Summary: We propose measuring AI performance in terms of the length of tasks AI agents can complete. We show that this metric has been consistently exponentially increasing over the past 6 years, with a doubling time of around 7 months. Extrapolating this trend predicts that, in under a decade, we will see AI agents that can independently complete a large fraction of software tasks that currently take humans days or weeks.

Full paper | Github repo

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First published:

Source:

Linkpost URL:
https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-complete-long-tasks/

Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

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