Bharatvaarta

India’s Hardest Choices in 2026 | Abhijit Chavda


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India is entering a decade where its biggest challenges will not come from visible enemies alone — but from the choices it makes under pressure in a rapidly fragmenting world order.

In this wide-ranging and rigorous conversation, Abhijit Chavda joins Bharatvaarta to examine the hard geopolitical decisions India faces today — from energy security and strategic autonomy to American pressure, global trade realignments, and the limits of the so-called “rules-based order.”
We unpack why India’s purchase of Russian energy is not just an economic decision but a sovereignty test, how sanctions and tariffs are used as tools of control, and why Western demands rarely stop at a single issue. Abhijit Chavda explains how dollar dominance, payment systems, and global trade architecture have become instruments of coercion — and why India’s attempts to bypass them trigger resistance.
The conversation moves through America’s containment strategy, regime-change patterns in South Asia, pressure on India’s neighbourhood, and why “multi-alignment” is not indecision but survival strategy for a rising power. We explore whether India can stay sovereign without picking sides, what happens if it doesn’t, and why the next few years may define India’s trajectory for decades.
This episode isn’t about ideology.
It’s about power, pressure, and the price of independence.
⏱️ Chapters
00:00 – 01:00 • Introduction: India’s Moment of Decision
01:00 – 05:30 • Russian Oil, Energy Security & Western Pressure
05:30 – 10:30 • Sanctions, Tariffs & Economic Coercion
10:30 – 15:30 • Dollar Power, Trade Architecture & Financial Warfare
15:30 – 20:30 • Is the US Really Angry About Oil — Or Control?
20:30 – 26:00 • Containment Strategy: India, China & Unequal Treatment
26:00 – 31:30 • Multi-Alignment vs Picking Sides
31:30 – 37:00 • What “Vassal State” Pressure Actually Looks Like
37:00 – 43:00 • Regime Change, NGOs & Influence Operations
43:00 – 48:30 • India’s Neighbourhood: Pakistan, Bangladesh & Instability
48:30 – 54:00 • EU, America & India’s Strategic Options
54:00 – 59:30 • Trump, Establishments & How Power Really Works
59:30 – 01:05:30 • Can India Buy Time — Or Is Conflict Inevitable?
01:05:30 – 01:11:00 • India’s Strategic Path Forward & Closing Thoughts
👉 If you found this conversation valuable, subscribe to Bharatvaarta.
We bring you serious, long-form discussions on geopolitics, power, civilisation, and India’s strategic future.
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👤 Guest — Abhijit Chavda
Geopolitical Analyst | Researcher | Strategic Affairs Commentator
X → https://x.com/AbhijitChavda
Instagram → https://www.instagram.com/theabhijitchavda/
👤 Host — Roshan Cariappa
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Instagram → https://www.instagram.com/carygottheblues/

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