Dave Lee on Investing

Deep Dive On Ark Invest's $3000 TSLA Model w/ James Douma (Ep. 278)


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I'm joined by James Douma as we discuss Tesla's FSD hardware compared to Nvidia Drive AGX. View part 1 of this conversation, https://youtu.be/oWPqlRsPHjQ.
About ARK's TSLA Price Target: https://ark-invest.com/articles/analyst-research/tesla-price-target-2/
https://github.com/ARKInvest/ARK-Invest-Tesla-Valuation-Model
James Douma on Twitter: https://twitter.com/jamesdouma
James Douma Playlist, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iMtujONU_0I&list=PLfibpgBinf9R7KIedEU3y-YjrA63LSKHX
Timestamps:
00:00 - Introduction
1:20 - Did Ark's $3000 price target surprise you?
9:00 - Deep dive into Ark's model
42:68 - Monte Carlo model
43:11 - Ride hailing in China
54:00 - Percent of Teslas in Robotaxi network
1:01:38 - Guessing when FSD is available
1:08:16 - How is Ark using Monte Carlo inputs?
1:18:17 - What's the advantage of doing a Monte Carlo model?
1:26:44 - Conclusion
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