In this episode of the Cognitive Revolution, Nathan engages in a critical dialogue with Flo Crivello on the trajectory of AI development. They touch upon the imminent arrival of AGI, the potential risks of a US-China AI arms race, and the complexities of AI safety and international cooperation. Explore their perspectives on regulation, technological progression, and the ethical dilemmas facing the AI community. This conversation is essential for anyone interested in understanding the challenges at the intersection of AI technology and global politics.

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Recommended Podcast - The Riff with Byrne Hobart

Byrne Hobart, the writer of The Diff, is revered in Silicon Valley. You can get an hour with him each week. See for yourself how his thinking can upgrade yours.

Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/6rANlV54GCARLgMOtpkzKt

Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-riff-with-byrne-hobart-and-erik-torenberg/id1716646486

CHAPTERS:

(00:00:00) Introduction

(00:11:14) GPT-4.0

(00:14:56) AI arms race

(00:18:23) Devon and GitHub workspaces

(00:20:08) Sponsors: Oracle | Brave

(00:22:16) The AGI discourse

(00:25:29) The invisible protection

(00:29:33) AI arms race

(00:34:41) Stalling out

(00:38:33) P(doom)

(00:43:38) China

(00:43:38) Sponsors: Squad | Omneky

(00:45:24) Government

(00:48:05) What should we do?

(00:51:35) Open sourcing models

(00:54:17) Manhattan Project for Alignment

(00:57:26) Current State of Play

(01:01:39) How much more mundane utility can we get?

(01:04:54) How much of what we are building is future proof?

(01:07:41) Adoption, acceleration, hyperscaling, pause

(01:10:17) OpenAI leadership

(01:14:32) Future of Live Players

(01:17:38) Big Tech Singularity

(01:21:30) AGI is Coming