CommSec Market Update

Wall Street closed lower as Fed Chair Jerome Powell tempered expectations for a September rate cut. The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady despite pressure from President Trump, reinforcing a cautious stance amid resilient economic data. In corporate news, Microsoft and Meta both surged in after-hours trading following stronger-than-expected earnings results. In contrast, Freeport-McMoRan shares slid after the announcement of new copper tariffs. Meanwhile, jobs data surprised to the upside, highlighting ongoing strength in the U.S. labor market, and the U.S. dollar extended its rally for a fifth straight day. Back home, Aussie shares are set to open lower ahead of the release of retail spending figures.

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The Aussie market surged after quarterly inflation came in softer than expected, pushing interest rate cut odds beyond 100% and leaving the ASX just four points shy of a record high. Property trusts, consumer stocks, and financials rallied, while standout moves included gains for PolyNovo, Pilbara, and DroneShield. On the flip side, IGO tumbled on production issues. Plus, we look ahead to US rate decisions, Jerome Powell’s speech, and earnings from Meta, Microsoft, Amazon, and Apple.

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Wall Street snapped a six-day winning streak overnight, as investors turned cautious ahead of the highly anticipated Federal Reserve meeting. Industrials led the declines on the S&P 500, with UPS plunging after a disappointing earnings miss. The Dow Jones was weighed down by UnitedHealth, which slumped following a downbeat outlook, while Whirlpool shares tumbled amid delays to expected tariff relief. Back home, Aussie shares are set to fall on Wednesday, with attention turning to the release of quarterly inflation data. The Aussie dollar also slipped, as the US dollar climbed to a one-month high.

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The market has tread water again today only inching slightly higher toward the end of the session, likely fuelled by the fact that we are in for a huge amount of potentially market moving events to end the week.  Among those events are trade deals and deadlines as negotiations continue, and more company news.  The majority of sectors saw modest gains with the energy sector the best performer despite the sector including one of the worst performers of the day, and they look to the days ahead with more US earnings expected.

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Despite a cautious mood, US stocks held near record highs, while the US dollar recorded its biggest jump since May as trade jitters eased. Super Micro Computer surged on optimism around China-US trade relations, and Nike shares climbed following a broker upgrade, with analysts urging investors to "just buy it" ahead of the Soccer World Cup. In Europe, Heineken shares slipped after the company flagged flat sales volumes for the year. Meanwhile, in commodities, gold fell to a three-week low, while oil prices rose 2% on the back of a new US-EU trade agreement. Back home, Aussie shares are expected to open lower on Tuesday, with mining stocks still under pressure. Ryan and Tom also preview the upcoming US interest rate decision and what it could mean for markets.

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The Aussie market edged higher to kick off what's shaping up to be one of the biggest weeks of the year, with major earnings, inflation data and a US rate decision all on the radar. Boss Energy crashed 43% after a shock downgrade, while lithium miners tumbled despite bullish broker calls. WiseTech named a new CEO, Helloworld soared 14% on a surprise upgrade, and Bellevue Gold fizzled after early gains. Laura breaks down the key moves and what’s coming next in a jam-packed week.

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Wall Street closed the week at fresh record highs, driven by strong corporate earnings and easing concerns about interest rates. Among the earnings standouts, gold miner Newmont surged after posting record quarterly results. Meanwhile, interest rates continued to moderate ahead of key jobs and inflation data due later this week. Back home, Aussie shares are expected to open the week lower, with investors digesting the latest global trends.

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The Aussie market slipped on Friday as miners gave back gains and financials dragged, capping a choppy week that saw markets flirt with record highs. Energy outperformed thanks to rising oil prices, while Newmont hit a fresh high and CSL lifted healthcare back into positive territory for the year. AMP pulled back despite strong earlier gains. With inflation data, retail trade, central bank decisions and earnings from Microsoft, Meta and Amazon all ahead, next week is set to be one of the biggest of the year.

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It was a mixed bag of earnings overnight.  Tom and Ryan unpack the US session with bond yields increasing while the US dollar dropped, and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closing at record highs.  Alphabet and Tesla again dominated the conversation, and energy stocks have seen gains amid a climb in oil prices.  Ryan shares expectations around upcoming rate cuts amid unexpected employment numbers, Chipotle shares saw a significant cut, as did IBM and United Healthcare, and tech stocks saw gains potentially fuelled by Alphabet’s earnings.

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The Aussie market snapped its winning streak despite a strong US lead, with the ASX200 turning lower after RBA Governor Michele Bullock warned inflation may not fall as quickly as hoped. That cast doubt over an August rate cut, even as markets still expect it. Fortescue jumped on record iron ore shipments, while Bapcor plunged 29% on a profit warning. CSL helped lift healthcare, the only sector in the green, and Macquarie fell on leadership changes. We also cover moves from PEXA, Boss Energy, and Lynas Rare Earths, plus results from Alphabet and Tesla.

The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.

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