In this episode of The Inflation Brief, Greg Daco and Laura Rosner-Warburton unpack June's surprisingly soft CPI report, exploring the broad-based disinflation that pushed core inflation to its lowest level outside of a recession since 2017. They examine what is driving the slowdown—from falling hotel, wireless, and auto insurance prices to the fading effects of tariffs—and discuss emerging inflationary pressures tied to AI investment and technology. The conversation concludes with a look at the Federal Reserve's policy outlook under new Chair Kevin Warsh and what the latest inflation data could mean for the path of interest rates in the months ahead.NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.

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Host Julia Coronado (MacroPolicy Perspectives) is joined by Guest Host Sarah Wolfe (Morgan Stanley Wealth Management) to unpack a jobs report sending mixed signals, with slowing payroll growth, falling labor force participation, and an unemployment rate that masks underlying weakness. Together, they explore what the latest labor market data means for inflation, consumer spending, wealth inequality, and the Federal Reserve's path on interest rates. The conversation also examines whether the wealth effect is reshaping consumer behavior, why real-time economic data matters more than ever, and what to watch as policymakers weigh the next move.

NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders. LEARN MORE!

Webinar Replay | June 23, 2026

In this episode, experts from Meta and Haus explore the latest methodological advances in measuring advertising effectiveness. Robert Moakler and Phil Erickson discuss how experiment-based incrementality can be integrated with attribution and Marketing Mix Models (MMMs) to enhance causal rigor and improve decision-making. Moderated by Ayal Chen-Zion, the conversation examines emerging approaches to estimating the true impact of ad spend and the future of marketing measurement.

NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.

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Webinar Replay | June 22, 2026

In this episode, Outlook Survey Analysts unpack the latest survey results and answer audience questions, offering timely insights into a forecast that points to slower economic growth, higher inflation, and a further delay in the expected path of interest rate cuts.

Featured Speakers:

• NABE Outlook Survey Chair Yelena Maleyev, CBE, Senior Economist, KPMG
• Ryan Boyle, Chief U.S. Economist, Northern Trust
• Yelena Shulyatyeva, Senior Economist, The Conference Board
• Laura Rosner-Warburton, Senior Economist and Founding Partner, MacroPolicy Perspectives
• Sarah Wolfe, Executive Director, Senior Economist and Strategist, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

The June 2026 NABE Outlook presents the consensus macroeconomic forecast of a panel of 44 professional forecasters. The survey, covering the outlook for the remainder of 2026 and 2027, was conducted June 1-9, 2026. A complete archive of NABE surveys, including full reports and detailed tabulations files, is available exclusively to NABE members at NABE.com/Surveys. Not a member yet? Visit NABE.com/Join to unlock access to this essential resources.

On the latest episode of The Inflation Brief, hosts Gregory Daco and Laura Rosner-Warburton welcome guest Claudia Sahm to analyze the May CPI report and the forces driving today’s inflation outlook. Together, they explore why inflation accelerated even as core price pressures remained relatively contained, examining the roles of energy prices, tariffs, and housing costs. Claudia shares new research on inflation breadth and discusses how AI-related investment and ongoing supply shocks may influence future price dynamics. The conversation concludes with a look ahead at the key economic data that could shape inflation, consumer spending, and the Federal Reserve’s policy decisions in the months to come.NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.

Transfer pricing sits at the intersection of economics, taxation, and global business strategy—and staying ahead of a rapidly evolving policy landscape has never been more important. In this episode of ECON-versations with NABE, members of the 2026 Transfer Pricing Symposium planning committee preview NABE’s premier event for transfer pricing professionals, taking place July 28–30 at the Four Seasons Hotel in Georgetown, Washington, DC. Listeners will get a sneak peek at the symposium’s distinguished lineup of speakers, including experts from the OECD, IRS, and judiciary, and learn how the program will address the latest developments in international tax policy, enforcement, controversy, and economic analysis. Whether you are an economist, tax professional, consultant, attorney, or corporate practitioner, this episode offers a compelling look at why the 2026 Transfer Pricing Symposium is a must-attend event for navigating today’s global tax environment.

🔗LINKS:⁠

• VISIT THE CONFERENCE HOMEPAGE⁠⁠
• VIEW THE CONFERENCE PROGRAM
• ⁠⁠IN PERSON REGISTRATION
• SCHOLARSHIPS⁠⁠⁠

NABE ⁠is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.

How well do you understand the economic data that drives forecasts, business decisions, and public policy? In this episode of ECON-versations with NABE, Kathleen Navin, Kenneth Kim, and Michael Horrigan preview the 2026 Economic Measurement Seminar, NABE’s premier event dedicated to the statistics and indicators that shape our understanding of the economy. They discuss why economic measurement is more important than ever, highlight the seminar’s distinguished speakers and timely sessions, and explain how attendees will gain deeper insight into the data behind today’s most important economic questions. If you want to become a more informed consumer of economic data and connect with the experts who produce and analyze it, this episode offers a compelling preview of why you should attend EMS 2026.

🔗LINKS:

• VISIT THE CONFERENCE HOMEPAGE
• VIEW THE CONFERENCE PROGRAM
• IN PERSON REGISTRATION
• VIRTUAL REGISTRATION
• SCHOLARSHIPS
• WRITING SKILLS COURSE
• COMMUNICATION & PRESENTATION SKILLS COURSE

NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.

In this episode of The Labor Brief from ECON-versations with NABE, Julia Coronado is joined by Martha Gimbel of Yale Budget Lab to unpack the May Employment Report and assess the health of the U.S. labor market. They discuss the report’s surprisingly strong job growth, mixed labor market signals, and what the data may mean for the Federal Reserve’s balancing act between full employment and inflation. The conversation also explores Martha’s research on artificial intelligence and the labor market, including why AI’s broader employment effects have yet to emerge and what economists should watch for as the technology continues to evolve.NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.

Webinar Replay | June 1, 2026

Inflation remains one of the most closely watched—and most debated—forces shaping the economic outlook. In this webinar replay, NABE brings together leading inflation experts Laura Rosner-Warburton, Claudia Sahm, and Omair Sharif for a discussion of the evolving drivers of price pressures, from energy pass-through and inflation expectations to supercore services and underlying inflation metrics.

The panel also examines the inflationary and disinflationary implications of AI adoption, the fading contribution of housing disinflation, and the potential effects of tariffs and trade policy on prices and supply chains. Moderated by Michael Redmond, this timely conversation explores the key risks and crosscurrents facing the economy and what they could mean for the Federal Reserve's policy path in the months ahead.

NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.

Webinar Replay | May 27, 2026

As the 2026 midterm elections approach, inflation continues to shape voter sentiment, local economies, and the broader policy debate. In this webinar replay, TeroAI CEO Dr. Christopher Hooton presents new research using district-level data to examine how inflation influences electoral outcomes across the United States.

Following the presentation, Romina Boccia of the Cato Institute and Dante Chinni of the American Communities Project join moderator Daniel Strauss of Harvard University for a discussion on the political and economic implications of affordability challenges, regional economic conditions, and the role inflation may play in determining the outcome of the 2026 midterms and beyond.

NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.