Mark Penn Polls

President Trump’s approval month over month remains stable at 46%. Despite all the happenings around Ukraine and impeachment, our data suggests that Trump is being buoyed by his approval on the economy and fighting terrorism. Trumps economic approval is 57% and his approval in terms of handling terrorism is up 5 points month over month and after the special forces raid that killed ISIS leader Al-Baghdadi.

Joe Biden is still on top of the Democratic horserace, with 33% of the vote among Democrats. He is followed by Sanders at 18% and Warren at 15%. However, there are three important data points to keep in mind: (1) 60% of voters say they might still change their mind; (2) aside from Biden, majorities of voters think the other leading Democratic contenders are too far to the left; and (3) 60% of voters say they want to vote for a centrist candidate rather than someone more to the right of the left. If Hillary Clinton, John Kerry, or Mike Bloomberg jump in the race Hillary would be effectively tied with Biden among Democrats -- Biden 19%, Hillary 18%. Bloomberg would start at 6%.

General impeachment sentiment on President Trump is at 45% impeach, 15% Censure by Congress, and 40% take no action.

We then ran an in depth battery of question Ukraine, and found:

74% of voters say they are paying close attention to the Trump-Ukraine story

A slight majority thinks that asking the Ukrainian leader to investigate the Bidens fits the threshold for impeaching a president (54%)

Voters are split on whether asking Ukraine to investigate the Bidens is tantamount to inviting a foreign power to interfere in US elections (48% “no” / 52% “yes”). Voters generally think that the impeachment investigation is fair (54%) and the Congressional inquiry is legitimate (57%), but they also strongly believe the impeachment proceeding should be public (81%) and that the president’s lawyers should be permitted to question witnesses (79%)

Lastly, voters are not thrilled with Hunter Biden benefiting from his father’s office, but a majority (58%) attribute it to bad judgement and another 27% think his actions were illegal

Our survey gave reasons for and against impeachment, and after hearing the arguments on both sides impeachment sentiment drops by 4 points to 41% for Trump. The best reason in support of Trump is that voters see it as legitimate for the President to ask for corruption investigations. The best argument against Trump is that NSC and CIA officials were concerned about the communications.

On other topics, a majority of voters (54% and up, among various questions) support the pull out of US troops from Syria. And voters slightly favor that social media companies should follow the first amendment 53% to 47%.

As always, I invite you to send me questions and engage in a conversation on the findings. I’d also like to thank my collaborators, and the Harvard Center for American Political Studies (CAPS) and the Harris Poll for their continued work on this poll. Follow my podcast on the poll on SoundCloud (full episode) or any of the following channels: @iHeartRadio, @ApplePodcasts, @Spotify, @Stitcher,@Google, @SoundCloud, @RadioPublic, @Tunein, @Castbox_fm, @Overcast, @Castro. The link to the full poll is here.

Each month, Presidential Pollster Mark Penn shares findings from the latest Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll, which is released by the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard and The Harris Poll. From October 29-31, we interviewed 1,810 registered voters to compile data for the latest poll. To sign up for regular updates and to learn more about poll results and coverage, visit harvardharrispoll.com and follow @Mark_Penn_Polls on Twitter.

Now, let's take a look at people's perceptions of bias in the media. Well, who do you trust more? President Trump or the media? Well, that's a tough question, because both the media and the President have very low levels of trust. So, I think we're going to have to maybe throw out some interesting questions and rate them separately from now on. But only 44% trust President Trump over the media, and 56% trust the media more than President Trump. A clear win, if you compare the two for the media. How do you think the media has treated Trump so far? 57% say fairly, and 44% say unfairly. Again, a win for the media over President Trump. They look at the strident language, I think, coming from the President about the media, and while he's got substantial numbers of people, around 44%, siding with him, a majority on the side of the media.

And I think a big reason why is exactly this question, do you think President Trump is helping or hurting his reelection case with his tweets? 74% hurting, 26% helping. Do you think President Trump should continue to tweet or stop tweeting? 69% stop, 31% continue. We started to ask this about two months ago, and it's one of the few issues in which Democrats and Republicans and voters across the board agree. So, the President may be getting a tremendous value out of communicating through Twitter and his tweets, but in many respects, the way that they're positioned and the way they come off has backfired against him, and is seen as a critical element of why Americans are concerned about the way he runs the Presidency and what his character and values are.

Now, let's break this apart into some interesting agree, disagree statements. There's a lot of fake news on social media. Well, virtually everyone agrees with that. 84%. Sometimes it's hard to know what news to believe online. That's over 80. Sometimes it's hard to know what news to believe in the mainstream media. That's 74. There's a lot of fake news in the mainstream media. That is 67. So, when you break out the mainstream media, don't contrast it with President Trump. The mainstream media's rating are quite low here. Many journalists intentionally post fake news or false information on social media. 59%. Now, once you get to many of my friends post fake news, that drops to 16% strongly, and a total of 50%, still a high number, giving the journalists benefit of the doubt accidentally is a lower number, and talking about the friends intentionally posting fake news is a lower number. Truth is there's overall concern about the news that's in social media, and there's concern that even the information coming from the mainstream media is often fake or exaggerated based on what we see in these questions.

Now let's take a look at the immigration polling. 72% continue to support comprehensive immigration reform. Right? They favor a deal which brings together all of these elements of stronger security, eliminating the lottery, giving green cards or work permits to those who are here under DACA. And so we see once again that a majority of the American public supports an across the board compromise on the immigration issues, as month after month nothing moves through Congress.

People are divided between is it more important to stick with the relative or family-based system we have versus a more merit based, but they do agree that there is a growing humanitarian and security crisis at the border with Mexico. 56%, it's rather puzzling that the Senate including Republican Senators keep voting to take back the emergency declaration, when most of the people in the United States have come to see that there is in fact an emergency at the border in their view.

They still considerably underestimate the number of people crossing the border illegally, and about 53% think barriers would be ineffective, 48% think that barriers would be effective. But 67% believe that our current security is inadequate, and 77% reject the idea of open borders. So, when you look at it, Americans have a very sophisticated view of immigration. They know how they want it to work. They don't want open borders. They want compassion for the people that are here. They want some combination of barriers and other techniques to really create an effective border, and to diminish the problem.

But if I ask do you support or oppose building a combination of physical and electronic barriers across the U.S. Mexico border, 60% support that. And do you think increased illegal immigration reduces wages to workers, increases them, or has no effect? 42% no effect, 46% reduces, and 12% say they increase it. So what you've got is 46% who think that it is bringing down wages. And they are the counterforce here that makes this such a complex and difficult issue. When asked about crime, 50% believe that illegal immigration increases crime, 41% no effect, 9% reduces it.

When it comes to the rules on asylum seekers, 47% think that those rules should be general, allowing people who are fleeing violence to claim asylum here in the United States, while 53% believe that only those fleeing religious or political violence specifically aimed at them should be able to declare asylum. And 45%, not a full majority, but 45% think that asylum rules should be tightened, 25% loosened, and 31% kept as is. As you can see what a difficult issue it is, and how close the numbers are on immigration on issue after issue. But should people with questionable asylum claims be let into the United States for years until their case comes up? Or should they immediately be turned back to Mexico for staging? Here is where the President has an advantage on this issue. 61% say should be immediately turned back, 39% say should be let into the United States.

So they prefer compassion. They are divided on what the exact asylum rules should be, but they do think that having people come in, claim a false asylum, if that's what they're doing, and be held here in the United States for years doesn't make a lot of sense compared to holding them in Mexico or other countries.

Let's take a deeper dive into some of the economic numbers, and see what Americans think the future is going to hold. Six months from now, do you think that we're going to be in a recession? 42% think that. 35% think that it's going to be the same as now, and 24% think it's going to be improving. So depending upon how you look at it, there's 59% that think it's going to be as good as it is now if not better, and 42% who are more pessimistic about the outcome of the economy.

If we ask them to rate the strength of the economy today, on a zero to 10 scale, almost no one says zero, one, two, or three. Pretty low numbers. Not that many people say 10, only 5% say 10. And if you look at it, most people are in the five, six, seven, eight range, which means they think the economy is good to very good. How would you rate business conditions today? Very good 14, good 32, normal 37, bad 15, very bad only two. So only 17% think business conditions are bad or very bad, which is a pretty good number. Remember the American public doesn't ever go over the top about the economy, but these ratings were all consistent with the view of the economy as in very good shape.

Would you say jobs in the United States today are plentiful? 47%, not so plentiful 39, hard to get 14. That's a pretty great number on plentiful. I don't think I've ever seen Americans think of jobs as plentiful on that large a scale. And then in general, we asked them are you concerned or not concerned that there'll be an economic recession in the next six months? 55% have some concern. 46% have no concern. Just another way of asking that question, there's somewhere between 42% and this number of 55%, of people who are concerned, have heard the recession message, and are thinking wow, will that occur? And we haven't seen any actions in the consumer marketplace so far that indicate that people are acting this way, but we're going to keep a very close watch.

So would you say that business conditions in the U.S. in six months will be better, worse, or the same? The same 41, better 22, worse 37. Would you say there will be more, fewer, or about the same number of jobs in six months? Again, very similar pie. Same 38, fewer 36, more 26. That's about consistently around 36%, that 37%, that are showing a very high level of pessimism, and the rest being relatively optimistic. Finally, do you expect your income to increase, decrease, or remain the same in the next six months? 56% remain the same, 27% increase, 17% decrease. Now, this is an interesting question, because it shows that people are more confident about their own incomes in the next six months than they are about the rest of the economy. And I've always found that personal confidence is really the most important driver of attitudes towards the economy, and how people really act in their own lives as opposed to what they think the macro environment it, which tends to be driven much more by the stock market, news events, and what they hear in their community.

Who do they blame for the recent volatility in the stock markets and fears of a new economic recession? U.S., China trade tensions. They are very surprisingly well-informed about that. Trump's announcements are second. Troubles from other economies are third. Do you approve or disapprove of Trump's criticism of the federal reserve? 55% disapprove. But people think that the federal reserve should not just focus on monetary policy, but on fostering growth. And in the mix of things with the U.S. trade negotiations going on, with President Trump's pressure on the fed, President Trump owns the economy. And when you ask who would you blame if the U.S. economy enters a recession next year? 54% Trump, 35% the fed, only 11% other. He gets possibly not all of the benefit of the good economy, but he certainly will get the downside of a bad one.

Well, given the attack on Saudi Arabian oil facilities, we did some polling on Iran this month. First, we really start out do you consider each of the following an ally, an enemy, or neutral towards the United States? We polled on Iran, Russia, China, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, NATO, the European Union. The European Union, 58% say is an ally, not an overwhelming number. Not 90%. NATO, 51%. So clearly there are a lot of people who believe that our quote allies are maybe not allies, but more neutral in dealing with us. Turkey seen more as neutral than an ally. Saudi Arabia seen a little bit, 24% as an ally, 41% as an enemy. China, 13% ally, 51% enemy. Russia, 10, 63. But Iran has the top spot as an enemy or perceived enemy of the United States. 6% ... I don't know who the 6% would be, see it as an ally. 76% see it as an enemy. Do you think Iran is a peaceful force in the Mid East? No. 81% say that it contributes to conflict and instability. 69% say the government in Iran does not have the support of its people. 83% say Iran is run by a group of religious leaders and is not a working democracy.

Nevertheless, do you approve or disapprove of the government handling of Iran? 53 disapprove, 47 approve. Do you think President Trump is too tough? Too tough is 22%, too lenient 40%, just right 38%. So if anything, more people say that Trump could be a little tougher against the Iranians. They support tougher action, but they're measured in their response. And it's really important to understand how measured. 72% support additional sanctions, right, and 58% support sending a moderate number of troops and air and missile defenses to Saudi Arabia. So they're into more sanctions, more missiles, more defenses.

Do they think that we're going to get into a war? 29% think it's low, 34% think it's high, 64% would not want to see another U.S. led military engagement in the Mid East. And 71% think that the United States should continue to negotiate diplomatically. And there was more news coming out every day about potential meetings with the Iranians, and potential negotiations, that only 29% would like to see a military strike. And they would oppose it. I mean, what they're really saying is if they continue to attack Saudis or Saudi installations, that the United States should not be the actor responding. It would be Saudi Arabia. And would you support or oppose the U.S. government launching a military strike on Iran if Iran attacks U.S. military assets, then it all changes. This question is a strong warning to Iran, which is don't go after U.S. assets, because then it flips around. 73% would then support a retaliatory strike. And then about half the country would support an attack on Iran if they announced they had nuclear weapons.

So you see that Iran is viewed as the most important, most implacable enemy against the United States, but that the public wants a very nuanced, moderated view, because they do not want to have a rush to war given what has happened in the past.

Let's turn to the 2020 primary. I think that's almost taken a backseat to all of the other news that's going on, but there's no question in our poll, just like the other polls other there, Elizabeth Warren has become the one to watch. Joe Biden continues to hang onto his lead at 28%, down from the low 30s over time here. He has very strong vote among senior Democrats, and among African American Democrats, but Elizabeth Warren has been broadening her constituency. She really does very well with well-educated progressives. She is almost the elite candidate, but she's growing and she's trying to broaden her base. And she's trying to eat into the more youthful base that Bernie Sanders has had since Bernie Sanders was the first to really introduce the idea of free college out there on the stump the last time he ran.

Kamala Harris at 6%, Mayor Pete at 3%, no one else really getting above 3%. So this race really has telescoped to three, four, maybe five candidates. I don't see Yang or O'Rourke really breaking out of their base. There's a lot of organized youth support, I think, for Mayor Pete. Kamala Harris will have some good opportunities in California, and the strength of her organization will be tested. I think she still has to come back from her debate performances that have set her back from the initial attack on Joe Biden. Bernie Sanders, again a little weaker this time out than people thought. Warren, the one who's on the move. And Biden, despite everyone throwing everything at him, has so far been able to hold onto his lead.

61%, however, are underwhelmed with the slate of candidates, and it's still technically possible for a Bloomberg or Hilary Clinton to jump back in here over the next couple of weeks. Hilary Clinton's more active on stump, and Bloomberg certainly had considered running before, and he might well consider it again. That's the thing about Democratic primaries, just when you think you know how they're going to come out, events can overtake what your predictions are and shake the whole race up. In this case though, no one is getting close to 50%. You have to watch closely Biden, and whether or not he continues to erode, and whether Warren can break out from the 17% she's now garnered.

Biden is definitely seen in the mid 30s, 34% as the candidate who has the best chance of winning against Donald Trump. That sinks to 12% for Sanders. 11% for Warren. No one else gets a significant vote on that. I don't know. It's always an interesting question. Whoever gets the nomination, by definition, has the best chance of beating President Trump. And we've seen in the past some really ... This question has been off. A lot of people thought McCain and Romney were both put in very strong races against President Obama, and it really didn't turn out to be the case. Other candidates might have been stronger. No one thought, really, Donald Trump was a strong enough candidate to defeat Hilary Clinton.

Right now, Donald Trump continues to underperform in terms of having a solid base for reelection. He is at 38% definitely or probably vote for Trump. For someone, at this point, coming in an incumbent with such a strong economy, that is a troublesome performance for Trump. It shows that he's got some significant vulnerabilities. The percentage that will probably or definitely vote for a Democrat, though, is at 44. So, still not close a majority, but it means that Trump would have to take most of the Independent voters, most of the undecided to catch up there, which means that this is mostly about Donald Trump versus Donald Trump at this point.

As the Ukraine situation was developing, we managed to get here some of the earliest data, just before the full release of all the materials and of the whistleblower complaint. We were able to capture what the American public was thinking. First, we asked them have you heard anything involving issues related to the investments of Joe Biden's son? About half had. We asked them, in contrast, have they heard about President Trump and Guilliani wanting the Ukraine to investigate Joe Biden and his son over these investments? 58% had. So actually, pretty good recognition that Joe Biden's son and Joe Biden might have an issue in here, which is what the President Trump has been pushing. Larger recognition of what President Trump and Guilliani have been doing to push Ukraine on the subject.

Do you think it was appropriate or inappropriate for President Trump to raise questions about investigating Joe Biden with the President of the Ukraine? No. Inappropriate, 58% went that way. They don't even think Rudy Guilliani as the President's lawyer should be raising these questions. 56% say that it was inappropriate. Then we asked was it right for someone in the intelligence community, right, to leak the details and file this kind of report as they were leaving government? 53% said they thought that was inappropriate. And when asked whether or not they thought the former intelligence official was trying to expose a problem of playing politics to hurt Trump, 50% thought that they were trying to play politics to hurt Trump. 50% expose the real problem. So there's a lot of cynicism and doubt towards everybody here. The President, Guilliani, concern about the Biden issue, concern about the so-called whistleblower.

Do you think that the Trump administration should send Congress the full complaint and the text of his call with the President of the Ukraine or hold it back on the grounds they need to remain private? Here, the President made the decision to get all the material out, and 65% of the public said that's exactly what they wanted to see happen, and it did. And then we asked two slightly different questions. Do you think that just asking the President of the Ukraine for help in investigating the actions of Joe Biden and his son, if that occurred, would be an impeachable offense or not impeachable? 55% said not impeachable. 45% impeachable. We generally have seen people wanting to impeach President Trump at around 40% all throughout the Mueller investigation. So 45 represents a slightly higher number, but 55% is also a clear rejection, even if that's the fact.

Now, changing the phrasing to do you think that pressuring the President, instead of asking, of the Ukraine for help, just that difference in investigating the actions of Biden moves to 50-50, and that doesn't mean overwhelming support or bipartisan support for impeachment, but it means significant support for impeachment. So this whole issue of whether or not it was asking and raising the topic or pressuring and holding up is an important one and also one that one side the Democrats will want to push to pressuring, and the other side, the President, will want to push to asking. And people will judge for themselves, but it's still not an overwhelming number or consensus for removal from office. And these numbers will be watched as the story unfolds.

Now, on the other hand, the story that's been pushed here, do you think that in asking the President of the Ukraine to investigate Joe Biden, Trump was trying to expose a real problem, 47, play politics, 53. Again, not an overwhelming answer on either side.

It may seem like a long time ago, but it was just about a week or two ago, that Justice Brett Kavanaugh faced a considerable storm over some new allegations during his early college years at a party. Do you support or oppose Brett Kavanaugh's confirmation to serve on the U.S. Supreme Court? Split right down the middle. Did you? I think that question asks. Did you in the past support? It was split down the middle. 52 said they opposed it. 48% oppose ... Have you heard anything about these new allegations? 63% said they heard it. Do you think these allegations are true? What you had is 30, 45% saying they're true or probably true, 29% probably not true, and 26% saying unsure.

So you saw the news break here a little bit against the Justice, more people believing it's true, but then when you ask them are you aware or not aware that Kavanaugh's alleged victim said to the reporters ... And friends of hers, actually is what it was, that she does not have any recollection of it. 51% were not aware that the alleged victim had said to her friends that she was unaware of or could not recall any such incident. So, a lot of the information on this would be less than fully informed, and there was a brouhaha over the omission of that fact in the original New York Times story.

So, then when you say do you think that the alleged victim saying she does not have any recollection of sexual harassment disqualifies this allegation? The numbers completely flip around. 56% say it disqualifies it. 44% say it does not disqualify it. Do you think the New York Times was right or wrong not to report the alleged victim says she doesn't have any recollection of sexual harassment when it broke in the news of a new allegation? 26% say that the New York Times was right, 46% say the New York Times was wrong, 28% were unsure. So, pretty significant fact. That single fact turns around opinion almost 180%. So it's important. Do you think this is an isolated incident or is it selected and biased reporting on the rise? Selective and biased reporting on the rise, 62%, isolated incident, 38.

Which party is using today more unfair and negative political tactics, Democrats or Republicans? No winner or loser here. 52 Republicans, 48 Democrats. So, basically remember people don't like either party going into this, but the media is also under severe pressure here. And you look at this as a microcosm, story has tremendous pickup, tremendous visibility, and the single most important fact that might disqualify it turns out to be known by far fewer people, and once it is introduced, dramatically changes opinion.

So, what's happening with the job approval of President Trump, given all of the chaos and issues and the partisan fights that we're seeing over impeachment? Well, this poll was taken just before the formal inquiry really was announced, but during the buildup and already information out about the whistleblower. So given all that, would we be expected a significant change in President Trump's job approval? We might have, but that's not what we saw. What we've seen over the last couple of months, May, June, July, August, September, is a creeping back up of President Trump's approval, this month at 46% approve, 54% disapprove. I looked at a number of other polls out there, saw this similar trend that he was, until hit with a full-scale impeachment and the imbroglio over the whistleblower complaint, he was trending up. We'll see what happened next month, and whether or not he in fact drops to the bottom of the range, which we've seen before after incidents like this breakout.

Specifically, let's take a look at some of his job approval on some of the most important areas of the Presidency. His highest approval is for stimulating jobs 55%, the economy 54%, fighting terrorism 52%, immigration 47, approval on foreign affairs 43, and administering the government 44. If you look at the trend data, he's actually doing a little bit better on administering the government, stayed about the same range on foreign affairs, stayed about the same range on immigration, fighting terrorism, a little off highs, which were as strong as 56%, and stimulating jobs, also down from the high of 62 to 55%. So, still a significant majority approving of the job that he's doing on the economy, but off the highs that we had when 3.2% growth was announced.

Right track, wrong track of the country, 37% see the country as the right track, 55% wrong track. No real change in this question, been stable for the last three or four months. Right track, wrong track on the economy, 44% right track, 44% wrong track. We have seen this fluctuate significantly. This is, again, towards the lower end of the range. Right track was as high as 51% last March and April, when those great growth figures came out, been trending down each month. Came up just slightly in the last month. So, they still approve of the job being done on the economy, but with all of the talk about recession, some people became less certain as they were several months ago about the success and strength of this economy.

You see the same thing in the question, how strong do you think the U.S. economy is today? The percentage that sees it strong, 66% is, again, same as last month. 34% see it as weak. Again, fairly stable but down from the high of 74%. So you've really seen ... Started out, the administration, it was 61%, went as high as the mid 70s, back to the high 60s. So a lot of the economic enthusiasm has come a little bit off of the edge, although anything over 50% has got to be more helpful to someone who's sitting there with a job approval below 50%.

Would you say your own personal financial situation is improving, which was 36% getting worse, 36% just as well off. Oh sorry, getting worse 25%, and just as well off 36%, and no opinion around 5%. Again, not a lot of change here. Trending down from the highs, but still about in the same range that it has been. The big jump up in improving happened really in the Christmas season of 2017, and has stayed up pretty much there with something over a third really seeing their economics continuing to improve, and really only about 25% seeing their economics get worse. And again, that's up from 21% a few months ago.

Now interestingly, we have seen, for a number of months, that the approval of the Republican Party was slightly lower than the approval for the Democratic Party, but the Democratic Party had an edge. And when you look at this month's polling, it's a little bit different. Let's look at the Republican Party ...

Each month, presidential pollster Mark Penn shares an overview of the latest Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll. This survey was conducted online within the United States from September 22-24, 2019 among 2,009 registered voters. Sign up at https://harvardharrispoll.com/ to have this and future survey reports delivered directly to your inbox.

The Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll is a monthly poll released by Harvard’s Center for American Political Studies and Harris Insights and Analytics. The results reflect a nationally representative sample. Results were weighted for age within gender, region, race/ethnicity, marital status, household size, income, employment, and education where necessary to align them with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents’ propensity to be online.

Stephen D. Ansolabehere, Professor of Government & Director, Center for American Political Studies, Harvard University, Mark J. Penn, Visiting Lecturer, Harvard University & Managing Partner, The Stagwell Group and Dritan Nesho, Fellow, Harvard Institute for Quantitative Social Science & CEO of HarrisX, are Co-Directors of the Poll with assistance from their students and faculty from the Harvard University community.

Welcome to the September Harvard CAPS Harris Poll Podcast. This week, I'd like to welcome Apple, Spotify, Google, and others who are beginning to pick up the podcast and distribute it to more and more listeners. If you've got any feedback or want to follow any developments, go to @Mark_Penn_Polls for updates. And with that, let's launch in to this month's poll that was fielded September 22nd to September 24th 2019, with 2009 registered voters, making this an important and timely poll given everything that's going on today.

So, what's happening with the job approval of President Trump, given all of the chaos and issues and the partisan fights that we're seeing over impeachment? Well, this poll was taken just before the formal inquiry really was announced, but during the buildup and already information out about the whistleblower. So given all that, would we be expected a significant change in President Trump's job approval? We might have, but that's not what we saw. What we've seen over the last couple of months, May, June, July, August, September, is a creeping back up of President Trump's approval, this month at 46% approve, 54% disapprove. I looked at a number of other polls out there, saw this similar trend that he was, until hit with a full-scale impeachment and the imbroglio over the whistleblower complaint, he was trending up. We'll see what happened next month, and whether or not he in fact drops to the bottom of the range, which we've seen before after incidents like this breakout.

Specifically, let's take a look at some of his job approval on some of the most important areas of the Presidency. His highest approval is for stimulating jobs 55%, the economy 54%, fighting terrorism 52%, immigration 47, approval on foreign affairs 43, and administering the government 44. If you look at the trend data, he's actually doing a little bit better on administering the government, stayed about the same range on foreign affairs, stayed about the same range on immigration, fighting terrorism, a little off highs, which were as strong as 56%, and stimulating jobs, also down from the high of 62 to 55%. So, still a significant majority approving of the job that he's doing on the economy, but off the highs that we had when 3.2% growth was announced.