In this episode of the Vienna Coffee House Conversations, Ivan Vejvoda is joined by historical scientist Luke Cooper to discuss Ukraine’s resilience in the face of the ongoing Russian invasion and the broader geopolitical challenges facing the country. Cooper shares insights from his recent visits to cities like Kyiv, Dnipro, and Lviv, noting the surprising resilience and sense of normalcy among Ukrainians amidst conflict. He emphasizes the social and economic impacts of the war, including widespread displacement and the steadfast resolve of those in Russian-occupied regions awaiting liberation.

The conversation explores Ukraine’s economic strategies in response to the invasion, focusing on the government’s shift from initially libertarian policies to a more Keynesian model that emphasizes public spending and wartime fiscal policy. Cooper explains how labor shortages, driven by both military conscription and migration, have impacted Ukraine’s workforce, particularly in vital industrial sectors. These economic measures have helped stabilize the economy despite the ongoing challenges, but the Ukrainian government remains focused on sustaining external financial support to maintain its efforts.

Finally, Cooper and Vejvoda consider the possible scenarios for ending the conflict, discussing public sentiment in Ukraine, the strategic importance of various frontlines, and the precarious international dependencies that affect the country’s future. Cooper highlights the critical role of oil prices and international political dynamics, particularly in the United States, in shaping the war's trajectory. In closing, they briefly examine the UK’s political landscape following the Labour Party’s recent victory, noting its potential impact on UK-EU relations and international support for Ukraine since the full-scale Russian invasion.

Luke Cooper is a historical sociologist and political scientist specializing in conflict, democracy, and European studies, currently serving as an Associate Professorial Research Fellow at the Conflict and Civicness Research Group at the London School of Economics (LSE). He directs the PeaceRep Ukraine Program and co-founded Another Europe is Possible, an advocacy group focused on progressive European politics. Additionally, Cooper is an established podcaster and author, whose most recent book, Authoritarian Contagion: The Global Threat to Democracy (2021) examines the global rise of authoritarianism.

The blogpost mentioned in the episode on Oil's role in the Ukraine War is here

Read more and buy a copy of Authoritarian Contagion  or find it on Amazon 

Luke Cooper's X account is @lukecooper100

Ivan Vejvoda  is Head of the Europe's Futures program at the Institute for Human Sciences (IWM Vienna) implemented in partnership with ERSTE Foundation. The program is dedicated to the cultivation of knowledge and the generation of ideas addressing pivotal challenges confronting Europe and the European Union: nexus of borders and migration, deterioration in rule of law and democracy and European Union’s enlargement prospects.

The Institute for Human Sciences is an institute of advanced studies in the humanities and social sciences. Founded as a place of encounter in 1982 by a young Polish philosopher, Krzysztof Michalski, and two German colleagues in neutral Austria, its initial mission was to create a meeting place for dissenting thinkers of Eastern Europe and prominent scholars from the West.

Since then it has promoted intellectual exchange across disciplines, between academia and society, and among regions that now embrace the Global South and North. The IWM is an independent and non-partisan institution, and proudly so. All of our fellows, visiting and permanent, pursue their own research in an environment designed to enrich their work and to render it more accessible within and beyond academia.

For further information about the Institute:

https://www.iwm.at/