Inevitable

Geopolitical Risk in a Changing Climate


Listen Later

Alan Leung is SVP of Threat Intelligence on the Global Security team at Macquarie Group, a global financial services firm. They're one of the world's largest infrastructure asset managers. 

Alan is an active MCJ community member who a year or so ago started writing his own personal newsletter on climate and geopolitical risk at securingclimate.substack.com. The conversation in this episode is inspired by much of what Alan has written and shared there. Cody and Alan cover a range of topics, starting with a framework for how to think about systemic climate risk, to climate change-influenced conflict, to national responses to the energy transition, and lastly to how Alan thinks adaptation and resiliency responses will evolve.

In this episode, we cover: 

  • [02:01]: Alan’s framework for defining “hazard” and “risk”
  • [04:23]: Examples of climate hazards and impacts
  • [06:19]: Understanding climate's nuanced impact on security and conflicts
  • [09:18]: Early warning signs and triggers for conflict; climate's role in exacerbating risks
  • [10:25]: Water scarcity's role in conflicts in different regions (e.g., Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uruguay, India, South Africa)
  • [14:52]: The need to accommodate for more extreme swings in weather
  • [18:01]: Rebuilding with resilience and new tech after conflict
  • [21:10]: Global cooperation vs. local protectionism and “geopolitical realities” in the energy transition
  • [27:03]: The need for more investment in resilience and adaptation strategies
  • [30:03]: How insurance companies are reacting to increasing climate risks
  • [33:56]: How organizations can connect risks with opportunities
  • [37:43]: Advice for other risk professionals looking to develop knowledge in the climate space
  • [40:25]: COVID-19's impact on risk thinking, agility, and value of actionable insights
  • [42:50]: An overview of Macquarie Group and Alan’s role in the firm
  • [44:47]: Areas where Alan sees opportunities for risk analysis and security in climate solutions
  • [46:39]: How traditional ecological practices especially among indigenous cultures may offer the most resilient solutions
  • [48:41]: Water security and innovation in cooling systems

Resources mentioned: 

  • Chatham House climate change risk assessment 2021

Get connected: 
Alan LinkedIn
Cody Simms Twitter / LinkedIn
MCJ Podcast / Collective

*You can also reach us via email at [email protected], where we encourage you to share your feedback on episodes and suggestions for future topics or guests.

Episode recorded on Jul 28, 2023 (Published on Aug 8, 2023)

Enjoyed this episode? Please leave us a review! Share feedback or suggest future topics and guests at [email protected].

Connect with MCJ:

  • Cody Simms on LinkedIn
  • Visit mcj.vc
  • Subscribe to the MCJ Newsletter

*Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant

...more
View all episodesView all episodes
Download on the App Store

InevitableBy an MCJ podcast

  • 4.8
  • 4.8
  • 4.8
  • 4.8
  • 4.8

4.8

165 ratings


More shows like Inevitable

View all
Climate One by Climate One from The Commonwealth Club

Climate One

565 Listeners

Energy Gang by Wood Mackenzie

Energy Gang

1,254 Listeners

Columbia Energy Exchange by Columbia University

Columbia Energy Exchange

391 Listeners

Currents by Norton Rose Fulbright

Currents

124 Listeners

Interchange Recharged by Wood Mackenzie

Interchange Recharged

498 Listeners

Redefining Energy by Laurent Segalen and Gerard Reid

Redefining Energy

127 Listeners

Switched On by Bloomberg

Switched On

99 Listeners

Climate Rising by Harvard Business School Business & Environment Initiative

Climate Rising

76 Listeners

Cleaning Up: Leadership in an Age of Climate Change by Michael Liebreich, Bryony Worthington

Cleaning Up: Leadership in an Age of Climate Change

70 Listeners

Volts by David Roberts

Volts

588 Listeners

The Green Blueprint by Latitude Media

The Green Blueprint

205 Listeners

Catalyst with Shayle Kann by Latitude Media

Catalyst with Shayle Kann

262 Listeners

Zero: The Climate Race by Bloomberg

Zero: The Climate Race

195 Listeners

Shift Key with Robinson Meyer and Jesse Jenkins by Heatmap News

Shift Key with Robinson Meyer and Jesse Jenkins

92 Listeners

Open Circuit by Latitude Media

Open Circuit

141 Listeners