp
Same as Ever: A Guide to What Never Changes
Kindle: https://amzn.to/3HXBJcp
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4l7vPno
Paperback: https://amzn.to/4k2ZHRe
The Almanack of Naval Ravikant: A Guide to Wealth and Happiness
Kindle: https://amzn.to/4lx2a7F
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4kGX5tf
Paperback: https://amzn.to/3ZEMXsC
ββββββββββββββββββββββββ
Classic Principles
The Intelligent Investor
Kindle: https://amzn.to/45T9OEv
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4l4f7W3
Paperback: https://amzn.to/43ZNyXb
Security Analysis, Seventh Edition: Principles and Techniques
Kindle: https://amzn.to/442yKak
Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3TmEEhg
Margin of Safety: Risk-Averse Value Investing Strategies for the Thoughtful Investor
Collector Edition: https://amzn.to/4lrgWNd
ββββββββββββββββββββββββ
Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheDeepValue
Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/deep-value-investing/id1811057697
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2XDn2NMbbfvrJiqk9xAqR9?si=YsWJodQKS7CEMq5Twdh_8Q
Disclaimer: All analysis is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to revisions or differing interpretations. The content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Like and Subscribe us on Apple, Spotify Podcasts or Youtube channel: Deep Value Investing! Donβt forget to take the book list of value investing from the episode description!
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