Sean “Diddy” Combs is facing near-certain conviction in his federal criminal trial, where he's charged with a sweeping racketeering conspiracy that includes arson, kidnapping, drug trafficking, and multiple sex-trafficking offenses. The case is being prosecuted by the Southern District of New York, and the evidence is stacked heavily against him—featuring surveillance footage of a brutal assault and testimony from four women who allege years of sexual abuse and coercion. Given the strength of the case and the fact that over 80 percent of federal prosecutions result in guilty verdicts, the odds are decisively not in Combs’ favor.


His defense, despite being backed by elite attorneys, has little room to maneuver. The phrase “baby-oil defense” is used to underscore the perceived absurdity of any attempt to explain away the damning evidence—particularly claims that recorded acts of violence were somehow consensual or misunderstood. The courtroom strategy will likely try to blur intent or context, but with such severe allegations and extensive corroboration, that approach is unlikely to resonate with a jury. The prosecution appears well-prepared to dismantle any narrative of innocence Combs tries to offer.


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Diddy’s Baby-Oil Defense