Knowledge at Wharton

Mexico’s Split Vote: What Will It Mean for Sustainable Economic Growth?


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For the 41 million Mexican voters who went to the polls on July 2 the major decision was whether they were going to continue to follow the same free-market model with limited spending and greater foreign investment that the country has had for the past six years or opt for change. Ultimately in one of the most expensive and contentious elections in the history of the country Mexicans chose the continuity represented by Felipe Calderón -- by a mere margin of 236 000 votes. Now that the election is over tensions are running high and the defeated candidate leftist Andrés Manuel López Obrador has rejected the results announcing that he will appeal the election in the courts. Scholars and other analysts believe that Calderón has no other course but to sit down and negotiate with the opposition so that the country can move forward on the most urgent reforms that it needs. In the process Calderón also has to try to convince the half of the population that did not vote for him that he can redistribute wealth more effectively create jobs and foster stable economic development.

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