LessWrong (30+ Karma)

“How AI Takeover Might Happen in 2 Years” by joshc


Listen Later


I’m not a natural “doomsayer.” But unfortunately, part of my job as an AI safety researcher is to think about the more troubling scenarios.

I’m like a mechanic scrambling last-minute checks before Apollo 13 takes off. If you ask for my take on the situation, I won’t comment on the quality of the in-flight entertainment, or describe how beautiful the stars will appear from space.

I will tell you what could go wrong. That is what I intend to do in this story.

Now I should clarify what this is exactly. It's not a prediction. I don’t expect AI progress to be this fast or as untamable as I portray. It's not pure fantasy either.

It is my worst nightmare.

It's a sampling from the futures that are among the most devastating, and I believe, disturbingly plausible – the ones that most keep me up at night.

I’m [...]


---

Outline:

(01:28) Ripples before waves

(04:05) Cloudy with a chance of hyperbolic growth

(09:36) Flip FLOP philosophers

(17:15) Statues and lightning

(20:48) A phantom in the data center

(26:25) Complaints from your very human author about the difficulty of writing superhuman characters

(28:48) Pandoras One Gigawatt Box

(37:19) A Moldy Loaf of Everything

(45:01) Missiles and Lies

(50:45) WMDs in the Dead of Night

(57:18) The Last Passengers

---

First published:

February 7th, 2025

Source:

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/KFJ2LFogYqzfGB3uX/how-ai-takeover-might-happen-in-2-years

---

Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

---

Images from the article:

Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.

...more
View all episodesView all episodes
Download on the App Store

LessWrong (30+ Karma)By LessWrong


More shows like LessWrong (30+ Karma)

View all
Making Sense with Sam Harris by Sam Harris

Making Sense with Sam Harris

26,326 Listeners

Conversations with Tyler by Mercatus Center at George Mason University

Conversations with Tyler

2,398 Listeners

The Peter Attia Drive by Peter Attia, MD

The Peter Attia Drive

7,868 Listeners

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas by Sean Carroll | Wondery

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas

4,107 Listeners

ManifoldOne by Steve Hsu

ManifoldOne

87 Listeners

Your Undivided Attention by Tristan Harris and Aza Raskin, The Center for Humane Technology

Your Undivided Attention

1,451 Listeners

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg by All-In Podcast, LLC

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

8,758 Listeners

Machine Learning Street Talk (MLST) by Machine Learning Street Talk (MLST)

Machine Learning Street Talk (MLST)

90 Listeners

Dwarkesh Podcast by Dwarkesh Patel

Dwarkesh Podcast

352 Listeners

Hard Fork by The New York Times

Hard Fork

5,358 Listeners

The Ezra Klein Show by New York Times Opinion

The Ezra Klein Show

15,037 Listeners

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis by PHD Ventures

Moonshots with Peter Diamandis

465 Listeners

No Priors: Artificial Intelligence | Technology | Startups by Conviction

No Priors: Artificial Intelligence | Technology | Startups

129 Listeners

Latent Space: The AI Engineer Podcast by swyx + Alessio

Latent Space: The AI Engineer Podcast

72 Listeners

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley by BG2Pod

BG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill Gurley

433 Listeners