Mark Penn Polls

The New Center poll was part of a Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll conducted online within the United States among a representative sample of 1,859 registered voters between November 27-29 by The Harris Poll. Results were weighted for age within gender, region, race/ethnicity, marital status, household size, income, employment, education, political party, and political ideology where necessary to align them with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents’ propensity to be online. The sampling margin of error of this poll is plus or minus 2 percentage points. For more information visit: www.harvardharrispoll.com. American voters were profiled ahead of the 2020 election. Key take-away: America is a centrist country dominated by political parties out of step with the voters.

A new Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll, conducted among 1,859 registered voters between November 27-29, sheds light on the public's understand of the ongoing impeachment fight and takes stock of voters' real concerns as we enter into 2020.

First, Trump approval has been edging up for several months now, and the president was at 47 percent approval as of the end of November. At the same time, the impeachment testimonies have not moved the dial among voters despite high visibility and wall to wall media coverage. Voters say they are split on whether the public congressional testimonies presented any compelling evidence to impeach Trump (52% said “yes”; 48% said “no”).

The poll also shows no change in impeachment sentiment between October and November, with 43% of voters supporting impeaching and removing President Trump from office; 18% supporting formally censuring the president; and 39% believing no action should be taken.

Impeachment has furthermore settled into partisan fault lines with independents increasingly split on the issue: 70% of GOPers want no action to be taken; 72% of Democrats want the president to be impeached and removed from office; and Independents are split with 40% saying impeach and remove from office, 39% saying no action should be taken, and 20% in favor of censure.

Overall, voters are split on whether impeachment is a waste of time (53%) or an important process (47%), and fifty three percent of voters believe we should focus more on 2020 election than impeachment.

On the Democratic side, Joe Biden still leads the horserace with 29% support among Dems. Mike Bloomberg debuted at seven percent which has him tied for 4th place with Pete Buttigieg (8%). And if Hillary Clinton enters the race she would be tied for front runner with Joe Biden. Overall, the general election remains wide open, and Joe Biden has some explaining to do relative to questions about Hunter Biden, with 57% of voters now wanting the latter’s business dealings to be investigated.

Finally, Harvard CAPS/Harris wanted to profile American voters ahead of the 2020 election, a project they partnered with The New Center to conduct. Key take-away: America is a centrist country dominated by political parties out of step with the voters. For more detail we invite you to read Mark Penn's New Center colleague Bill Galston’s WSJ editorial on the poll.

As always, readers and listeners are invited to send questions and engage in a conversation on the findings. I’d also like to thank my collaborators, and the Harvard Center for American Political Studies (CAPS) and the Harris Poll for their continued work on this poll. The link to the full poll is here.

Follow my podcast on the poll on SoundCloud (full episode) or any of the following channels: @iHeartRadio, @ApplePodcasts, @Spotify, @Stitcher,@Google, @SoundCloud, @RadioPublic, @Tunein, @Castbox_fm, @Overcast, @Castro.

A new Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll, conducted among 1,859 registered voters between November 27-29, sheds light on the public's understand of the ongoing impeachment fight and takes stock of voters' real concerns as we enter into 2020.

First, Trump approval has been edging up for several months now, and the president was at 47 percent approval as of the end of November. At the same time, the impeachment testimonies have not moved the dial among voters despite high visibility and wall to wall media coverage. Voters say they are split on whether the public congressional testimonies presented any compelling evidence to impeach Trump (52% said “yes”; 48% said “no”).

The poll also shows no change in impeachment sentiment between October and November, with 43% of voters supporting impeaching and removing President Trump from office; 18% supporting formally censuring the president; and 39% believing no action should be taken.

Impeachment has furthermore settled into partisan fault lines with independents increasingly split on the issue: 70% of GOPers want no action to be taken; 72% of Democrats want the president to be impeached and removed from office; and Independents are split with 40% saying impeach and remove from office, 39% saying no action should be taken, and 20% in favor of censure.

Overall, voters are split on whether impeachment is a waste of time (53%) or an important process (47%), and fifty three percent of voters believe we should focus more on 2020 election than impeachment.

On the Democratic side, Joe Biden still leads the horserace with 29% support among Dems. Mike Bloomberg debuted at seven percent which has him tied for 4th place with Pete Buttigieg (8%). And if Hillary Clinton enters the race she would be tied for front runner with Joe Biden. Overall, the general election remains wide open, and Joe Biden has some explaining to do relative to questions about Hunter Biden, with 57% of voters now wanting the latter’s business dealings to be investigated.

Finally, Harvard CAPS/Harris wanted to profile American voters ahead of the 2020 election, a project they partnered with The New Center to conduct. Key take-away: America is a centrist country dominated by political parties out of step with the voters. For more detail we invite you to read Mark Penn's New Center colleague Bill Galston’s WSJ editorial on the poll.

As always, readers and listeners are invited to send questions and engage in a conversation on the findings. I’d also like to thank my collaborators, and the Harvard Center for American Political Studies (CAPS) and the Harris Poll for their continued work on this poll. The link to the full poll is here.

Follow my podcast on the poll on SoundCloud (full episode) or any of the following channels: @iHeartRadio, @ApplePodcasts, @Spotify, @Stitcher,@Google, @SoundCloud, @RadioPublic, @Tunein, @Castbox_fm, @Overcast, @Castro.

Trump approval has been edging up for several months now, and the president was at 47 percent approval as of the end of November. At the same time, the impeachment testimonies have not moved the dial among voters despite high visibility and wall to wall media coverage. Voters say they are split on whether the public congressional testimonies presented any compelling evidence to impeach Trump (52% said “yes”; 48% said “no”).

Our poll also shows no change in impeachment sentiment between October and November, with 43% of voters supporting impeaching and removing President Trump from office; 18% supporting formally censuring the president; and 39% believing no action should be taken.

Impeachment has furthermore settled into partisan fault lines with independents increasingly split on the issue: 70% of GOPers want no action to be taken; 72% of Democrats want the president to be impeached and removed from office; and Independents are split with 40% saying impeach and remove from office, 39% saying no action should be taken, and 20% in favor of censure.

Overall, voters are split on whether impeachment is a waste of time (53%) or an important process (47%), and fifty three percent of voters believe we should focus more on 2020 election than impeachment.

A new Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll, conducted among 1,859 registered voters between November 27-29, sheds light on the public's understand of the ongoing impeachment fight and takes stock of voters' real concerns as we enter into 2020. First, Trump approval has been edging up for several months now, and the president was at 47 percent approval as of the end of November. At the same time, the impeachment testimonies have not moved the dial among voters despite high visibility and wall to wall media coverage. Voters say they are split on whether the public congressional testimonies presented any compelling evidence to impeach Trump (52% said “yes”; 48% said “no”).

The poll also shows no change in impeachment sentiment between October and November, with 43% of voters supporting impeaching and removing President Trump from office; 18% supporting formally censuring the president; and 39% believing no action should be taken.

Impeachment has furthermore settled into partisan fault lines with independents increasingly split on the issue: 70% of GOPers want no action to be taken; 72% of Democrats want the president to be impeached and removed from office; and Independents are split with 40% saying impeach and remove from office, 39% saying no action should be taken, and 20% in favor of censure.

Overall, voters are split on whether impeachment is a waste of time (53%) or an important process (47%), and fifty three percent of voters believe we should focus more on 2020 election than impeachment.

On the Democratic side, Joe Biden still leads the horserace with 29% support among Dems. Mike Bloomberg debuted at seven percent which has him tied for 4th place with Pete Buttigieg (8%). And if Hillary Clinton enters the race she would be tied for front runner with Joe Biden. Overall, the general election remains wide open, and Joe Biden has some explaining to do relative to questions about Hunter Biden, with 57% of voters now wanting the latter’s business dealings to be investigated.

Finally, Harvard CAPS/Harris wanted to profile American voters ahead of the 2020 election, a project they partnered with The New Center to conduct. Key take-away: America is a centrist country dominated by political parties out of step with the voters. For more detail we invite you to read Mark Penn's New Center colleague Bill Galston’s WSJ editorial on the poll.

As always, readers and listeners are invited to send questions and engage in a conversation on the findings. I’d also like to thank my collaborators, and the Harvard Center for American Political Studies (CAPS) and the Harris Poll for their continued work on this poll. The link to the full poll is here.

Follow my podcast on the poll on SoundCloud (full episode) or any of the following channels: @iHeartRadio, @ApplePodcasts, @Spotify, @Stitcher,@Google, @SoundCloud, @RadioPublic, @Tunein, @Castbox_fm, @Overcast, @Castro.

Joe Biden is still on top of the Democratic horserace, with 33% of the vote among Democrats. He is followed by Sanders at 18% and Warren at 15%. However, there are three important data points to keep in mind: (1) 60% of voters say they might still change their mind; (2) aside from Biden, majorities of voters think the other leading Democratic contenders are too far to the left; and (3) 60% of voters say they want to vote for a centrist candidate rather than someone more to the right of the left. If Hillary Clinton, John Kerry, or Mike Bloomberg jump in the race Hillary would be effectively tied with Biden among Democrats -- Biden 19%, Hillary 18%. Bloomberg would start at 6%.

A Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll conducted among 1,819 Registered Voters between October 29-31, shows that a majority of voters (54% and up, among various questions) support the pull out of US troops from Syria. As always, I invite you to send me questions and engage in a conversation on the findings. I’d also like to thank my collaborators, and the Harvard Center for American Political Studies (CAPS) and the Harris Poll for their continued work on this poll. Follow my podcast on the poll on SoundCloud (full episode) or any of the following channels: @iHeartRadio, @ApplePodcasts, @Spotify, @Stitcher,@Google, @SoundCloud, @RadioPublic, @Tunein, @Castbox_fm, @Overcast, @Castro.

General impeachment sentiment on President Trump is at 45% impeach, 15% Censure by Congress, and 40% take no action. We then ran an in depth battery of question Ukraine, and found: 74% of voters say they are paying close attention to the Trump-Ukraine story. A slight majority thinks that asking the Ukrainian leader to investigate the Bidens fits the threshold for impeaching a president (54%). Voters are split on whether asking Ukraine to investigate the Bidens is tantamount to inviting a foreign power to interfere in US elections (48% “no” / 52% “yes”). Voters generally think that the impeachment investigation is fair (54%) and the Congressional inquiry is legitimate (57%), but they also strongly believe the impeachment proceeding should be public (81%) and that the president’s lawyers should be permitted to question witnesses (79%). Lastly, voters are not thrilled with Hunter Biden benefiting from his father’s office, but a majority (58%) attribute it to bad judgement and another 27% think his actions were illegal. Our survey gave reasons for and against impeachment, and after hearing the arguments on both sides impeachment sentiment drops by 4 points to 41% for Trump. The best reason in support of Trump is that voters see it as legitimate for the President to ask for corruption investigations. The best argument against Trump is that NSC and CIA officials were concerned about the communications.

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Mood of the Country - Trump, GOP, Democrats, Economy & More by Presidential Pollster Mark Penn