CommSec Market Update

CommSec Senior Economist Ryan Felsman & Market Analyst Tom Piotrowski discuss the factors that could influence the Australian sharemarket during 2023, including the outlook for interest rates, inflationary expectations, in addition to the prospect of China’s reopening.

Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFLS 238814 (CommSec) is a wholly but non-guaranteed subsidiary of Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 12 12 124 AFSL: 234945 (the Bank) and a  Market Participant of the ASX Limited and Cboe Australia Pty Limited, a Clearing Participant of ASX Clear Pty Limited and a Settlement Participant of ASX Settlement Pty Limited. Any advice contained in this broadcast is general advice only. As the information in this broadcast has not been prepared with reference to your objectives, financial or taxation situation or needs, you should, before acting on it, consider its appropriateness to your circumstances and seek appropriate professional advice. CommSec, the Bank, and their related entities do not accept any liability arising out of or in relation to reliance on the information in this broadcast. We believe that the information in this broadcast is correct as at the time of its compilation, but no warranty is made as to its accuracy, reliability or completeness. This report is under copyright to CommSec and the Bank and may not be used without their prior consent.

The US Federal Reserve's guidance for protracted policy tightening reduced hopes of the rate-hike cycle ending anytime soon and increased worries about a potential recession. Shares of Netflix slid 8.6% on media reports that the company would let its advertisers take their money back after missing viewership targets. Megacap technology shares Apple (-4.7%), Alphabet (-4.4%), Amazon (- 3.4%) and Microsoft (-3.2%) all weighed on major indexes. At the close of trade, the Dow Jones index fell by 764 points or 2.3%, its worst day since September. The S&P 500 index lost 2.5%, with the Nasdaq index down by 360 points or 3.2%.

Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFLS 238814 (CommSec) is a wholly but non-guaranteed subsidiary of Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 12 12 124 AFSL: 234945 (the Bank) and a  Market Participant of the ASX Limited and Cboe Australia Pty Limited, a Clearing Participant of ASX Clear Pty Limited and a Settlement Participant of ASX Settlement Pty Limited. Any advice contained in this broadcast is general advice only. As the information in this broadcast has not been prepared with reference to your objectives, financial or taxation situation or needs, you should, before acting on it, consider its appropriateness to your circumstances and seek appropriate professional advice. CommSec, the Bank, and their related entities do not accept any liability arising out of or in relation to reliance on the information in this broadcast. We believe that the information in this broadcast is correct as at the time of its compilation, but no warranty is made as to its accuracy, reliability or completeness. This report is under copyright to CommSec and the Bank and may not be used without their prior consent.

The Australian sharemarket fell 0.64% following a weak lead from Wall Street, the Federal Reserve flagging more rate hikes to come, a strong jobs report locally and sluggish data on China's economy. 

 

Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFLS 238814 (CommSec) is a wholly but non-guaranteed subsidiary of Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 12 12 124 AFSL: 234945 (the Bank) and a  Market Participant of the ASX Limited and Cboe Australia Pty Limited, a Clearing Participant of ASX Clear Pty Limited and a Settlement Participant of ASX Settlement Pty Limited. Any advice contained in this broadcast is general advice only. As the information in this broadcast has not been prepared with reference to your objectives, financial or taxation situation or needs, you should, before acting on it, consider its appropriateness to your circumstances and seek appropriate professional advice. CommSec, the Bank, and their related entities do not accept any liability arising out of or in relation to reliance on the information in this broadcast. We believe that the information in this broadcast is correct as at the time of its compilation, but no warranty is made as to its accuracy, reliability or completeness. This report is under copyright to CommSec and the Bank and may not be used without their prior consent.

A policy announcement by the US Federal Reserve raised interest rates by an expected 50 basis points, however, its economic projections see higher interest rates for a longer period. Stocks came off session lows after US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell suggested the central bank is getting "close" to reaching the end of its policy tightening cycle. At the close of trade, the Dow Jones index fell by 142 points or 0.4% after climbing 287 points earlier in the session. The S&P 500 index shed 0.6% and the Nasdaq index slid 86 points or 0.8%. 

Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFLS 238814 (CommSec) is a wholly but non-guaranteed subsidiary of Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 12 12 124 AFSL: 234945 (the Bank) and a  Market Participant of the ASX Limited and Cboe Australia Pty Limited, a Clearing Participant of ASX Clear Pty Limited and a Settlement Participant of ASX Settlement Pty Limited. Any advice contained in this broadcast is general advice only. As the information in this broadcast has not been prepared with reference to your objectives, financial or taxation situation or needs, you should, before acting on it, consider its appropriateness to your circumstances and seek appropriate professional advice. CommSec, the Bank, and their related entities do not accept any liability arising out of or in relation to reliance on the information in this broadcast.

 

We believe that the information in this broadcast is correct as at the time of its compilation, but no warranty is made as to its accuracy, reliability or completeness. This report is under copyright to CommSec and the Bank and may not be used without their prior consent.

Coolabah Capital Investments Chief Investment Officer, Christopher Joye speaks with Tom Piotrowski about the outlook for interest rates and the potential impact on a range of investment classes, including bonds, property, equities and hybrids.

Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFLS 238814 (CommSec) is a wholly but non-guaranteed subsidiary of Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 12 12 124 AFSL: 234945 (the Bank) and a  Market Participant of the ASX Limited and Cboe Australia Pty Limited, a Clearing Participant of ASX Clear Pty Limited and a Settlement Participant of ASX Settlement Pty Limited. Any advice contained in this broadcast is general advice only. As the information in this broadcast has not been prepared with reference to your objectives, financial or taxation situation or needs, you should, before acting on it, consider its appropriateness to your circumstances and seek appropriate professional advice. CommSec, the Bank, and their related entities do not accept any liability arising out of or in relation to reliance on the information in this broadcast. We believe that the information in this broadcast is correct as at the time of its compilation, but no warranty is made as to its accuracy, reliability or completeness. This report is under copyright to CommSec and the Bank and may not be used without their prior consent.

The market rose by around two-thirds of one per cent today, and finished near session highs. Buying sentiment was supported by a rally in Wall Street stocks overnight, and an increase in the price of commodities like oil and gold. Looking ahead, some things that could drive volatility tomorrow include the US Fed’s rate hike decision, and Aussie unemployment data.

 

Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFLS 238814 (CommSec) is a wholly but non-guaranteed subsidiary of Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 12 12 124 AFSL: 234945 (the Bank) and a  Market Participant of the ASX Limited and Cboe Australia Pty Limited, a Clearing Participant of ASX Clear Pty Limited and a Settlement Participant of ASX Settlement Pty Limited. Any advice contained in this broadcast is general advice only. As the information in this broadcast has not been prepared with reference to your objectives, financial or taxation situation or needs, you should, before acting on it, consider its appropriateness to your circumstances and seek appropriate professional advice. CommSec, the Bank, and their related entities do not accept any liability arising out of or in relation to reliance on the information in this broadcast. We believe that the information in this broadcast is correct as at the time of its compilation, but no warranty is made as to its accuracy, reliability or completeness. This report is under copyright to CommSec and the Bank and may not be used without their prior consent.

There was a smaller than expected rise in US consumer prices raised hopes that the US Federal Reserve could soften its aggressive stance on interest rate hikes. Shares of Meta Platforms (+4.7%) and Google parent Alphabet (+2.5%) both rose. Higher oil prices pushed up shares of Chevron (+2.2%) and Halliburton (+7.9%). Moderna shares surged 19.6% on upbeat trial data for a skin cancer vaccine. At the close of trade, the Dow Jones index rose by 104 points or 0.3% after jumping 707 points earlier in the session. The S&P 500 index lifted 0.7% and the Nasdaq index added 113 points or 1%.

 

Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFLS 238814 (CommSec) is a wholly but non-guaranteed subsidiary of Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 12 12 124 AFSL: 234945 (the Bank) and a  Market Participant of the ASX Limited and Cboe Australia Pty Limited, a Clearing Participant of ASX Clear Pty Limited and a Settlement Participant of ASX Settlement Pty Limited. Any advice contained in this broadcast is general advice only. As the information in this broadcast has not been prepared with reference to your objectives, financial or taxation situation or needs, you should, before acting on it, consider its appropriateness to your circumstances and seek appropriate professional advice. CommSec, the Bank, and their related entities do not accept any liability arising out of or in relation to reliance on the information in this broadcast.

 

We believe that the information in this broadcast is correct as at the time of its compilation, but no warranty is made as to its accuracy, reliability or completeness. This report is under copyright to CommSec and the Bank and may not be used without their prior consent.

The market climbed by as much as two-thirds of one per cent in early trade, but finished on a more modest note, with the gain of 0.3%. Financial stocks did most of the heavy lifting, but gains in the market were weighed by mining stocks, after the price of iron and gold fell overnight. Looking ahead, investors will likely have their focus on US inflation data, and a speech delivered by RBA Governor Philip Lowe.

 

Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFLS 238814 (CommSec) is a wholly but non-guaranteed subsidiary of Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 12 12 124 AFSL: 234945 (the Bank) and a  Market Participant of the ASX Limited and Cboe Australia Pty Limited, a Clearing Participant of ASX Clear Pty Limited and a Settlement Participant of ASX Settlement Pty Limited. Any advice contained in this broadcast is general advice only. As the information in this broadcast has not been prepared with reference to your objectives, financial or taxation situation or needs, you should, before acting on it, consider its appropriateness to your circumstances and seek appropriate professional advice. CommSec, the Bank, and their related entities do not accept any liability arising out of or in relation to reliance on the information in this broadcast. We believe that the information in this broadcast is correct as at the time of its compilation, but no warranty is made as to its accuracy, reliability or completeness. This report is under copyright to CommSec and the Bank and may not be used without their prior consent.

The New York Federal Reserve released consumer survey data showing inflation expectations declined in November. Shares of Microsoft rose by 2.9% following the tech giant's cloud deal worth US$2 billion to buy a 4% stake in the London Stock Exchange Group. Biotech firm Horizon Therapeutics shares surged 15.5% following a buyout offer from Amgen (-0.7%). Shares of Coupa Software soared 26.7% after agreeing to sell itself to private equity firm Thoma Bravo. Boeing shares gained 3.8% following reports that the airline is close to a deal with Air India. The Dow Jones index closed up by 529 points or 1.6%. The S&P 500 index gained 1.4% and the Nasdaq index added 139 points or 1.3%.

 

Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFLS 238814 (CommSec) is a wholly but non-guaranteed subsidiary of Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 12 12 124 AFSL: 234945 (the Bank) and a  Market Participant of the ASX Limited and Cboe Australia Pty Limited, a Clearing Participant of ASX Clear Pty Limited and a Settlement Participant of ASX Settlement Pty Limited. Any advice contained in this broadcast is general advice only. As the information in this broadcast has not been prepared with reference to your objectives, financial or taxation situation or needs, you should, before acting on it, consider its appropriateness to your circumstances and seek appropriate professional advice. CommSec, the Bank, and their related entities do not accept any liability arising out of or in relation to reliance on the information in this broadcast. We believe that the information in this broadcast is correct as at the time of its compilation, but no warranty is made as to its accuracy, reliability or completeness. This report is under copyright to CommSec and the Bank and may not be used without their prior consent.

The Australian sharemarket fell by 0.45% on Monday, as the final big week of 2022 kicks off quietly. Data on US inflation, the Federal Reserve’s 2-day meeting on interest rates and the latest on Australia’s labour market are all due this week.

 

Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFLS 238814 (CommSec) is a wholly but non-guaranteed subsidiary of Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 12 12 124 AFSL: 234945 (the Bank) and a  Market Participant of the ASX Limited and Cboe Australia Pty Limited, a Clearing Participant of ASX Clear Pty Limited and a Settlement Participant of ASX Settlement Pty Limited. Any advice contained in this broadcast is general advice only. As the information in this broadcast has not been prepared with reference to your objectives, financial or taxation situation or needs, you should, before acting on it, consider its appropriateness to your circumstances and seek appropriate professional advice. CommSec, the Bank, and their related entities do not accept any liability arising out of or in relation to reliance on the information in this broadcast. We believe that the information in this broadcast is correct as at the time of its compilation, but no warranty is made as to its accuracy, reliability or completeness. This report is under copyright to CommSec and the Bank and may not be used without their prior consent.