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Valuations may shape expectations, but they don’t determine destiny. Today's guest challenges the idea that CAPE - the cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio - can predict returns on its own. She notes that CAPE’s predictive power weakens once you strip out crisis periods. And that it’s not just where the markets start, but how they end that really moves the needle. Joining this episode to separate valuation myths from market reality is Fidelity Director of Quantitative Market Strategy, Denise Chisholm.
Recorded on October 23, 2025.
At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information.
For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics’ Advisor Digital Experience Study.
By Fidelity Canada4.9
99 ratings
Valuations may shape expectations, but they don’t determine destiny. Today's guest challenges the idea that CAPE - the cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio - can predict returns on its own. She notes that CAPE’s predictive power weakens once you strip out crisis periods. And that it’s not just where the markets start, but how they end that really moves the needle. Joining this episode to separate valuation myths from market reality is Fidelity Director of Quantitative Market Strategy, Denise Chisholm.
Recorded on October 23, 2025.
At Fidelity, our mission is to build a better future for Canadian investors and help them stay ahead. We offer investors and institutions a range of innovative and trusted investment portfolios to help them reach their financial and life goals. Fidelity mutual funds and ETFs are available by working with a financial advisor or through an online brokerage account. Visit fidelity.ca/howtobuy for more information.
For a fourth year in a row, FidelityConnects by Fidelity Investments Canada was ranked #1 podcast by Canadian financial advisors in the 2024 Environics’ Advisor Digital Experience Study.

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