CLOs Uncovered

Series 6, Episode 5: Before we all break for summer, Hina & Sandeep discuss Ardagh Group with Desiree Menjivar over an in-depth analysis of Ardagh’s recent rating action and insights into the key factors shaping the company's performance, and the areas we are closely monitoring.

Leveraged Finance & CLOs Uncovered Podcast: How ASDA’s Parent, Bellis Finco PLC, compares with other food retailers in a highly competitive UK landscape.

Hina & Sandeep have a discussion with Raquel on credit fundamentals of Asda and its recent refinancing and S&P’s expectation for a future trajectory.

Our aim is to provide market participants with further advanced analytical insight into Corporate Credits, CLOs and Leveraged Finance deals, with S&P Global Ratings regular podcast, based on key features we’re seeing in corporate credits and sectors that CLOs are exposed to.

In our latest episode, Hina & Sandeep have a discussion with Alphee Roumens on how Merlin continued to access capital markets to finance further growth and focus on its evolution post covid era and the areas we closely monitor.

Hina & Sandeep discuss Altice France with Justine Miquee over an in-depth analysis of Altice France's recent rating action and insights into the key factors shaping the company's performance, and the areas we are closely monitoring.

Series 6, Episode 1: Hina & Sandeep have a discussion with Raquel on credit fundamentals of Nord Anglia and despite raising $600 million term loan add-on, it is able to preserve its ratings, though reducing our recovery estimate for its senior secured debt.

In Episode 33, Scott Tan, Analytical Manager and Managing Director of U.S. Credit Estimates, along with Denis Rudnev, Director of Leveraged Finance at S&P Global Ratings, delved into critical insights from their discussion on "Testing Private Debt's Resilience Through The Credit Estimate Lens." They analyzed over 2,000 credit estimated (CE) issuers, totaling more than $400 billion in outstanding debt, to evaluate the resilience of middle-market issuers amidst the challenges posed by increasing interest rates and margin erosion.

Related Document Link: Scenario Analysis: Testing Private Debt's Resilience Through The Credit Estimate Lens| S&P Global Ratings (spglobal.com)

Series 5, Episode 5: Hina & Sandeep wrap up the year with Tia Zhang and discuss a workaround seen in loan documentation allowing borrowers to extend maturities more easily.

In Episode 32, Steve H Wilkinson, Managing Director of Leveraged Finance at S&P Global Ratings, discusses an interesting case study of Trinseo’s creative debt structuring that helped the firm procure new debt financing to address pending near-term maturities.

 Related Document Link: Leveraged Finance: Creative Structuring Helps Trinseo PLC, Comes With Lowered Recovery Prospects And Higher Costs | S&P Global Ratings (spglobal.com)

In episode 31, Minesh Patel, the U.S. sector lead of leveraged finance at S&P Global Ratings, and Daniel Pianki, the director of U.S. corporate ratings, discuss one of the most significant leveraged buyout transactions this year and Worldpay's credit rating rationale.

In Episode 27, Minesh Patel, the U.S. sector lead of leveraged finance at S&P Global Ratings, and Hanna Zhang, the director of U.S. leveraged finance and recovery, discuss Hanna’s article titled: Disparities Emerge By Sector, Rating, Company Size, And Debt Cushion.

Key takeaways from the article include:

• Earnings pressures were evident in the quarter as the momentum in revenue growth decelerated. However, the lower-rated 'B' category exhibited solid year-over-year EBITDA growth. To some extent, these entities even outperformed higher-rated 'BB' peers, particularly those operating in subsectors most susceptible to interest rates (homebuilders and real estate), navigating secular headwinds (TV and radio), or facing challenging comparisons (energy and commodity, retail discretionary). 
• As the impact of cumulative monetary tightening takes hold, smaller and lower-rated companies face the highest ratings pressure. We found that borrowers with the smallest scale show much worse interest coverage, exacerbated by persistent free operating cash flow deficits. Their particularly weak credit measures differentiate them from larger counterparts.
• About 21% of 'B-' rated borrowers had EBITDA interest coverage of less than 1x in the 12 months ended on March 31, 2023.
• First-lien loans with a 30% or more debt cushion hold a significant advantage over those with a negligible or nonexistent cushion (i.e., a first-lien-only debt structure). We calculated an average gap of about 30% in our first-lien lender recovery estimate between the two. However, having a priority claim ahead of the first lien will result in an average reduction of another 2.5%.

View related article:

U.S. Leveraged Finance Q2 2023 Update: Disparities Emerge By Sector, Rating, Company Size, And Debt Cushion