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Jack Clark's retrospective on GPT2 is full of interesting policy thoughts, I recommend reading the whole thing. One excerpt:
I've come to believe that in policy "a little goes a long way" - it's far better to have a couple of ideas you think are robustly good in all futures and advocate for those than make a confident bet on ideas custom-designed for one specific future - especially if it's based on a very confident risk model that sits at some unknowable point in front of you.
Additionally, the more risk-oriented you make your policy proposal, the more you tend to assign a huge amount of power to some regulatory entity - and history shows that once we assign power to governments, they're loathe to subsequently give that power back to the people. Policy is a ratchet and things tend to accrete over time. That [...]
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First published:
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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
By LessWrongJack Clark's retrospective on GPT2 is full of interesting policy thoughts, I recommend reading the whole thing. One excerpt:
I've come to believe that in policy "a little goes a long way" - it's far better to have a couple of ideas you think are robustly good in all futures and advocate for those than make a confident bet on ideas custom-designed for one specific future - especially if it's based on a very confident risk model that sits at some unknowable point in front of you.
Additionally, the more risk-oriented you make your policy proposal, the more you tend to assign a huge amount of power to some regulatory entity - and history shows that once we assign power to governments, they're loathe to subsequently give that power back to the people. Policy is a ratchet and things tend to accrete over time. That [...]
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First published:
Source:
Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

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