Capital Markets Quickie

Stocks rally into the weekend as Iran proposes reopening the Strait of Hormuz and oil retreats, leaving the Nasdaq up more than two percent for the week. Plus: Costco delivers, Meta caps a monster week, and Evonik jumps on BASF interest.

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Disclaimer for "Capital Markets Quickie" Podcast:

The views and opinions expressed on this podcast are based on information available at the time of recording and reflect the personal perspectives of the host. They do not represent the viewpoints of any other projects, cooperations, or affiliations the host may be involved in. "Capital Markets Quickie" does not offer financial advice. Before making any financial decisions, please conduct your own due diligence and consult with a financial advisor.

Xi's first state visit in eleven years delivers an extension of the trade truce into January, while surging Treasury yields hit fresh 2007 highs and keep stocks in check. Plus: Oracle stumbles, oil rebounds, and Germany's Ifo index surprises to the upside.

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Disclaimer for "Capital Markets Quickie" Podcast:

The views and opinions expressed on this podcast are based on information available at the time of recording and reflect the personal perspectives of the host. They do not represent the viewpoints of any other projects, cooperations, or affiliations the host may be involved in. "Capital Markets Quickie" does not offer financial advice. Before making any financial decisions, please conduct your own due diligence and consult with a financial advisor.

Surging Treasury yields end the Nasdaq's record streak, with the ten-year hitting its highest level since 2007. Plus: Trump talks to Tehran and threatens it in the same breath, and today it's summit day with Xi in Washington.

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Disclaimer for "Capital Markets Quickie" Podcast:

The views and opinions expressed on this podcast are based on information available at the time of recording and reflect the personal perspectives of the host. They do not represent the viewpoints of any other projects, cooperations, or affiliations the host may be involved in. "Capital Markets Quickie" does not offer financial advice. Before making any financial decisions, please conduct your own due diligence and consult with a financial advisor.

Oil keeps tumbling as Iran signals it could reopen the Strait of Hormuz, pushing the Nasdaq to its second straight record close. Plus: Meta's Muse tops the App Store, and the countdown to Thursday's Trump-Xi summit is on.

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Disclaimer for "Capital Markets Quickie" Podcast:

The views and opinions expressed on this podcast are based on information available at the time of recording and reflect the personal perspectives of the host. They do not represent the viewpoints of any other projects, cooperations, or affiliations the host may be involved in. "Capital Markets Quickie" does not offer financial advice. Before making any financial decisions, please conduct your own due diligence and consult with a financial advisor.

The Nasdaq jumps two percent to a record close as AI stocks surge and oil retreats below one hundred dollars. Plus: Germany's election shock hits Vonovia, and all eyes turn to Thursday's Trump-Xi summit.

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Disclaimer for "Capital Markets Quickie" Podcast:

The views and opinions expressed on this podcast are based on information available at the time of recording and reflect the personal perspectives of the host. They do not represent the viewpoints of any other projects, cooperations, or affiliations the host may be involved in. "Capital Markets Quickie" does not offer financial advice. Before making any financial decisions, please conduct your own due diligence and consult with a financial advisor.

Triple witching Friday capped the week of the Fed's first hike since 2023 with a mixed close, as the 10-year yield rose back above 5% and oil held above $100. The Dow lost around 1.7% for the week while the Nasdaq eked out a gain, and the DAX slumped 1.6% on expiry day ahead of two German state elections.

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Disclaimer for "Capital Markets Quickie" Podcast:

The views and opinions expressed on this podcast are based on information available at the time of recording and reflect the personal perspectives of the host. They do not represent the viewpoints of any other projects, cooperations, or affiliations the host may be involved in. "Capital Markets Quickie" does not offer financial advice. Before making any financial decisions, please conduct your own due diligence and consult with a financial advisor.

The day after the Fed's first hike since 2023 brought relief on all fronts: the 10-year yield snapped an eight-day rising streak, Brent slipped to around $104 on pipeline restart hopes, and the S&P 500 rebounded about 1% with the chip index up 3%. Experts credited Kevin Warsh's hawkishness with restoring the Fed's inflation-fighting credibility.

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Disclaimer for "Capital Markets Quickie" Podcast:

The views and opinions expressed on this podcast are based on information available at the time of recording and reflect the personal perspectives of the host. They do not represent the viewpoints of any other projects, cooperations, or affiliations the host may be involved in. "Capital Markets Quickie" does not offer financial advice. Before making any financial decisions, please conduct your own due diligence and consult with a financial advisor.

The Fed raised rates by a quarter point to 3.75%-4% in a unanimous vote, its first hike since July 2023, with 16 of 18 officials projecting at least one more increase this year. Stocks turned lower during Kevin Warsh's hawkish press conference, the Dow losing 1.2%, while the DAX had closed 0.5% higher on easing oil prices before the decision.

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Disclaimer for "Capital Markets Quickie" Podcast:

The views and opinions expressed on this podcast are based on information available at the time of recording and reflect the personal perspectives of the host. They do not represent the viewpoints of any other projects, cooperations, or affiliations the host may be involved in. "Capital Markets Quickie" does not offer financial advice. Before making any financial decisions, please conduct your own due diligence and consult with a financial advisor.

The 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.04%, its highest since 2007, as oil held near $108 Brent, handing stocks a second straight down day ahead of the Fed. Markets overwhelmingly expect a quarter-point hike on Wednesday, with the new projections and Kevin Warsh's press conference set to reveal whether more is coming.

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Disclaimer for "Capital Markets Quickie" Podcast:

The views and opinions expressed on this podcast are based on information available at the time of recording and reflect the personal perspectives of the host. They do not represent the viewpoints of any other projects, cooperations, or affiliations the host may be involved in. "Capital Markets Quickie" does not offer financial advice. Before making any financial decisions, please conduct your own due diligence and consult with a financial advisor.

A weekend essay by Anthropic's Dario Amodei calling for a slower pace of frontier AI development, echoed by Sam Altman and Elon Musk, sent chip stocks tumbling worldwide while software names like Salesforce and SAP rallied. With the 10-year yield briefly touching 5% for the first time since 2023 and Brent above $108, the Fed's two-day meeting now takes center stage.

>>> Follow me on LinkedIn:

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Disclaimer for "Capital Markets Quickie" Podcast:

The views and opinions expressed on this podcast are based on information available at the time of recording and reflect the personal perspectives of the host. They do not represent the viewpoints of any other projects, cooperations, or affiliations the host may be involved in. "Capital Markets Quickie" does not offer financial advice. Before making any financial decisions, please conduct your own due diligence and consult with a financial advisor.