Capital Markets Quickie

August CPI came in at 3.4% with core at 2.4%, cementing expectations for a Fed rate hike at next week's meeting. Stocks rallied anyway as oil retreated from nearly $110 Brent, with the Dow jumping 1% to snap its longest losing streak since late April, though all major indexes still posted weekly losses.

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Disclaimer for "Capital Markets Quickie" Podcast:

The views and opinions expressed on this podcast are based on information available at the time of recording and reflect the personal perspectives of the host. They do not represent the viewpoints of any other projects, cooperations, or affiliations the host may be involved in. "Capital Markets Quickie" does not offer financial advice. Before making any financial decisions, please conduct your own due diligence and consult with a financial advisor.

The biggest wave of shipping attacks since the war began sent WTI up 6.7% to $102 and Brent to nearly $108, their highest closes since mid-May, handing stocks a fourth straight losing day. With PPI accelerating, Fed hike odds climbed to about 70%, the ECB raised rates to 2.5%, and Friday's CPI report now decides everything.

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Disclaimer for "Capital Markets Quickie" Podcast:

The views and opinions expressed on this podcast are based on information available at the time of recording and reflect the personal perspectives of the host. They do not represent the viewpoints of any other projects, cooperations, or affiliations the host may be involved in. "Capital Markets Quickie" does not offer financial advice. Before making any financial decisions, please conduct your own due diligence and consult with a financial advisor.

Brent crude broke above $100 for the first time since July as the US destroyed five Iranian tankers and the fighting spread toward the Red Sea, sending the DAX down 1.7% while US stocks lost about half a percent. The Treasury countered with a tripled $6 billion bond buyback, and Meta jumped on its new AI agent Muse ahead of Thursday's ECB decision and US producer prices.

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Disclaimer for "Capital Markets Quickie" Podcast:

The views and opinions expressed on this podcast are based on information available at the time of recording and reflect the personal perspectives of the host. They do not represent the viewpoints of any other projects, cooperations, or affiliations the host may be involved in. "Capital Markets Quickie" does not offer financial advice. Before making any financial decisions, please conduct your own due diligence and consult with a financial advisor.

Houthi attacks on Saudi oil facilities pushed Brent to the brink of $100, handing the Dow a 628-point loss as Wall Street returned from the Labor Day weekend. Canada's retaliatory tariffs added to the pressure, while the DAX treaded water at 26,000 points ahead of Thursday's producer prices and Friday's crucial consumer price data.

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Disclaimer for "Capital Markets Quickie" Podcast:

The views and opinions expressed on this podcast are based on information available at the time of recording and reflect the personal perspectives of the host. They do not represent the viewpoints of any other projects, cooperations, or affiliations the host may be involved in. "Capital Markets Quickie" does not offer financial advice. Before making any financial decisions, please conduct your own due diligence and consult with a financial advisor.

With US markets closed for Labor Day, Europe treaded water as the DAX held the 26,000 mark and Brent crude climbed above $97. Asia's tech markets rallied on, led by South Korea, and now everything turns to this week's US inflation data, which experts say will decide between a Fed hike and a hold.

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Disclaimer for "Capital Markets Quickie" Podcast:

The views and opinions expressed on this podcast are based on information available at the time of recording and reflect the personal perspectives of the host. They do not represent the viewpoints of any other projects, cooperations, or affiliations the host may be involved in. "Capital Markets Quickie" does not offer financial advice. Before making any financial decisions, please conduct your own due diligence and consult with a financial advisor.

August payrolls came in at 162,000, roughly triple expectations, pushing September rate-hike odds back above 50% and the 2-year yield to its highest since January 2025. Stocks slipped modestly, Lululemon crashed around 20% on cut forecasts, while the DAX defied the data thanks to a 6.5% Volkswagen surge.

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Disclaimer for "Capital Markets Quickie" Podcast:

The views and opinions expressed on this podcast are based on information available at the time of recording and reflect the personal perspectives of the host. They do not represent the viewpoints of any other projects, cooperations, or affiliations the host may be involved in. "Capital Markets Quickie" does not offer financial advice. Before making any financial decisions, please conduct your own due diligence and consult with a financial advisor.

Fed Governor Christopher Waller signaled he'd support holding rates steady in September, sending the Dow up 1.2% for its best day in a month while yields eased from multi-year highs. The DAX reclaimed 26,000 points, and now all eyes turn to Friday's US jobs report, the last big data point before the Fed's decision.

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Disclaimer for "Capital Markets Quickie" Podcast:

The views and opinions expressed on this podcast are based on information available at the time of recording and reflect the personal perspectives of the host. They do not represent the viewpoints of any other projects, cooperations, or affiliations the host may be involved in. "Capital Markets Quickie" does not offer financial advice. Before making any financial decisions, please conduct your own due diligence and consult with a financial advisor.

US stocks snapped a three-day losing streak on Wednesday as the 10-year yield retreated from 4.82%, its highest since November 2023, with Nvidia, Microsoft and Amazon leading the way. Weak ADP jobs data and a cautious Fed Beige Book set the stage for Friday's crucial jobs report, while Asia's tech indexes slid up to 4%.

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Disclaimer for "Capital Markets Quickie" Podcast:

The views and opinions expressed on this podcast are based on information available at the time of recording and reflect the personal perspectives of the host. They do not represent the viewpoints of any other projects, cooperations, or affiliations the host may be involved in. "Capital Markets Quickie" does not offer financial advice. Before making any financial decisions, please conduct your own due diligence and consult with a financial advisor.

Escalating attacks in the Strait of Hormuz pushed oil toward $90 and global bond yields higher, handing the Dow its worst day in weeks at -0.8%. Apple bucked the trend, rising almost 3% on John Ternus's first day as CEO, while the DAX slipped 1.1% to below 26,000 points.

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Disclaimer for "Capital Markets Quickie" Podcast:

The views and opinions expressed on this podcast are based on information available at the time of recording and reflect the personal perspectives of the host. They do not represent the viewpoints of any other projects, cooperations, or affiliations the host may be involved in. "Capital Markets Quickie" does not offer financial advice. Before making any financial decisions, please conduct your own due diligence and consult with a financial advisor.

US strikes on Iranian rocket launchers near the Strait of Hormuz pushed oil back above $85 and the 10-year yield to its highest since January 2025, sending stocks modestly lower on Monday. Still, August closed as a winning month, with the Dow up 1.4%, the S&P 500 gaining about 2.5% and the Nasdaq around 3%, powered by tech.

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Disclaimer for "Capital Markets Quickie" Podcast:

The views and opinions expressed on this podcast are based on information available at the time of recording and reflect the personal perspectives of the host. They do not represent the viewpoints of any other projects, cooperations, or affiliations the host may be involved in. "Capital Markets Quickie" does not offer financial advice. Before making any financial decisions, please conduct your own due diligence and consult with a financial advisor.