Eurizon SLJ Capital

In this episode of The Long and Short of the Week Ahead, Matt Jones is joined by Neil Staines to map the key macro catalysts investors are watching.

They start in Japan, where the February 8 general election announcement, renewed fiscal debate, and long-end JGB moves have put policy credibility and FX dynamics back in focus, alongside rising speculation around Ministry of Finance intervention risk in USD/JPY. The conversation then turns global, with a packed calendar of central bank decisions across DM and EM, before finishing in the US with the FOMC meeting, the key themes to listen for from Chair Powell, and a major week of earnings led by large-cap tech.

What we cover

• Japan: election timing, fiscal expectations, JGB volatility, and USD/JPY intervention risk
• Global central banks: a busy week for policy decisions, including Canada, Sweden, Hungary, Chile, Brazil, and South Africa
• US: the Fed meeting, the press conference focus, and heavyweight earnings (Microsoft, Tesla, Meta, Apple)
• Weekend watch: sport highlights and a look ahead to rugby and cricket

Chapters
00:00 Introduction and welcome
00:27 Japan: election, fiscal concerns, JGBs and USD/JPY
02:51 Global central bank week ahead
04:49 US: Fed meeting and major earnings
06:38 Weekend sports highlights
07:38 Closing remarks and disclaimers

For professional investors only.

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication. 

In this episode of The Long and Short of the Week Ahead, Matt Jones is joined by Neil Staines to discuss the key macro signals markets are likely to focus on next week, with Davos, major data releases, and earnings season shaping the agenda.

The conversation covers the UK’s crucial run of releases, China’s growth and activity data, Australia and Europe’s policy-sensitive prints, and why the US narrative may be driven as much by geopolitics and messaging as by the data calendar.

Key topics discussed include:

• Why UK jobs, CPI, and retail sales are a key barometer for whether UK weakness is underpriced
• What China Q4 GDP, Australia inflation and employment, Germany’s ZEW, and global flash PMIs signal about momentum and policy debate
• What to watch in the US across earnings, key revisions and indicators, and Davos-driven headline risk around the dollar, tariffs, energy, and geopolitics

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication. 

In this episode of The Long and Short of the Week Ahead, Matt Jones is joined by Neil Staines to discuss the latest inflation data, central bank signals, and what they mean for the global rate outlook in 2026.

The conversation covers the UK macro backdrop, key global inflation prints, and why upcoming data will be critical for the Fed, the Bank of England, and other major central banks as markets reassess rate expectations.

Key topics discussed include:

• How weak demand and political dynamics are shaping the UK outlook and Bank of England expectations
• Why global inflation prints and domestic demand data matter for policy decisions in Australia, Europe, and emerging markets
• What US inflation, GDP momentum, and Fed communication mean for rate cut pricing and global macro sentiment

With inflation data, earnings season, and central bank speakers all in focus, this episode outlines the macro signals investors should be watching closely in the week ahead.

Recorded for professional investors.

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication. 

In this episode of The Long and Short of the Week Ahead podcast by Eurizon SLJ Capital, host Matt Jones speaks with Senior Portfolio Manager Neil Staines about the global macroeconomic outlook for 2026 and the key market drivers shaping the year ahead.

The discussion explores expectations for continued disinflation following 2025, the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and interest rate expectations, and the implications for global markets. Neil outlines why this environment may remain broadly supportive for equities and bonds, while the US dollar faces relative pressure, particularly against Asian currencies.

The episode focuses on four core macro themes for 2026: inflation trends and emerging price risks; credit spreads following significant compression in 2025; equity market drivers, including AI capital expenditure and monetisation; and global bond market dynamics such as fiscal policy, central bank independence, and supply–demand imbalances.

Looking ahead to the week, the conversation highlights key economic data releases, with a strong emphasis on global inflation data across major developed and emerging economies, alongside critical US indicators including ISM surveys, labour market data, and non-farm payrolls. The episode concludes with a brief look at weekend sporting fixtures and the hosts’ long and short picks as 2026 gets underway.

 00:00 Introduction and Welcome
 00:46 Global Macro Outlook for 2026
 01:43 Key Macro Themes: Inflation, Credit, Equities, and Bonds
 03:17 Global Inflation Data and Economic Releases
 04:42 US Economic Data, the Fed, and Labour Markets
 07:34 Weekend Sports Highlights
 08:21 Long and Short Picks for 2026
 08:40 Conclusion and Closing Remarks 

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication. 

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead', Matt Jones and Neil Staines from Eurizon SLJ Capital provide an in-depth analysis of the upcoming macroeconomic themes. Key highlights include the impact of the recent FOMC meeting on US rates and the dollar, anticipated economic data from Japan, Europe, Australia, and China, as well as central bank meetings in Indonesia, Mexico, Russia, and Colombia. The episode also examines the UK’s economic state and expectations for the Bank of England's next moves. Additionally, listeners get a preview of the upcoming sports events including Premier League matches, the end of the Formula One season, and England’s cricket tour in Australia.

00:00 Introduction and Welcome
00:27 US Economic Outlook: FOMC Insights
02:28 Global Economic Highlights
04:18 UK Economic Focus
06:03 Weekend Sports and Events
06:48 Final Thoughts and Farewell

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication. 

In this week's episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead' by Eurizon SLJ Capital, hosts Matt Jones and Neil Staines delve into the upcoming global central bank meetings and their potential impact on monetary policy. With notable rate cuts from India and Poland, anticipated decisions from the RBA, Bank of Canada, Swiss National Bank, and emerging market banks like Brazil and Turkey, the episode provides comprehensive insights. Japan, China, Australia, and the UK's economic data are analysed for their impact on global markets. The discussion also previews the US Federal Reserve's forthcoming FOMC meeting and its fiscal implications for 2026. In closing, Matt and Neil touch on key weekend sports events, including Formula One, Premier League football, and the Ashes cricket series.

00:00 Introduction and Welcome
00:38 Global Monetary Policy Overview
02:53 Focus on Japan and China
03:41 UK and US Economic Outlook
05:55 Weekend Sports Highlights
07:11 Conclusion and Sign-Off

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication. 

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' Matt Jones and Neil Staines from Eurizon SLJ Capital discuss the macroeconomic themes expected in the upcoming week. Key topics include the recent UK CPI data and the anticipated fiscal policies in the UK's budget, as well as notable economic updates from Europe, Japan, Australia, and the US. The podcast also touches on potential market volatility leading up to Thanksgiving and the upcoming sporting events over the weekend.

00:00 Introduction and Welcome
00:27 UK Macroeconomic Overview
02:20 Global Macroeconomic Highlights
03:58 US Economic Outlook
05:36 Weekend Sports Preview
06:50 Conclusion and Sign-off

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication. 

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss key macroeconomic themes and market forecasts for professional investors. They focus on the UK's upcoming budget, potential fiscal impacts, and future economic projections. The discussion also covers European Central Bank policies, the Reserve Bank of Australia's hawkish stance, global PMI data, and anticipated economic indicators from the US post-government shutdown. Additional insights include economic updates from Poland, Chile, Colombia, Indonesia, and South Africa. Lastly, they touch on upcoming leadership events in sports, including football qualifiers, Formula One, boxing matches, and rugby games.

00:00 Introduction and Welcome
00:27 Focus on the UK Economy
02:26 European and Global Economic Outlook
04:23 US Economic Updates Post-Government Shutdown
06:08 Exciting Weekend Sports Preview
07:18 Conclusion and Closing Remarks

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication. 

In this week's episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' Matt Jones, Head of Distribution at Eurizon SLJ Capital, is joined by Neil Staines, Senior Portfolio Manager, to discuss key macroeconomic themes. They analyze the Bank of England's decision to leave rates unchanged and its implications for UK growth. Global economic indicators from China, Australia, Europe, and the USA are also reviewed, including employment reports, GDP estimates, and inflation data. The episode concludes with a look at upcoming sports events and the anticipation surrounding them.

00:00 Introduction and Welcome
00:27 UK Macroeconomic Outlook and Bank of England
02:09 Global Economic Indicators to Watch
03:41 US Economic Update and Federal Data
05:09 Weekend Sports Preview
06:03 Conclusion and Closing Remarks

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication. 

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' Matt Jones, Head of Distribution for Eurizon SLJ Capital, and Neil Staines, Senior Portfolio Manager, discuss recent developments in global monetary policies and their implications. They review actions by the ECB, Bank of Canada, and Bank of Japan, and look ahead to central bank announcements in various countries like Australia, Sweden, and the UK. The script also covers the latest from the Fed's FOMC meeting and concludes with a light-hearted take on upcoming sports events. The discussion is tailored for professional investors and provides insights into macroeconomic trends and forecasts.

00:00 Introduction and Welcome
00:28 Global Monetary Policy Overview
02:54 Focus on the UK Economy
04:35 Insights from the FOMC Meeting
07:15 Weekend Sports Highlights
08:37 Conclusion and Sign-Off

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.