"The Cognitive Revolution" | AI Builders, Researchers, and Live Player Analysis

Jake Sullivan on Navigating AI Uncertainty and Managing Competition with China


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Today Jake Sullivan, the U.S. National Security Advisor from 2021-2025 joins The Cognitive Revolution to discuss AI as a critical national security issue.

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  • Four-Category Framework: Sullivan organizes his thinking about AI into security, economics, society, and technology categories rather than focusing primarily on existential risks

  • "Managed Competition" with China: He advocates for a model where the US and China "compete like hell" while maintaining sufficient guardrails to prevent conflict

  • Skepticism of Grand Bargains: Competition is a "chronic condition" of the US-China relationship that cannot be solved with a strategic condominium

  • AI in Modern Warfare: Current conflicts are providing "glimpses of the future" with lessons about scale, attritability, and the potential for autonomous weapons

  • US Military Adoption Concerns: Sullivan worries that Pentagon bureaucracy prevents rapid AI adoption while China's PLA may be better positioned to integrate AI capabilities

  • Private Sector Leadership: AI is "the first technology with such profound national security applications that the government really had very little to do with"

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    "The Cognitive Revolution" | AI Builders, Researchers, and Live Player AnalysisBy Erik Torenberg, Nathan Labenz

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