Farmers’ Almanac is predicting a frigid winter, with minus 40-degree days in January. But the The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is putting out a neutral forecast, said meteorologist Peter Boulay with the Minnesota Department of Natural Resources Climate Working Group.

“The Farmers’ Almanac has my mom and her friends just terrorized, just petrified with fear,” Boulay said. “It generally doesn’t look like it will be.”

But he said anything can happen, calling the atmosphere “fickle” and pointing to both a blob of warm water in the Pacific Ocean and a warmer-than-average autumn in Alaska that could send Minnesota’s winter either direction on the Winter Misery Index, now the Snow and Cold Index.

“We had a debate. Is it the winter misery index or the winter fun index? So we kind of compromised,” Boulay said.

One thing that is certain, he said, the winters are bringing more precipitation.