Recorded 06/24/2025, Aired 06/26/2025

In this month’s Southwest Climate Podcast we are in the final countdown to the monsoon.  To get us started, host Zack Guido quizzes host Mike Crimmins on his climatology knowledge.  They then cover this past month’s heat ramp up, take a walk down monsoon history over the past few seasons, and look at past conditions as a precursor to get the monsoon party started.  Then close out with our current conditions and what the forecasts are saying.  Will the tropical storm activity be this year’s wildcard?!?

Don’t forget to sign up and make your predictions for the Southwest Monsoon Fantasy Forecasts game.  Forecasts for July must be entered by June 30 at 11:59 PM.

Mentions:

Paper: “Is the North American monsoon self-limiting?”

Southwest U.S. Summer Monsoon Season Precipitation Mapping

30 Day-ish Climate Tracking for Southwest U.S.

2025 Hurricane Forecast by Xubin Zeng and Kyle Davis - University of Arizona

NOAA NWS - Climate Prediction Center: Season Forecasts

North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME)

International Multi Model Ensemble 

ECMWF: Run AI models yourself from ECMWF open data