Napkin Math

Napkin Math

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Napkin Math episodes

  • How Yasser Bootstrapped Chatbase to $10M ARR in 3 Years

    Yasir, CEO and solo founder of Chatbase, joins Saba and Charlie on the Napkin Math podcast to break down how he bootstrapped an AI customer support platform from a PDF chatbot side project to $10M ARR in just 3 years — starting before ChatGPT even launched. He shares the real story behind going viral, hitting $1M ARR in 4 months, the chaos of early growth, why he stayed bootstrapped, and how he thinks about building durable AI "harnesses" in a world where models improve every few months.

    Timestamps:
    01:38 - Origin story — building before ChatGPT existed
    14:04 - 0 to $1M ARR in 4 months
    22:13 - Product evolution — PDF chatbot to B2B AI agent
    31:05 - Why brand makes every channel easier
    35:44 - What makes a great AI harness vs a mediocre one
    43:48 - Moats in the AI era
    52:43 - Bootstrapped vs raising — Yasir's decision
    56:15 - Path to AGI through harness improvements
    59:12 - Advice for new founders: operate like an agency

    1 hr 2 min
  • How Ben Pasternak took Sabba's App and made millions

    A founder's stolen app, AI image gold rushes, and why London might just be the next Silicon Valley — all on the back of a napkin.

    Timestamps:
    00:00 - Intro
    00:41 - The stolen app story
    08:54 - Lessons from the App Store
    11:36 - Vibe shuffles & business opportunities
    20:00 - Vibe coding education
    24:36 - ChatGPT image model
    28:31 - AI designer niches
    37:36 - Cursor's $60B acquisition
    40:57 - London Maxing movement

    51 min
  • $1 Million Wellness Apps Hiding in Plain Sight

    Saba and Charlie break down the $6.8 trillion wellness industry — period tracking, peptides, air quality, and sleep tech — then pivot to how the best founders (Dario Amodei, Brian Armstrong, Reed Hastings, Elon Musk) spotted emerging markets before anyone else. They close with a hot take on Anthropic's rumoured vibe coding platform and what it means for Lovable and Replit.

    Timestamps:
    00:00 - Intro
    01:06 - Wellness sector breakdown — the $6.8T opportunity
    04:01 - Period tracking, peptides, air quality & sleep apps
    25:30 - Building on Rising Tides — why bet on fast-growing markets
    27:20 - Founders who got in early: Dario, Brian Armstrong, Reed Hastings, Elon
    36:55 - AI agents, humanoid robots & the infrastructure plays
    44:11 - Anthropic's vibe coding platform & impact on Lovable/Replit
    49:00 - Anthropic's brand strategy

    52 min
  • Lego's Near-Death & Anthropic's Insane Growth: Lessons in Focus, Culture & Strategy

    How Lego nearly went bankrupt by losing sight of its core product  and what it teaches us about culture, focus, and CEO decisions. Plus, a breakdown of Anthropic's jaw-dropping $30B run rate and what's fuelling it.

    Timestamps:

    00:00 - Intro
    02:04 - Lego deep dive - origin, near-bankruptcy & recovery lessons
    19:15 - The "wrong CEO" trap & staying focused as you scale
    34:49 - Anthropic culture - Dario's 40–50% time investment
    37:22 - Anthropic's growth: $3B → $9B → $30B in one year
    41:17 - Why the "focus on coding" strategy is winning
    49:36 - OpenAI acquires TBPN - what's the real play?

    55 min
  • Lego vs. S&P 500, The Claude Code Leak & Why Google Acquiring a Company Is the Best Signal to Build

    Sabba and Charlie are back with a packed episode spanning alternative asset classes, the growing wave of security vulnerabilities in vibe-coded software, and a deep dive into what it really means for Anthropic to be "winning enterprise." They also break down the accidental Claude Code source map leak, debate whether angel investing is just an expensive hobby, and uncover a surprisingly massive opportunity hiding in the hay fever market.

    Timestamps:

    00:00 - Intro
    00:39 - Alternative Investing: Lego, collectibles & vintage tech vs. S&P 500
    17:10 - Cybersecurity: npm supply chain attacks & vibe coding security risks
    31:10 - The Claude Code source map leak
    37:58 - Anthropic vs. OpenAI: What "winning enterprise" really means
    40:19 - Ideas vs. Execution & the reality of angel investing
    49:43 - The hay fever market & the Breezometer opportunity

    1 hr 1 min
  • $1M Boomer App Ideas, Why OpenAI Killed Sora & How to Hire Insanely Talented People

    This week Charlie and Saba dig into $1M app ideas hiding in boomer hobbies, why OpenAI killed Sora and what it says about focus, and how to hire the most talented people. Saba's joining remotely from Sicily 🇮🇹, commitment to the pod is real.

    Timestamps:

    00:00 - Intro
    01:02 - $1M Boomer App Ideas
    18:48 - OpenAI Shuts Down Sora
    24:39 - The Importance of Focus
    34:25 - How to Hire Talented People
    45:38 - Open Floor Meetup Recap
    52:11 - Moats in an AI World

    53 min
  • How to Build AI Products in 2026, The Most Underrated Marketing Channel & The Big Lie About Competition

    Sabba and Charlie cover how to build AI products in 2026 with Sabba's MAGIC Framework, why Threads might be the most underrated marketing channel, the big lie about competition, and how AI is giving content creators new ways to extend their work.

    Timestamps:

    00:52 - First hate mail, we're famous now
    02:01 - Why Sabba tore up the entire Q2 roadmap
    06:32 - The MAGIC Framework, building AI products in 2026
    25:47 - Creativity Maxing, the Channel Surfer viral story
    28:28 - Threads is bigger than X (and massively underrated)
    32:52 - The Big Lie About Competition
    40:28 - AI & Content Creators, giving your IP away to grow

    47 min
  • How to Get Startup Ideas in 2026, OpenClaw Business Opportunities, Londonmaxxing, and more

    Saba and Charlie introduce the BROTH framework for finding validated startup ideas, dive into the Open Claw (AI agents) hype, break down Bending Spoons' private equity playbook, and celebrate the London Maxing movement, plus debate whether Charlie invented vibe coding.

    Timecodes:

    00:00 - Intro
    00:38 - The BROTH Framework, how to find pre-validated startup ideas
    25:06 - Competitive positioning strategies (more for more, less for less, etc.)
    32:15 - Story: founder who sold their company and is now looking for a job
    34:59 - Open Claw meetup, is AI agents a new product category?
    42:17 - Bending Spoons acquires Eventbrite, breakdown of their PE playbook
    47:18 - Meetup's dark patterns (and live app investigation)
    55:50 - Podcast milestone + like & subscribe
    57:13 - London Maxing movement & the UK AI fund
    59:14 - Did Charlie invent vibe coding?
    65:45 - Should they buy lawyers.ai? Live negotiation
    66:51 - Sign-off

    1 hr 8 min
  • Cal AI’s Acquisition, Sabba’s 2 SaaS Growth Hacks for 2026, Intercom’s AI Pivot

    Saba and Charlie do napkin math on the Cal AI acquisition by MyFitnessPal, share two must-do growth strategies for 2026 (API-first and Social SEO), and break down how Intercom bet the whole company on AI and won.

    Timecodes:
    00:00 – Intro

    00:33 – Cal AI Acquisition Breakdown

    19:20 – Growth Strategy #1: Go API-First

    29:33 – Growth Strategy #2: Social SEO

    36:46 – How Intercom Saved Itself with AI

    44:27 – The Future of Outcome-Based Pricing

    49:28 – Wrap up


    50 min
  • He Built a $1M/Month SaaS After an $8M Exit | Tibo Maker

    From an $8M exit to building it all again, Tibo is one of the most unique SaaS builders we’ve met. In this episode, we unpack his regrets after selling, the exact playbook behind his $1M/month portfolio, how he stays viral on X, and what building in the AI era really looks like, all while balancing life as a dad. 

    00:00 Intro & the $8M exit reality
    02:07 $1M/month portfolio breakdown
    06:15 Building in public & authenticity in the AI age
    16:32 Running 5 companies at once 
    23:03 Finding product market fit & growth tactics
    29:39 How Tibo ships so fast (stack & vibe coding)
    39:13 Hacking the X algorithm
    45:41 The future of AI video
    54:22 Does your company have an AI-native product?
    60:30 What do you do with $1M/month?

    1 hr 3 min

About Napkin Math

From the publisher's feed

Join Sabba Keynejad (co-founder of VEED.io) and Charlie Ward (founder of Ramen Club, Ramen Space & Cosy) as they dive deep into the world of startups, AI, and the latest tech trends. These two legends of the London indie scene bring their no-nonsense, real-world insights to help founders, builders, and indie hackers navigate the highs and lows of entrepreneurship. Expect candid conversations, actionable takeaways, and the occasional hot take on where the future of business is headed.