ECON-versations with NABE

In this episode of The Inflation Brief, Laura Rosner-Warburton is joined by Omair Sharif to break down the July CPI report and what the latest data signal for the inflation outlook. They discuss the persistence of core goods inflation, the evolving impact of tariffs, and how AI-related demand and other supply pressures are complicating the inflation picture. Laura and Omair also explore factors that could keep inflation in check, including stable auto prices, moderating wage growth, and a potential slowdown in consumer demand. Finally, they look ahead to the Federal Reserve’s September meeting and the key August inflation, employment, and spending data that could shape the path for monetary policy.

NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.

Webinar Reply | August 7, 2026

In this special conversation, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President and CEO Tom Barkin joins ADP Chief Economist Nela Richardson for a wide-ranging discussion on the forces shaping the U.S. economy. Barkin shares his perspective on a labor market in a “weak balance,” resilient consumer spending, persistent inflation pressures, and the elevated uncertainty facing businesses as they navigate tariffs, geopolitics, interest rates, and shifting demand. The conversation also explores how AI is influencing investment, productivity, and the outlook for early-career workers, with Barkin offering an optimistic view that AI could ultimately augment workers and create new opportunities as employers adapt. Tune in for an insightful look at how policymakers and businesses are navigating an economy that may be moving from an era of relative stability to one defined by greater change and uncertainty.NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.

The July employment report delivered another round of mixed signals, with weakening payroll growth and sizable downward revisions alongside a declining unemployment rate. In this episode of ECON-versations with NABE, Julia Coronado is joined by Michael Horrigan, CBE, President of the W.E. Upjohn Institute and incoming NABE Vice President, to unpack what the latest data reveal about the U.S. labor market. They look beyond the monthly headlines to examine longer-term employment trends, shifts in labor force participation, and the roles of demographics and immigration in shaping labor supply, while also exploring pressures facing lower-income households, persistent childcare barriers, signs of softer consumer spending, and increasingly widespread inflation. The conversation concludes with what these crosscurrents in employment and inflation could mean for the Federal Reserve and the broader economic outlook.

NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.

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Webinar Replay | July 27, 2026 

Tune in for a discussion of the ⁠latest NABE Business Conditions Survey⁠, based on responses from 52 NABE members collected July 6–13, 2026, reflecting business conditions during the second quarter of 2026 and the near-term outlook. 

Survey Chair Martha Moore is joined by Lester Jones and Courtney Shupert to explore the survey's key themes, discuss what they're hearing from businesses across industries, and answer audience questions on the forces shaping today's economic environment. 

In this episode of The Inflation Brief, Greg Daco and Laura Rosner-Warburton unpack June's surprisingly soft CPI report, exploring the broad-based disinflation that pushed core inflation to its lowest level outside of a recession since 2017. They examine what is driving the slowdown—from falling hotel, wireless, and auto insurance prices to the fading effects of tariffs—and discuss emerging inflationary pressures tied to AI investment and technology. The conversation concludes with a look at the Federal Reserve's policy outlook under new Chair Kevin Warsh and what the latest inflation data could mean for the path of interest rates in the months ahead.NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.

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Host Julia Coronado (MacroPolicy Perspectives) is joined by Guest Host Sarah Wolfe (Morgan Stanley Wealth Management) to unpack a jobs report sending mixed signals, with slowing payroll growth, falling labor force participation, and an unemployment rate that masks underlying weakness. Together, they explore what the latest labor market data means for inflation, consumer spending, wealth inequality, and the Federal Reserve's path on interest rates. The conversation also examines whether the wealth effect is reshaping consumer behavior, why real-time economic data matters more than ever, and what to watch as policymakers weigh the next move.

NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders. LEARN MORE!

Webinar Replay | June 23, 2026

In this episode, experts from Meta and Haus explore the latest methodological advances in measuring advertising effectiveness. Robert Moakler and Phil Erickson discuss how experiment-based incrementality can be integrated with attribution and Marketing Mix Models (MMMs) to enhance causal rigor and improve decision-making. Moderated by Ayal Chen-Zion, the conversation examines emerging approaches to estimating the true impact of ad spend and the future of marketing measurement.

NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.

Join NABE today!

Webinar Replay | June 22, 2026

In this episode, Outlook Survey Analysts unpack the latest survey results and answer audience questions, offering timely insights into a forecast that points to slower economic growth, higher inflation, and a further delay in the expected path of interest rate cuts.

Featured Speakers:

• NABE Outlook Survey Chair Yelena Maleyev, CBE, Senior Economist, KPMG
• Ryan Boyle, Chief U.S. Economist, Northern Trust
• Yelena Shulyatyeva, Senior Economist, The Conference Board
• Laura Rosner-Warburton, Senior Economist and Founding Partner, MacroPolicy Perspectives
• Sarah Wolfe, Executive Director, Senior Economist and Strategist, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

The June 2026 NABE Outlook presents the consensus macroeconomic forecast of a panel of 44 professional forecasters. The survey, covering the outlook for the remainder of 2026 and 2027, was conducted June 1-9, 2026. A complete archive of NABE surveys, including full reports and detailed tabulations files, is available exclusively to NABE members at NABE.com/Surveys. Not a member yet? Visit NABE.com/Join to unlock access to this essential resources.

On the latest episode of The Inflation Brief, hosts Gregory Daco and Laura Rosner-Warburton welcome guest Claudia Sahm to analyze the May CPI report and the forces driving today’s inflation outlook. Together, they explore why inflation accelerated even as core price pressures remained relatively contained, examining the roles of energy prices, tariffs, and housing costs. Claudia shares new research on inflation breadth and discusses how AI-related investment and ongoing supply shocks may influence future price dynamics. The conversation concludes with a look ahead at the key economic data that could shape inflation, consumer spending, and the Federal Reserve’s policy decisions in the months to come.NABE is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.

Transfer pricing sits at the intersection of economics, taxation, and global business strategy—and staying ahead of a rapidly evolving policy landscape has never been more important. In this episode of ECON-versations with NABE, members of the 2026 Transfer Pricing Symposium planning committee preview NABE’s premier event for transfer pricing professionals, taking place July 28–30 at the Four Seasons Hotel in Georgetown, Washington, DC. Listeners will get a sneak peek at the symposium’s distinguished lineup of speakers, including experts from the OECD, IRS, and judiciary, and learn how the program will address the latest developments in international tax policy, enforcement, controversy, and economic analysis. Whether you are an economist, tax professional, consultant, attorney, or corporate practitioner, this episode offers a compelling look at why the 2026 Transfer Pricing Symposium is a must-attend event for navigating today’s global tax environment.

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NABE ⁠is the premier professional association for business economists and others who use economics in the workplace. Since 1959, NABE has attracted the most prominent figures in economics, business, and academia to its membership with highly-regarded conferences, educational and career development offerings, industry surveys, and its unrivaled networking opportunities. Past presidents of NABE include former Chairman of the Board of Governors for the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, several former Federal Reserve Governors, and other senior business leaders.