Lagniappe

Lagniappe

By Stokes Family OfficeBusinessNewsTechnology
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Lagniappe episodes

  • It’s Super Bowl Weekend in New Orleans!

    Our daily commutes include celebrity sightings these days which means it’s Super Bowl time in New Orleans. We’ll discuss the big game and why the Big Easy is such a great host. We’ll also give our analysis of market volatility given the recent jobs report, political movement, and AI developments. We’ll finish with the importance of long-term investment strategies, and the psychological factors such as recency bias that influence investor behavior.


    Key Takeaways

    • [00:17] - Celebrity sightings in New Orleans
    • [04:06] - Nola is great at hosting Super Bowls + bad things happen in the markets when the Eagles win
    • [06:46] - Inflationary concerns, truflation and the impact of housing
    • [10:26] - Chinese stocks + American AI spend
    • [14:47] - The short-termism of social media and market prognosticators
    • [18:25] - Why we believe in long-term strategies with a diversified portfolio


    • View Transcript



      Links

      • January Jobs Report
      • Sean Payton loves the Superdome and New Orleans as a host
      • A market-related reason to root for the Chiefs
      • Goldman's Core Inflation Tracker is smack-dab at the Fed's 2% target
      • Truflation
      • New Tenant Rents declined on a YoY basis for the first time since 2Q10
      • From 1900-2020, in how many decades did US stocks outperform a global equal weight?


      • Connect with our hosts

        • Doug Stokes
        • Greg Stokes
        • Stokes Family Office


        • Subscribe and stay in touch

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          • lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com


          • Disclosure

            The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.


            Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk. Therefore, it should not be assumed that future performance of any specific investment or investment strategy (including the investments and/or investment strategies referenced in our blogs/podcasts) or any other investment and/or non-investment-related content or services will be profitable, equal any historical performance level(s), be suitable or appropriate for a reader/listener’s individual situation, or prove successful. Moreover, no portion of the blog/podcast content should be construed as a substitute for individual advice or services from the financial professional(s) of a reader/listener’s choosing, including Stokes Family, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the SEC, with which the blogger/podcasters are affiliated.

            25 min
          • Recapping a Wild Week in AI Markets

            Episode 150! As we look out our window watching New Orleans prepare and improve before the Super Bowl, we delve into the recent turmoil in the AI market, particularly the impact of a Chinese company's AI announcement on major tech stocks like Nvidia and Broadcom. Our discussion emphasizes the importance of market expectations and the potential for volatility in tech stocks, drawing parallels to past large shifts like the beginning of the Internet age.


            Key Takeaways

            • [00:17] - New Orleans prepares for the Super Bowl
            • [05:10] - Empathizing with Bills fans over NFL referees
            • [08:07] - AI market volatility due to new competitors
            • [10:18] - Replication vs. innovation, China/DeepSeek’s AI Models
            • [17:07] - Market breadth after tech’s Black Monday
            • [18:50] - Expectations vs. reality for tech stocks


            • View Transcript



              Links

              • Nvidia just had the largest single-day market cap decrease in stock market history
              • AI disruption from DeepSeek
              • How far tech stocks are away from all-time highs
              • European banks have outperformed the Mag 7 over the past two years


              • Connect with our hosts

                • Doug Stokes
                • Greg Stokes
                • Stokes Family Office


                • Subscribe and stay in touch

                  • Apple Podcasts
                  • Spotify
                  • Google Podcasts
                  • lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com


                  • Disclosure

                    The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.


                    Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk. Therefore, it should not be assumed that future performance of any specific investment or investment strategy (including the investments and/or investment strategies referenced in our blogs/podcasts) or any other investment and/or non-investment-related content or services will be profitable, equal any historical performance level(s), be suitable or appropriate for a reader/listener’s individual situation, or prove successful. Moreover, no portion of the blog/podcast content should be construed as a substitute for individual advice or services from the financial professional(s) of a reader/listener’s choosing, including Stokes Family, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the SEC, with which the blogger/podcasters are affiliated.

                    24 min
                  • Snowmageddon in New Orleans

                    We’re snowed in! We’ll discuss our experiences during a once-in-a-lifetime snow in New Orleans, analyze market reactions to Trump's presidency, and give prudent investment approaches as experts try to “predict corrections”. Plus NFL Championship weekend predictions.


                    Key Takeaways

                    • [00:17] - Making memories during a rare snow in New Orleans
                    • [05:35] - Market reactions to Trump’s inauguration
                    • [08:00] - Expectations as we transition from Biden to Trump terms
                    • [11:40] - Can we take anything from Trump’s first term as we head into his second?
                    • [17:40] - NFL Playoff predictions


                    • View Transcript



                      Links

                      • Satellite images of snow in the Deep South
                      • Baton Rouge, LA has received 2x snowfall as Anchorage, AK
                      • Peter Lynch on anticipating corrections

                      • Connect with our hosts

                        • Doug Stokes
                        • Greg Stokes
                        • Stokes Family Office

                        • Subscribe and stay in touch

                          • Apple Podcasts
                          • Spotify
                          • Google Podcasts
                          • lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com

                          • Disclosure

                            The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.


                            Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk. Therefore, it should not be assumed that future performance of any specific investment or investment strategy (including the investments and/or investment strategies referenced in our blogs/podcasts) or any other investment and/or non-investment-related content or services will be profitable, equal any historical performance level(s), be suitable or appropriate for a reader/listener’s individual situation, or prove successful. Moreover, no portion of the blog/podcast content should be construed as a substitute for individual advice or services from the financial professional(s) of a reader/listener’s choosing, including Stokes Family, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the SEC, with which the blogger/podcasters are affiliated.

                            23 min
                          • Bonds and Bourbon

                            Greg and Doug continue last week’s conversation on bond market intrigue so far in 2025. They explore the implications of rising interest rates on bonds and the attractiveness of fixed-income investments compared to equities. The conversation also touches on changing consumer behaviors, particularly with alcohol consumption, and how these trends may affect related markets/investments.


                            Key Takeaways

                            • [00:17] - The bond market continues to interest us most in 2025
                            • [07:23] - How bonds are affecting asset and pension managers
                            • [13:19] - Stocks vs. bonds long-term
                            • [15:02] - Trends in alcohol consumption + social behaviors and market implications


                            • View Transcript



                              Links

                              • 20-year investment grade corporate bonds are yielding 6.22%
                              • Goldman's call is 3% annualized over the next decade
                              • Valuation is not a timing tool, but it is an expectation tool
                              • Harry Caray’s drinking diary


                              • Connect with our hosts

                                • Doug Stokes
                                • Greg Stokes
                                • Stokes Family Office

                                • Subscribe and stay in touch

                                  • Apple Podcasts
                                  • Spotify
                                  • Google Podcasts
                                  • lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com

                                  • Disclosure

                                    The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.


                                    Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk. Therefore, it should not be assumed that future performance of any specific investment or investment strategy (including the investments and/or investment strategies referenced in our blogs/podcasts) or any other investment and/or non-investment-related content or services will be profitable, equal any historical performance level(s), be suitable or appropriate for a reader/listener’s individual situation, or prove successful. Moreover, no portion of the blog/podcast content should be construed as a substitute for individual advice or services from the financial professional(s) of a reader/listener’s choosing, including Stokes Family, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the SEC, with which the blogger/podcasters are affiliated.

                                    23 min
                                  • The First Episode of 2025

                                    Doug and Greg begin with reflections on recent tragedies, including a terrorist attack in New Orleans and the devastating wildfires in California. They discuss the significant movements in the bond market, the ongoing housing affordability crisis, and the implications of rising interest rates and inflation. The conversation also touches on the performance of international markets and the resilience of the American economy, highlighting the importance of innovation and risk-taking in driving economic growth.

                                    27 min
                                  • Argentina's Economic Transformation: A Convo With Santiago Solanet

                                    Greg and Doug welcome back Santiago Solanet to discuss the current economic landscape of Argentina following the election of Javier Milei, nicknamed the Chainsaw President. They explore the historical context of Argentina's financial struggles, the impact of Milei's presidency, and the potential for investment opportunities. Santiago provides insights into the shift from socialist policies to economic reform, the challenges ahead for Milei's administration, and how he’s potentially providing a playbook for the Trump administration. Santiago compares Argentina to the rest of Latin America and speaks on the local hope and optimism surrounding Argentina's future as it navigates its complex political and economic landscape.



                                    Key Takeaways

                                    • [00:17] - The impact of Javier Milei's presidency
                                    • [05:08] - Historical context of Argentina's economic struggles
                                    • [12:51] - The shift from socialism to economic reform
                                    • [17:00] - The upside of Argentine investment opportunities
                                    • [23:23] - Incredible oil production + the quest for fiscal surplus
                                    • [27:06] - Why an angry electorate chose a chainsaw president
                                    • [31:15] - Upcoming challenges and plans for Milei's administration
                                    • [32:47] - Are Trump/Musk following Milei’s playbook?
                                    • [37:10] - Comparing Argentina to the rest of Latin America



                                    • View Transcript




                                      Links

                                      • Understanding Argentinian Markets with Santiago Solanet
                                      • Argentina’s economy exits recession in milestone for Javier Milei
                                      • Argentina's Vaca Muerta could pump 1 million barrels per day of crude by 2030


                                      • Connect with our hosts

                                        • Doug Stokes
                                        • Greg Stokes
                                        • Stokes Family Office

                                        • Subscribe and stay in touch

                                          • Apple Podcasts
                                          • Spotify
                                          • Google Podcasts
                                          • lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com

                                          • Disclosure

                                            The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.


                                            Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk. Therefore, it should not be assumed that future performance of any specific investment or investment strategy (including the investments and/or investment strategies referenced in our blogs/podcasts) or any other investment and/or non-investment-related content or services will be profitable, equal any historical performance level(s), be suitable or appropriate for a reader/listener’s individual situation, or prove successful. Moreover, no portion of the blog/podcast content should be construed as a substitute for individual advice or services from the financial professional(s) of a reader/listener’s choosing, including Stokes Family, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the SEC, with which the blogger/podcasters are affiliated.

                                            49 min
                                          • Finding Value When the Market Feels Frothy

                                            After a brief chat about Elf on the Shelf and TV recommendations, we dive into the current state of the markets to find pockets of value when valuations can feel stretched. We’ll also discuss the concentration of returns in the S&P 500 and the continuing bullish sentiment among investors. With Elon Musk at the forefront, we highlight America's tech dominance, particularly in data centers and innovation, and share our excitement for the future of technology and investment opportunities.



                                            Key Takeaways

                                            • [00:17] - Elf on the Shelf + TV recs
                                            • [01:53] - Finding pockets of market value
                                            • [05:34] - The concentration of S&P 500 returns
                                            • [08:38] - The market effect of quantum computing
                                            • [11:03] - Bullish signals + market corrections
                                            • [15:48] - Elon’s wealth + tech initiatives 
                                            • [21:22] - Excitement for the future


                                            • View Transcript



                                              Links

                                              • Vanguard: Risk Asset valuations are stretched, but opportunities exist.
                                              • Nomura: Why the S&P is up past two weeks
                                              • Super bullish Bank of America Fund Manager survey
                                              • BofA: Just 31% of stocks in the S&P 500 are outperforming the index in 2024
                                              • Elon Musk is now Warren Buffet Richer than Jeff Bezos

                                              • Connect with our hosts

                                                • Doug Stokes
                                                • Greg Stokes
                                                • Stokes Family Office

                                                • Subscribe and stay in touch

                                                  • Apple Podcasts
                                                  • Spotify
                                                  • Google Podcasts
                                                  • lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com

                                                  • Disclosure

                                                    The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.

                                                    Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk. Therefore, it should not be assumed that future performance of any specific investment or investment strategy (including the investments and/or investment strategies referenced in our blogs/podcasts) or any other investment and/or non-investment-related content or services will be profitable, equal any historical performance level(s), be suitable or appropriate for a reader/listener’s individual situation, or prove successful. Moreover, no portion of the blog/podcast content should be construed as a substitute for individual advice or services from the financial professional(s) of a reader/listener’s choosing, including Stokes Family, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the SEC, with which the blogger/podcasters are affiliated.

                                                    26 min
                                                  • It’s Analyst Forecast Season

                                                    This week, we’ll begin our year-in-review as the analyst forecasts for 2025 start rolling in. We’ll balance those predictions by examining the volatility of the S&P 500 and the market’s historical performance. We’ll also continue our cryptocurrency conversation by considering it a speculative asset similar to gold while so much of it has no utility. We end with a historical look at markets in year 1 of presidential terms and how that data, coupled with the earnings variable, may predict a slight pullback.


                                                    Key Takeaways

                                                    • [00:17] - It’s analysts’ prediction season
                                                    • [02:56] - Earnings are the big variable in forecasting
                                                    • [10:48] - Treating Bitcoin as a speculative asset similar to gold
                                                    • [13:19] - Many new cryptocurrencies are scammy and lack utility
                                                    • [19:08] - Why history tells us there could be a pullback in 2025 


                                                    • View Transcript



                                                      Links

                                                      • Roche: The average gain in an up year for the stock market since 1928 is +21%. The average loss in a down year in that same timeframe was -13%.
                                                      • Ro: 22 eye-catching charts as we consider what's next for the stock market
                                                      • Factset Earnings Insight
                                                      • Hedgeye: Fartcoin's market cap is now greater than 38% of all American publicly-traded companies.
                                                      • Tulipmania: About the Dutch Tulip Bulb Market Bubble


                                                      • Connect with our hosts

                                                        • Doug Stokes
                                                        • Greg Stokes
                                                        • Stokes Family Office

                                                        • Subscribe and stay in touch

                                                          • Apple Podcasts
                                                          • Spotify
                                                          • Google Podcasts
                                                          • lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com

                                                          • Disclosure

                                                            The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.


                                                            Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk. Therefore, it should not be assumed that future performance of any specific investment or investment strategy (including the investments and/or investment strategies referenced in our blogs/podcasts) or any other investment and/or non-investment-related content or services will be profitable, equal any historical performance level(s), be suitable or appropriate for a reader/listener’s individual situation, or prove successful. Moreover, no portion of the blog/podcast content should be construed as a substitute for individual advice or services from the financial professional(s) of a reader/listener’s choosing, including Stokes Family, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the SEC, with which the blogger/podcasters are affiliated.

                                                            25 min
                                                          • The Growing Gap Between U.S. and International Economies

                                                            We’re bouncing around this week, starting with the recent surge in Bitcoin and market enthusiasm, although maybe not market-wide. We'll analyze valuations and dig into why the S&P 500's growth is largely driven by earnings and dividends. The conversation shifts to the comparison between US and international markets, highlighting the challenges faced by European economies and the growing wealth disparity between the US and Europe. We'll conclude with a historic market run and what history says that could mean for the future.



                                                            Key Takeaways

                                                            • [00:17] - Enthusiasm is evident, but it’s not market-wide
                                                            • [06:30] - Why this isn’t a bubble
                                                            • [09:16] - U.S. business environment allows our markets to outperform international
                                                            • [16:28] - Wealth disparity between the US and Europe is widening
                                                            • [21:15] - S&P 500 is poised for its second positive 20% year in a row


                                                            • View Transcript



                                                              Links

                                                              • Detrick: S&P 500 up 98% since the end of 2019, but many think we are in a bubble.
                                                              • Republicans and Democrats have starkly different inflation expectations
                                                              • Russell 2000 is up 10% in the last month France is up 9% in the last 24 years
                                                              • The S&P 500 being up >20% for two consecutive years has only happened four times in the past 150 years.


                                                              • Connect with our hosts

                                                                • Doug Stokes
                                                                • Greg Stokes
                                                                • Stokes Family Office

                                                                • Subscribe and stay in touch

                                                                  • Apple Podcasts
                                                                  • Spotify
                                                                  • Google Podcasts
                                                                  • lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com

                                                                  • Disclosure

                                                                    The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.


                                                                    Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk. Therefore, it should not be assumed that future performance of any specific investment or investment strategy (including the investments and/or investment strategies referenced in our blogs/podcasts) or any other investment and/or non-investment-related content or services will be profitable, equal any historical performance level(s), be suitable or appropriate for a reader/listener’s individual situation, or prove successful. Moreover, no portion of the blog/podcast content should be construed as a substitute for individual advice or services from the financial professional(s) of a reader/listener’s choosing, including Stokes Family, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the SEC, with which the blogger/podcasters are affiliated.

                                                                    25 min
                                                                  • The Growth of AI, Crypto, and Small-Caps

                                                                    Doug and Greg Stokes begin this week's discussion with NVIDIA's recent earnings report, the ongoing AI race, and the implications of new data centers. They explore the characteristics of market bubbles, particularly in the context of AI and cryptocurrency, and analyze the performance of small-cap stocks versus large-cap tech. The conversation also touches on interest rates, economic policies, tariffs, and international markets.


                                                                    Key Takeaways

                                                                    • [00:17] - NVIDIA Earnings + data center construction
                                                                    • [04:07] - Talking AI and bubbles
                                                                    • [10:30] - Crypto remains volatile
                                                                    • [16:49] - Small-caps and International Markets
                                                                    • [21:30] - Inflation, tariffs, and the market’s aftermath election reaction


                                                                    • View Transcript



                                                                      Links

                                                                      • Which asset has the best bubble potential?
                                                                      • AI Investments Are Booming, but Venture-Firm Profits Are at a Historic Low
                                                                      • Crypto Entrepreneur Bought a Duct-Tape Banana for $6.2 Million. He Plans to Eat It—and Also Send It to Space.
                                                                      • Detrick: Most might not realize that over the past year small caps have done better than the QQQ.
                                                                      • Roche: Could Trump be Deflationary?
                                                                      • Truflation
                                                                      • The Great Transformation: China’s Road from Revolution to Reform


                                                                      • Connect with our hosts

                                                                        • Doug Stokes
                                                                        • Greg Stokes
                                                                        • Stokes Family Office

                                                                        • Subscribe and stay in touch

                                                                          • Apple Podcasts
                                                                          • Spotify
                                                                          • Google Podcasts
                                                                          • lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com

                                                                          • Disclosure

                                                                            The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.


                                                                            Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk. Therefore, it should not be assumed that future performance of any specific investment or investment strategy (including the investments and/or investment strategies referenced in our blogs/podcasts) or any other investment and/or non-investment-related content or services will be profitable, equal any historical performance level(s), be suitable or appropriate for a reader/listener’s individual situation, or prove successful. Moreover, no portion of the blog/podcast content should be construed as a substitute for individual advice or services from the financial professional(s) of a reader/listener’s choosing, including Stokes Family, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the SEC, with which the blogger/podcasters are affiliated.

                                                                            30 min

                                                                          About Lagniappe

                                                                          From the publisher's feed

                                                                          Lagniappe is a weekly podcast from Stokes Family Office. Join Doug and Greg each week for an entertaining look at current news, personal finance, brotherly banter, and whatever else is on our minds!

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