Eurizon SLJ Capital

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' Matt Jones, Head of Distribution for Eurizon SLJ Capital, is joined by Neil Staines, Senior Portfolio Manager. They delve into recent and upcoming macroeconomic data, including key trade deals and economic indicators from the UK, as well as global data from China, Australia, the Eurozone, and Japan. The episode is intended for professional investors and provides insightful analysis of the economic landscape for the week ahead.

Key points:

• UK resilience meets looming headwinds – Strong Q1 GDP and firm wage growth contrast with impending tax hikes and still-tight monetary policy.
• Global data deluge – From China’s April activity suite to Japan’s CPI, markets will parse each print for evidence of tariff fallout and policy divergence.
• U.S. fiscal questions – With little hard data due, Fed speakers and Capitol-Hill fiscal manoeuvring will steer sentiment.

00:00 Introduction and Overview
00:37 UK Economic Outlook
02:47 Global Economic Insights
04:17 US Economic and Political Focus
07:24 Conclusion and Disclaimers

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication. 

In this episode of the Long and Short of the Week Ahead by Eurizon SLJ Capital, Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss the anticipated macroeconomic events for the upcoming week, primarily focusing on the US. Topics include mixed economic signals from the UK, cooling tariff rhetoric globally, and significant upcoming US data and earnings reports. There is also a brief insight into upcoming global economic indicators, such as European inflation and German GDP.  This episode provides valuable insights for professional investors navigating the current economic landscape.

00:00 Introduction and Overview
00:37 UK Economic Outlook
02:57 Global Economic Insights
05:57 US Economic Focus
10:44 Conclusion and Sign-Off

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication. 

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' hosted by Matt Jones and joined by Neil Staines from Eurizon SLJ Capital, key macroeconomic themes and forecasts for the upcoming week are discussed. Topics covered include the UK's economic outlook with upcoming employment and CPI reports, the global impact of US-China trade tensions, important global economic data releases like Germany's ZEW sentiment index, China's GDP data, and Japan's CPI. Additionally, insights into the Bank of Canada and ECB's upcoming actions and their implications on global financial markets are provided. 

00:00 Introduction and Overview
00:41 Focus on the UK Economy
02:16 Global Economic Outlook
04:59 US Economic Focus
07:13 Conclusion and Disclaimers

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication. 

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' Matt Jones of Eurizon SLJ Capital and Senior Portfolio Manager Neil Staines discuss the macroeconomic themes and data releases anticipated for the upcoming week. The conversation covers the US NFIB Small Business Optimism Index, FOMC minutes, CPI, PPI, and Michigan sentiment data, alongside Q1 earnings from major banks. Globally, attention is on German trade balance, Eurozone Sentix expectations, Australian consumer confidence, New Zealand's monetary policy, and China's CPI and PPI. The duo also explore the impact of recent tariff announcements and heightened geopolitical tensions on market volatility and asset allocation. 

00:00 Introduction and Market Overview
00:38 US Data and Market Implications
02:27 Global Data and Market Dynamics
04:20 Geopolitical Influences and Trade Dynamics
06:32 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication. 

In this week's episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' Matt Jones and Neil Staines from Eurizon SLJ Capital discuss major macroeconomic themes and market events. The UK headlines include European defense negotiations, auto tariff considerations, and the spring statement. Global fiscal and monetary policies are analyzed, with a focus on US fiscal consolidation, Europe’s fiscal expansion, and anticipated rate changes by central banks. Key data releases from Japan, China, Australia, and major US economic indicators are highlighted. 

00:00 Introduction and Overview
00:35 UK Economic Highlights
01:14 Global Fiscal and Monetary Policies
02:50 Upcoming Global Economic Data
04:19 US Economic Focus
05:52 Closing Remarks

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication. 

In this episode of 'The Long and Short Forward Curve' by Eurizon SLJ Capital, Matt Jones discusses the implications of the upcoming FOMC meeting on March 17, 2025. While immediate action from the Fed is not anticipated, the focus will be on the updated economic projections, which will reflect the Fed's stance on tariffs, geopolitical risks, and equity market fragility. The episode highlights the growing tension between market expectations of fiscal expansion and the Trump administration's commitment to fiscal consolidation. Technical insights, such as the fiscal r-star and the dot plot, provide crucial signals for professional investors about future interest rate adjustments and their impact on global markets.

00:00 Introduction to the Long and Short Forward Curve
00:31 This Week's FOMC Meeting: What to Expect
00:48 Key Insights from Neil Staines
01:16 The Macro Setup: Complex, Political, and Volatile
02:18 Fiscal vs Monetary Policy Divergence
03:24 Equities and the Fed's Response
04:05 Watch the Dot Plot, Not the Rate Decision
04:49 Disclaimer and Legal Information

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication. 

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead' by Eurizon SLJ Capital, Matt Jones, Head of Distribution, and Neil Staines, Senior Portfolio Manager, discuss major macroeconomic themes and key global data expected in the coming week. The focus is on Germany's fiscal stimulus plans and the U.S.'s fiscal consolidation, alongside crucial economic data from China, Germany, the Ricks Bank, the Swiss National Bank, and the Bank of Japan. The discussion also covers the UK macro outlook with an emphasis on the upcoming Bank of England meeting and the FOMC meeting in the U.S., which will be crucial amid ongoing tariff and trade uncertainties. 

00:00 Introduction and Overview
01:46 Global Data Highlights for the Week
03:18 Focus on the UK Economy
04:41 US Economic Outlook and the Fed
07:15 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication. 

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead' from Eurizon SLJ Capital, Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss crucial macroeconomic themes and market developments. Key topics include Germany's surprising fiscal expansion and its implications for Europe, a review of China's recent economic stimulus measures, and the US's fiscal and monetary policy outlook. They also preview significant economic data releases and expected market moves for the coming week.

00:00 Introduction to Fiscal Conservatism and Monetary Activism
00:16 Welcome and Overview of the Week Ahead
00:41 Focus on Europe: Germany's Fiscal Expansion
03:04 China's Economic Stimulus and Global Impact
04:48 US Economic Outlook and Policy Implications
07:50 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication. 

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead' by Eurizon SLJ Capital, Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss upcoming macroeconomic themes. They cover the impact of global trade tariffs, particularly the March 4th deadline for tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, on FX markets and volatility. They also talk about key economic indicators such as the February CAIXIN PMI from China, global manufacturing and services PMI, and the significant ECB meeting. Lastly, they focus on the US with ISM manufacturing and service sector activity, ADP, trade data, and the highly anticipated non-farm payrolls, providing insights on how these factors may shape market sentiment and positioning next week.

00:00 Introduction and Overview
00:42 Global Trade and Geopolitical Events
02:24 European Economic Outlook and ECB Meeting
04:14 US Economic Outlook and Key Data Releases
06:29 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication. 

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' Matt Jones, Head of Distribution for Eurizon SLJ Capital, and Neil Staines, Senior Portfolio Manager, provide a detailed analysis of the upcoming macroeconomic themes and events. The focus begins with the German elections and their potential impact on coalition dynamics, crucial for significant fiscal policies. They also discuss the European economic outlook, specifically referencing the IFO index and comments from ECB's Isabel Schnabel. The conversation covers a range of central bank speakers from the DM economies, expected economic data releases, and their implications for monetary policy, particularly in the UK, Eurozone, and the US. They also examine US economic indicators and sentiment shifts that could affect equity markets. 

00:00 Introduction and Overview
00:53 Focus on Germany and Europe
03:56 Central Bank Speakers and Economic Data
06:04 US Economic Outlook and Key Data Releases
07:34 Market Volatility and Key Events
09:24 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.