CommSec Market Update

It was a quiet session today but the week still looks set to finish higher.  Unpacking the session solo Laura reflects on a week that has seen record performances, following suit with US markets which were fuelled by inflation numbers that came in higher than anticipated.  Laura deep-dives into these inflation figures, the stocks that caught her attention today, and looks to what could move markets in the week ahead.

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U.S. CPI rises more than forecast, stalling inflation progress, while jobless claims hit a yearly high due to Hurricane Helene. AMD launches an AI chip to rival Nvidia. Oil prices surge 4% amid U.S. storm impacts and Israel-Iran tensions, while copper rebounds ahead of expected China stimulus. Meanwhile, Aussie shares are likely to end the week lower due to uncertainty around China's fiscal policies.

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Aussie stocks rebounded today with the ASX200 up by roughly a third of a percent, nearing a record high, despite some midday fading. Mining and energy sectors led the charge, fuelled by hopes for Chinese stimulus and Rio Tinto's $10 billion acquisition of Arcadium Lithium, its biggest deal in 17 years. Lithium miners surged, with Arcadium's shares up 39% and optimism spreading across the sector. In the US, all eyes are on inflation data, which could influence upcoming interest rate decisions. Meanwhile, companies like Netwealth and Cochlear made gains on positive updates and dividend payments.

 

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The S&P 500 is steadily approaching record highs, driven by gains in technology stocks as investors largely shrugged off geopolitical concerns in the Middle East. The Federal Reserve's meeting minutes revealed a robust debate over the size of the September rate cut, while U.S. 10-year Treasury yields have risen for six consecutive sessions. In corporate news, Alphabet shares dropped amid a historic Big Tech antitrust case, and Tesla shares also fell ahead of its Robotaxi launch. Meanwhile, Rio Tinto is making a significant move into lithium, and oil prices have declined as U.S. crude inventories increased. On the other side, Australian shares are expected to rise, supported by a rebound in iron ore prices, while the Australian dollar has weakened against a stronger U.S. dollar.

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The market has edged slightly higher today with declines coinciding with those seen on the Chinese market.  Laura and Stevie unpack this performance which saw local markets run out of steam as the session went on, and how the resource space was impacted.  Many of the sectors saw improvements today in excess of 1%, oil and iron ore prices are in focus, and they look to the things to watch including dividend payments and another speech from the RBA.

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A rally in the world’s largest tech companies is driving stocks higher today, with the market rebounding from its worst session in a month. U.S. Treasury yields have stabilised as traders anticipate gradual Fed rate cuts. Meanwhile, PepsiCo has lowered its revenue outlook as North American consumers cut back on snacks. Oil prices have dropped amid the prospect of a ceasefire in Lebanon, while Chinese stocks and metal prices slump due to disappointment over China’s stimulus efforts. Closer to home, a muted start is expected for Australian trade ahead of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's rate decision, and the Australian dollar has weakened following dovish RBA meeting minutes.

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The Aussie market started flat today before progressing into a ‘choppy’ session.  US markets were down overnight in response to jobs data, Laura reflects on this and the impact that this had on local markets, and China is in focus once more amid disappointment around further stimulus packages.  Laura unpacks the performance of each of the sectors, the latest RBA minutes regarding interest rate cuts, and the upcoming economic data that could move markets.

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Wall Street technology stocks are under pressure as expectations for Fed rate cuts diminish. Oil prices rise 3% due to increased Middle East war risks, while insurance stocks plunge as Hurricane Milton intensifies to Category 5 near Florida. In China, markets reopen after Golden Week, with iron ore advancing on hopes for further China stimulus. Locally, the RBA is set to release its September meeting minutes, while Aussie shares and the dollar are weighed down by risk-off sentiment.

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The market started off flat today but has shot higher as the session went on ultimately recouping many of the losses of last week.  US data at the end of last week gave a positive lead in to the session and Laura and Stevie unpack this.  Four of the 11 sectors have seen declines but these are being counteracted by the performance of the financial sector, lithium miners are among the best performers today, and interest rates remain in focus.

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The Dow Jones closed at a record high on Friday and the NASDAQ rose over 1% following a stronger-than-expected jobs report. This report has lowered expectations for rate cuts and pushed the US dollar to a seven-week high. US bank stocks also hit record highs ahead of their earnings reports later this week, while US bond yields saw their largest increase since April. Meanwhile, Rio Tinto is in talks to acquire lithium miner Arcadium. Closer to home, Aussie shares are expected to open higher, supported by rising oil prices.

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