Post for a somewhat more general audience than the modal LessWrong reader, but gets at my actual thoughts on the topic.

In 2018 OpenAI defeated the world champions of Dota 2, a major esports game. This was hot on the heels of DeepMind's AlphaGo performance against Lee Sedol in 2016, achieving superhuman Go performance way before anyone thought that might happen. AI benchmarks were being cleared at a pace which felt breathtaking at the time, papers were proudly published, and ML tools like Tensorflow (released in 2015) were coming online. To people already interested in AI, it was an exciting era. To everyone else, the world was unchanged.

Now Saturday Night Live sketches use sober discussions of AI risk as the backdrop for their actual jokes, there are hundreds of AI bills moving through the world's legislatures, and Eliezer Yudkowsky is featured in Time [...]

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Outline:

(01:44) LLMs are self limiting

(05:08) LLMs are decent at human values

(09:03) Playing human roles is pretty human

(10:45) And So

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First published:

Source:

Linkpost URL:
https://justismills.substack.com/p/llms-seem-relatively-safe

Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.