Shawn O’Malley and Daniel Mahncke break down Universal Music Group (ticker: UMG), a company that controls a royalty stream on roughly ⅓ of the world’s music in an oligopolistic industry also dominated by Sony and Warner Music Group. Universal has incredibly high-quality earnings, with a very stable business and excess returns on capital — a recipe that is very appealing to investors at the right price.

In this episode, you’ll learn about the economics of the music industry, how Universal creates value for artists, what the company is doing in response to AI, the mutually dependent relationship between labels and music streaming platforms, and whether Universal Music Group’s stock is attractively priced, plus so much more!

IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN:

00:00 - Intro

05:00 - Why royalties from the music industry are so stable

07:57 - How Universal Music Group makes money and supports artists

11:12 - How Universal operates as an oligopoly alongside Sony and Warner Music Group

20:24 - The economics of digital streaming

43:48 - Why Universal’s leading market share position reinforces its advantages

01:04:48 - About UMG’s unique business model as a serial acquirer of music catalogs

01:10:35 - How to think about modeling UMG’s intrinsic value

01:21:27 - Whether Shawn and Daniel add UMG to their Intrinsic Value Portfolio

*Disclaimer: Slight timestamp discrepancies may occur due to podcast platform differences.

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Daniel Mahncke and Shawn O’Malley dive into Berkshire Hathaway, the billion-dollar conglomerate built by Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger that’s grown from a struggling textile mill into one of the most valuable companies in the world. With core pillars in insurance, railroads, and energy, plus a $250 billion equity portfolio anchored by Apple, Berkshire is often seen as the ultimate compounding machine. Its decentralized structure, conservative balance sheet, and reputation for permanence make it unlike any other business in corporate America.

IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN:

00:00 - Intro

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Shawn O’Malley and Daniel Mahncke break down Match Group (ticker: MTCH), a company that operates as part of a duopoly in online dating, owning a number of dating platforms, including Tinder, Match.com, Hinge, OkCupid, and more, with specialized platforms appealing to certain demographics and dating niches. During the Pandemic, the company was a popular growth stock, but as the number of paying users at Tinder has declined, the business has stagnated, and the market has punished it severely. Yet, the company is still quite profitable, yielding a seemingly attractive valuation. 

In this episode, you’ll learn about the unique business behind online dating, why Match is having trouble resonating with Gen Z, how large the TAM is for online dating, the most important things the company is focusing on to reinvigorate Tinder, why Hinge may be the future of Match Group and online dating, and whether Match Group is attractively priced, plus so much more!

IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN:

00:00 – Intro

07:24 - What advantages Match Group has in its favor as the world’s largest online-dating company

29:05 - About Match’s origin story as a spinoff and its executive turnover

35:59 - The biggest structural challenges weighing on Match Group’s growth

44:44 - Why the senior dating market may be a growth engine for Match Group

46:50 - How Match Group operates and competes as part of a duopoly with Bumble

47:19 - Why investors are so weary of the online dating industry

01:03:18 - How to think about modeling MTCH’s intrinsic value

01:07:28 - Whether Shawn and Daniel add MTCH to their Intrinsic Value Portfolio

*Disclaimer: Slight timestamp discrepancies may occur due to podcast platform differences.

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Daniel Mahncke and Shawn O’Malley dive into Dell Technologies, the legacy PC giant that’s quietly become one of the largest suppliers of AI infrastructure in the world. Once seen as a low-growth hardware player, Dell now sits at the heart of the data center buildout — shipping billions of dollars worth of GPU-powered servers to customers like xAI, Meta, and Microsoft. With a growing AI backlog, enterprise trust, and deep global reach, Dell might be one of the most overlooked players in today’s AI cycle.

IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN

00:00 – Intro

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Shawn O’Malley and Daniel Mahncke break down Ferrari (ticker: RACE), a company whose stock is arguably just as impressive as its high-performance and ultra-luxury vehicles. By global automotive standards, Ferrari hardly has any sales volumes, selling about 14,000 cars a year, yet these vehicles come with such premium price tags that the company can reasonably command a $90 billion market valuation still.

IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN

00:00 – Intro

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Daniel Mahncke and Shawn O’Malley dive into Crocs, the footwear company that turned a ridiculed foam clog into a global fashion phenomenon. After a post-IPO collapse and years of overextension, Crocs has staged one of the most impressive brand comebacks in recent retail history — now fueled by strong margins, loyal customers, and bold international expansion. But there are still some challenges and risks. The HEYDUDE acquisition wasn’t successful yet, and the turnaround will still take time, and there are still reasonable doubts around the sustainability of the growth and fashion relevance of Crocs.

In this episode, Shawn and Daniel unpack what’s driving Crocs' profitability, why its turnaround worked, and whether its Asia strategy could be the next big unlock. They break down the brand's unique mix of comfort and cultural cachet, the economics of Jibbitz and limited-edition drops, and how Gen Z’s shift toward athleisure might power a decade of demand. Along the way, they explore whether Crocs is a misunderstood compounder or a hype-driven value trap — and where the stock could go in a bull, bear, and base-case scenario.

IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN

00:00 – Intro

13:38 – Why Crocs almost went bankrupt in 2008 and how it survived

25:44 – What started the second hype cycle

28:35 – What its highly customized designs mean from a business perspective

32:57 – What role social media plays in Crocs’ success

41:31 – How the HEYDUDE acquisition hurt Crocs’ business

50:28 – About Crocs’ international strategy

01:04:23 – Whether Crocs is attractively valued at its current levels

01:09:18 – Whether Shawn & Daniel add CROX to The Intrinsic Value Portfolio

*Disclaimer: Slight timestamp discrepancies may occur due to podcast platform differences.

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Shawn O’Malley and Daniel Mahnke break down Lululemon (ticker: LULU), an iconic brand famous for pioneering the now ubiquitous athleisure industry. Lululemon has a fiercely loyal customer base, with industry-leading rates of repeat customers, sales per square foot of retail space, and very little need for discounting, if any.

In this episode, you’ll learn about why the market has soured on this powerful brand, despite incredible success growing internationally, leaving its P/E ratio at a relatively low 15-16x. You’ll also learn about how Lululemon controls all of its touchpoints with customers, selling primarily DTC, as opposed to wholesale like Nike and Adidas do, as well as whether LULU is attractively valued today, plus so much more!

IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN

00:00 – Intro

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Daniel & Shawn dive into Remitly, the digital remittance platform aiming to disrupt a $2 trillion global market. After years of prioritizing customer acquisition and corridor expansion over profits, Remitly is now approaching a critical inflection point, one where scale, margin leverage, and cash generation could unlock a new phase of investor confidence. But there are risks as well: crypto-native challengers, regulatory uncertainty, and broader concerns about the remittance industry all raise the question of whether the upside is worth the risk.

Here, they unpack Remitly’s moat, including its direct payout network, risk engine, and customer trust, and assess whether these factors are enough to fend off cheaper, faster payment rails, such as stablecoins. They walk through the company’s unit economics and what the valuation model implies under both steady-state and high-growth scenarios. Along the way, they compare Remitly’s customer lock-in strategy to Booking.com, examine the remittance corridor dynamics in India, the Philippines, and Latin America, and debate whether this is a misunderstood fintech with enduring staying power or a product ripe for crypto disruption.

IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN

00:00 – Intro

01:08 – How the remittance market works

01:50 – Why Western Union struggles to compete with Remitly

02:16 – Why and how Remitly was founded

04:48 – What risks Remitly faces

05:01 – How stablecoins could disrupt the remittance industry

11:34 – What competitive advantages Remitly has

17:16 – What digital-first companies compete with Remitly

24:37 – Why scale is everything in the payments sector

27:56 – Whether Remitly is attractively valued at its current levels

29:27 – Whether Shawn & Daniel add RELY to The Intrinsic Value Portfolio

*Disclaimer: Slight timestamp discrepancies may occur due to podcast platform differences.

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Shawn and Daniel break down The Trade Desk (ticker: TTD), a pure-play bet on  the future of digital advertising, focusing specifically on supporting ad buyers who want to get the most value per impression across the so-called “Open Internet.” The Trade Desk has compounded its stock at 43% a year since its IPO almost a decade ago, and in that same period, it has grown revenues at an incredible rate of 50% a year.

Learn about where TTD fits into the programmatic advertising ecosystem, why the company has fewer conflicts of interest than its competitors, how The Trade Desk is positioned to take advantage of antitrust regulatory enforcement against Google,  what they’re trying to do to replace 3rd-party cookies tracking, plus so much more!

IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN

00:00 - Intro

04:38 - What is TTD’s niche in programmatic digital advertising

11:58 - Who are the major players in the digital advertising landscape

12:16 - How advertising across the internet has evolved over time

31:36 - What is the “Open Internet” and how it differs from “Walled Gardens”

36:42 - Why TTD has built its own alternative to 3rd‑party cookies

45:22 - What needs to happen to realize TTD’s vision for the future of programmatic advertising

01:05:27 - Why regulators are taking action against Google’s ad management unit, and how TTD could benefit from that

01:16:38 - Whether Shawn & Daniel add TTD to The Intrinsic Value Portfolio

*Disclaimer: Slight timestamp discrepancies may occur due to podcast platform differences.

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Daniel Mahncke and Shawn O’Malley dive into PayPal’s post-pandemic reset, tracing the fintech pioneer’s slide from market darling to value-story candidate. Once lifted by lockdown spending and eBay tailwinds, PayPal has seen its growth stall, its take-rate decline, and investors seem to have given up on it. In this episode, Shawn and Daniel unpack whether new CEO Alex Chriss’s “profitable growth” playbook, Fastlane one-click checkout, a margin-focused Braintree overhaul, and fresh bets on Ads and the PYUSD stablecoin, can restore momentum.

They also debate how realistic PayPal’s ambitious goals for the future are, what a sustained 6% share shrink via buybacks does for long-term EPS, how the new management team is incentivized, and whether PayPal’s consumer moat still matters in an Apple-Pay world.

IN THIS EPISODE, YOU’LL LEARN

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