Eurizon SLJ Capital

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' Matt Jones from Eurizon SLJ Capital engages with Neil Staines, Senior Portfolio Manager, to discuss recent macroeconomic data and its implications for global markets. They explore disappointing economic metrics from China and Germany, rate cuts from the RBA and the Bank of Thailand, and a dovish stance from the Norges Bank. They also analyse forthcoming trade data from the Eurozone and Japan, the impact of US tariffs, and the potential repercussions for growth and inflation on a global scale. The conversation includes insights into the UK’s GDP and employment figures, along with the anticipation of fiscal tightening. Additionally, they touch upon US inflation data and its potential effect on the Federal Reserve's future actions. The episode concludes with a brief discussion on upcoming sports events, showcasing a well-rounded end to the week’s analysis.

00:00 Introduction and Welcome
00:28 Global Economic Overview
02:09 UK Economic Insights
03:37 US Economic Data and Projections
05:19 Weekend Sports Highlights
06:15 Conclusion and Closing Remarks

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication. 

In this episode of "The Long and Short of the Week Ahead," Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss the latest macroeconomic themes impacting global markets. The conversation covers the implications of new US tariffs, the outlook for US and global growth, and key economic data releases to watch in the coming week. The hosts also analyse recent monetary policy decisions from the Bank of England and preview upcoming events in China and Australia. The episode wraps up with a lighthearted look at the weekend's sports highlights and the hosts' "long and short" picks.

Key Topics:

• US tariffs: Impact on fiscal trajectory, inflation, and global growth
• Upcoming US economic data: CPI, PPI, retail sales
• China: CPI/PPI data, stimulus measures, and economic indicators
• Australia: RBA rate decision, labour market, and forward guidance
• UK: Bank of England's historic rate cut vote, fiscal challenges, and inflation outlook
• Sports roundup: Football, cricket, rugby, golf, and Formula 1

Episode Highlights:

• The complex effects of US tariffs on both domestic and global economies
• Whythe  upcoming US inflation and retail data are under close scrutiny
• China's economic data as a barometer for global demand
• The Bank of England's unusual voting process and its implications for UK monetary policy
• Fiscal tightening in the UK and its impact on future rate decisions
• Weekend sports picks and a friendly exchange about barbecue invites

Notable Quotes:

• "The US high-frequency macroeconomic data is now under a more acute scrutiny."
• "We see the prospect of a 50 basis point cut in November as high and rising."
• "Optimistically, we're gonna be long goals in the championship this weekend. And sadly, I'm currently very short on barbecue invites."

Further Insights:
For more analysis and insights, visit eurizonsljcapital.com.

Disclaimer: The views expressed are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect those of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. This content is for professional investors only.

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication. 

In this week's episode of 'Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' presented by Eurizon SLJ Capital, Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss key macroeconomic themes affecting the UK and global markets. They review recent UK headline inflation data, the rising unemployment rate, and consumer confidence indicators. Globally, they focus on Japan's political situation and its potential impact on interest rates, as well as upcoming minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia and the European Central Bank's monetary policies. The episode also touches upon the light data calendar in the US, the intensifying trade negotiations, and an active earnings season. 

00:00 Introduction and Welcome
00:28 UK Economic Outlook
02:03 Global Economic Insights
03:41 US Economic Focus
04:42 Upcoming Earnings and Trade Negotiations
05:03 Weekend Sports Highlights
06:24 Conclusion and Sign-off

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication. 

This episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead' by Eurizon SLJ Capital, hosted by Matt Jones and featuring Neil Staines, discusses the major macroeconomic themes and data releases anticipated for the coming week. The focus includes the implications of the recent US tariffs on Brazil and their potential impact on markets, inflation, and growth. The hosts also analyse global data from China, Germany, Australia, and Japan, and highlight important UK data releases and political developments. Additionally, the episode touches on the potential effects on financial markets and bank earnings. 

00:00 Introduction and Welcome
00:28 US Tariff and Trade Discussions
02:43 Global Economic Data Highlights
04:32 UK Economic Outlook
07:24 Conclusion and Disclaimers

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication. 

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' Matt Jones from Eurizon SLJ Capital is joined by Neil Staines to discuss the macroeconomic themes expected to shape the coming week. They address potential rate cuts by the Bank of England, expected policy decisions from the RBA and RBNZ, and key data points from China and the Eurozone. The discussion also covers the implications of US economic data, fiscal policies, and the looming tariff deadline on July 9th. Additionally, the episode touches on upcoming sporting events, including cricket, football, Wimbledon, and the British Grand Prix.

00:00 Introduction and Welcome
00:29 Global Economic Outlook for the Week
02:33 Focus on US Economic Dynamics
04:15 Tariff Debates and Global Trade
05:31 Weekend Sports Highlights
06:52 Closing Remarks and Disclaimers

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication. 

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead' by Eurizon SLJ Capital, Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss the dominant macroeconomic themes and key financial market data for the upcoming week. They highlight the crucial updates in the US, including the ISM surveys and key employment statistics, such as non-farm payrolls. The discussion covers the ECB forum in Sintra, Portugal, where the world's central bankers will meet to discuss monetary policies. Key figures like ECB's Lagarde, the Fed's Powell, and Bank of England's Bailey will be closely monitored for their insights. The episode also touches on the likely impact of geopolitical events, US fiscal policies, and global trade negotiations. As the weekend approaches, notable sporting events such as Wimbledon, the FIFA Club World Cup, and the British and Irish Lions rugby tour are mentioned. Neil wraps up with a lighthearted take on personal plans for the weekend.

00:00 Introduction and Overview
00:41 Key US Economic Data to Watch
02:47 Global Central Bankers' Meeting in Sintra
04:44 Geopolitical and Fiscal Developments
06:17 Weekend Sports and Events
07:43 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication. 

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead' by Eurizon SLJ Capital, Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss the upcoming week's macroeconomic themes with a focus on the UK and global financial markets. They highlight the economic challenges facing the UK, including job losses and weak GDP prints, and anticipate potential monetary policy actions from central banks like the Bank of England, Swiss National Bank, and the Fed. The episode also touches on significant global data releases from Japan, China, Germany, and Australia, and reflects on the pressures and expectations surrounding US monetary policy. Additionally, Matt and Neil share their sports highlights for the weekend.

00:00 Introduction and Overview
00:41 Focus on the UK Economy
02:58 Global Central Banks' Announcements
05:08 US Monetary Policy and the Fed
07:02 Weekend Sports Highlights
07:54 Conclusion and Closing Remarks

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication. 

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead' from Eurizon SLJ Capital, Matt Jones and Senior Portfolio Manager Neil Staines discuss anticipated macroeconomic themes. Key topics include the upcoming US employment report, the volatile financial markets sparked by the Trump-Musk confrontation, and ongoing trade negotiations involving the US, Japan, and India. They also delve into significant decisions by the European Central Bank (ECB), expected data points from the UK, and the current political backdrop in Poland. Additionally, the show ends on a lighter note discussing weekend sports and personal long and short positions.

00:00 Introduction and Welcome
00:29 US Economic Outlook and Key Events
03:10 European Central Bank Decisions and Implications
05:38 UK Economic Indicators and Projections
08:23 Closing Remarks and Disclaimers

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication. 

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' Matt Jones of Eurizon SLJ Capital and Neil Staines discuss the flat trends in the dollar, bonds, and equities markets. They highlight key upcoming macroeconomic data that may clarify global economic trajectories, including PMI data from China and Eurozone's CPI and retail sales figures. The discussion also covers the anticipated ECB policy decisions and the crucial US economic data releases.  The insights provided are directed at professional investors, highlighting the importance of the forthcoming data in influencing market sentiment and economic outlooks.

00:00 Market Overview and Introduction
00:43 Global Macro Data Insights
02:42 ECB Policy Expectations
04:24 US Economic Data Highlights
07:48 Conclusion and Disclaimers

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication. 

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' Matt Jones and Neil Staines from Eurizon SLJ Capital discuss the major macroeconomic themes for the upcoming week. Key highlights include insights into global fiscal and trade policies, a busy data schedule from Europe, Japan, and the US, and significant central bank meetings worldwide. They also cover upcoming financial reports and consumer confidence data. The discussion emphasises the importance of these factors for professional investors, focusing on market expectations and potential impacts.

00:00 Introduction and Overview
00:56 Eurozone Economic Indicators
02:04 Global Trade and Market Focus
02:30 Central Banks and Monetary Policy
03:48 US Economic Outlook
06:59 Closing Remarks and Disclaimers

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.