Words & Numbers

Episode 471: 50 Years a Mortgage Slave


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In this episode, we take a close look at the growing complexity of legislation in the age of artificial intelligence and how longer, denser bills create new incentives for politicians to hide provisions that voters would never spot on their own. We also examine the Trump administration’s new visa rules, including the unexpected decision to classify obesity as grounds for denial, and what this says about public policy and shifting cultural norms. We analyze Trump’s proposal for $2,000 tariff-funded checks and the Supreme Court case that could unravel the entire tariff structure, followed by a deeper dive into the real economics of trade, revenue, and political incentives. We finish with a look at the housing market, the push for 50-year mortgages, and why extending loan terms does little to address the underlying supply constraints driving home prices and unaffordability.


00:00 Introduction and Overview

00:28 The Future of Legislation in the Age of AI

08:07 No Visas for Obese People

12:12 Foolishness of the Week: $2,000 Checks for All Americans

19:40 Trump’s Political Gambit

22:35 Budget Deficits and the Myth of Tariff Revenue

28:13 The Housing Affordability Crisis

31:16 Mortgage Rates, Down Payments, and Lending Standards

35:56 The 50-Year Mortgage Proposal and Its Real Costs

45:08 30-Year vs 50-Year Mortgage Interest Rates

51:51 Are Tiny Homes the Solution?

53:50 How Politicians Could Implement 50-Year Mortgages

56:17 The Role of Banks in the Lending Business

57:18 What Mortgages and Loans Allow

01:03:20 Predictions for 50-Year Mortgages

01:07:01 Is Inflation Falling?

01:09:19 Conclusions on Mortgages and Lending

01:13:06 James’s Personal Mortgage Story

01:15:41 The Problems with Higher Education and Student Loans

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