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“List your AI X-Risk cruxes!” by Aryeh Englander
[I'm posting this as a very informal community request in lieu of a more detailed writeup, because if I wait to do this in a much more careful fashion then it probably won't happen at all. If someone else wants to do a more careful version that would be great!]
By crux I mean some uncertainty you have such that your estimate for the likelihood of existential risk from AI - your "p(doom)" if you like that term -might shift significantly if that uncertainty were resolved.
More precisely, let's define a crux as a proposition such that:
(a) your estimate for the likelihood of existential catastrophe due to AI would shift a non-trivial amount depending on whether that proposition was true or false;
(b) you think there's at least a non-trivial probability that the proposition is true; and
(c) you also think there's at least a non-trivial [...]
---
First published:
April 28th, 2024
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/wFmzoktuvf2WqhNNP/list-your-ai-x-risk-cruxes
---
Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
View all episodes
By LessWrong[I'm posting this as a very informal community request in lieu of a more detailed writeup, because if I wait to do this in a much more careful fashion then it probably won't happen at all. If someone else wants to do a more careful version that would be great!]
By crux I mean some uncertainty you have such that your estimate for the likelihood of existential risk from AI - your "p(doom)" if you like that term -might shift significantly if that uncertainty were resolved.
More precisely, let's define a crux as a proposition such that:
(a) your estimate for the likelihood of existential catastrophe due to AI would shift a non-trivial amount depending on whether that proposition was true or false;
(b) you think there's at least a non-trivial probability that the proposition is true; and
(c) you also think there's at least a non-trivial [...]
---
First published:
April 28th, 2024
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/wFmzoktuvf2WqhNNP/list-your-ai-x-risk-cruxes
---
Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
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