Old Bull

Video version at electionwhisperer.com. 

Rachel Bitecofer welcomes Zerlina Maxwell, author of "The End of White Politics" for a discussion on 2020 messaging, identity politics, and the right way to pick a running mate. 

Subscribe to the show and submit a question of your own at ElectionWhisperer.com. 

For the podcast version, check out oldbull.tv/pod. 

All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice.

Kathy Peach is the head of the Centre for Collective Intelligence Design at Nesta. 

She knows the secret to making prediction markets smarter. It's really simple and really elusive. 

Your hosts: 

Sarbjit Bakhshi, head of political markets at Smarkets @sarbjit_pol 

Matthew Shaddick, head of political betting at Ladbrokes @shadsy 

Kathy Peach (guest) 

@KathyPeach 

 

Be sure to subscribe to the show, please consider leaving us favorable ratings and reviews, and check out all our shows at OldBull.tv. 

Cold Funk Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com) Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 3.0 License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/ 

All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice.

Video version at oldbull.tv/maproom. 

This week, Eric and Nick are joined by their Elections Daily colleague James Newton as they chart a course to New Hampshire. 

Follow your hosts on Twitter: Eric: @decunningham2 Jared: @jstonepolitics Nick: @tossupreport James: @JimNPol 

Email us at [email protected]. 

All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice.

Prediction markets and polls are on different planets when it comes to Trump's chances in November. Are traders/bettors seeing something pollsters aren't? Or are the markets behaving irrationally, setting you up for easy profits?

(Here's the presidential winner market on Smarkets for reference: http://smarkets.com/event/886736

Sarbjit and Matthew break it down with the help of Paul Krishnamurty, professional gambler, Betfair Exchange analyst, and proprietor of politicalgambler.com. 

Your hosts: 

Sarbjit Bakhshi, head of political markets at Smarkets 

@sarbjit_pol 

Matthew Shaddick, head of political betting at Ladbrokes 

@shadsy 

Paul Krishnamurty (guest) 

@paulmotty

Be sure to subscribe to the show, please consider leaving us favorable ratings and reviews, and check out all our shows at OldBull.tv. 

Cold Funk Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com) 

Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 3.0 License 

http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/ 

All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice.

Video version at oldbull.tv 

PredictIt sharp Jason Pipkin wants to pay you good money to make a few political predictions. No joke!

And if you're into free money and election forecasting, we'll get you started on PredictIt with up to $50 of real money just for being one of our viewers. Sign up at predictit.org/promo/oldbull50 and get a deposit match up to $50 to start trading. 

Follow us at twitter.com/oldbulltv. Email us at [email protected]. 

Music from https://filmmusic.io "Funkorama" by Kevin MacLeod (https://incompetech.com) License: CC BY (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) 

All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice.

Video version at oldbull.tv 

In honor of long-awaited launch of Augur V2, we managed to blow the cobwebs off our lost episode with Forecast Foundation co-founder Joey Krug. 

If you caught the sneak peek in January, you'll know it's woefully overdue. But then again, so is V2... 

As one of our earliest recordings, it initially came out a tad buggy and needed much TLC in the editing bay. So bear with us if you catch sight of the spit and bailing wire now and then. 

Still, it was a fascinating conversation with an innovator on the DeFi & political forecasting frontier, & in light of the launch, we were determined to get it out! 

Follow us at twitter.com/oldbulltv. 

Email us at [email protected]. 

Music from https://filmmusic.io 

"Funkorama" by Kevin MacLeod (https://incompetech.com) 

License: CC BY (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) 

All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice.

Video version at oldbull.tv/maproom. 

With Houston and Dallas in the rear view mirror, Eric and Jared bring you the final leg of our Texas triptych. 

What's really behind the state's blue shift?

Does "demography = destiny" apply to the Lone Star State? 

And what's a dummymander? 

Follow your hosts on Twitter: Eric: @decunningham2 Jared: @jstonepolitics Nick: @tossupreport 

Email us at [email protected]. 

All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice.

The UK's Liberal Democrats are about to hold a twice-rescheduled leadership election. Acting co-leader and establishment candidate Ed Davey is being challenged by Layla Moran. 

In this episode, Sarbjit and Matthew are joined by Lib Dem Federal Board member April Preston, a Moran backer whose parsnips Davey isn't buttering. 

They explore the curious disparity between the polling for this race and the pricing in the UK betting markets (e.g. this Smarkets contract: https://smarkets.com/event/940746/politics/uk/uk-party-leaders/liberal-democrats-leader-2018?utm_source=Podcast&utm_medium=biolink&utm_campaign=aotp), which might sound familiar to U.S. presidential election watchers. 

Your hosts: 

Sarbjit Bakhshi, head of political markets at Smarkets 

@sarbjit_pol 

Matthew Shaddick, head of political betting at Ladbrokes 

@shadsy 

April Preston (guest) 

@AprilPreston_ 

Be sure to subscribe to the show, please consider leaving us favorable ratings and reviews, and check out all our shows at OldBull.tv. 

Cold Funk Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com) 

Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 3.0 License 

http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/ 

All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice.

Video version at electionwhisperer.com.

Rachel gets an assist with the hosting duties from Rep. Joaquin Castro (TX-20) for a conversation on Latinx voters with Chuck Rocha from Solidarity Strategies and Stephanie Valencia, co-founder of Equis Labs.

Plus, Rachel reveals the winner of the Question Of the Week swag challenge (yes, somebody won this week)!

Subscribe to the show and submit a question of your own at ElectionWhisperer.com.

For the podcast version, check out electionwhisperer.com/pod.

There's no such thing as a free lunch. 

But this is pretty close. 

(If you're 18+ and in the U.S., sign up at predictit.org/promo/oldbull50 and get a deposit match of up to $50.) 

Follow us at @oldbulltv and subscribe at oldbull.tv. It's free. What are you waiting for? 

All content and opinions presented herein, whether by hosts and guests, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment or other advice.